Barclays fantasy premier league – “ones to watch” forwards – GW3 Buy Hold Sell

Fantasy Premier League, Player Rankings

Here’s the “ones to watch” for forwards on the Barclays fantasy premier league format in a buy hold sell format for GW3.  This will give the best forward players at a variety of price ranges

There is no rule for forwards just pick the best ones especially now with goals virtually guaranteeing bonus points:

As for midfielders  I’ve provided the following stats to support the player choices and to guide you in your decisions:

1.  Goals and assists last year.   I’ve used last year until 5 games or so have gone in order to start a pattern

2.  Time per point scored last year.  This is how many minutes it takes for a Barclays fantasy premier league point to be scored over the course of last season.  The lower the better obviously.  I’ve used last year until 5 games or so have gone in order to start a pattern

3.  Rotation risk.  High, medium or low.  High is the greatest risk of rotation.

4.  Fixture ease ranking:  The link is at the bottom of the article but essentially I’ve ranked all the teams by the ease of the first 6 fixtures.  The team with the best ranking ie 1 will have the easiest next fixtures of any of the fantasy premier league teams over the next 6 games.

5.  Consistency:  The % of times that the player got a goal or assist or 2 point mnimum bonus last year as a % of games played

Elite forwards

RVP (£14.0m) BUY

  • Goals and assists least year:  26 goals 15 assists.  Time per point scored last year:  12 mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 15th.  Consistency 89%

No return against Chelsea but still came out with credit against a very defensive team.  Good shooting stats although hasn’t been creating chances as yet.  Rooney staying will be a big boost as he is one of the more creative forwards and is excellent behind RVP.  Away to Liverpool in GW3 but then home games with Palace and WBA either side of the derby

Benteke (£9.1m) HOLD  

  • Goals and assists least year:  19 goals 4 assists.  Time per point scored last year:  17 mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 16th.  Consistency 46%

3 fantastic performances against 3 of the better defences in the league. I doubted that he was worth the price not being in one of the top 4 challenging teams but has showed that this could be totally irrelevant.  Has penalties in his locker and players like Weiman and Agbonlahor with the pace to be regularly fouled.  Has a bye this week but not enough for me to ditch him

Soldado (£9.6m) BUY

  • Goals and assists least year:  24 goals 4 assists (La Liga).  Time per point scored last year:  N/A .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 6th .  Consistency N/A

Has had a good start with 2 goals albeit pens in 2 games.  Has good underlying shooting and creating chances stats though and really the only possibility in a Spurs team apart from the sudden emergence of Paulino this week.  5th top goal scorer in La Liga and certain of starts.  Also the main striker in a team with great fixtures to come.

Sturridge (£9.1m)  BUY

  • Goals and assists least year:  11 goals 5 assists.  Time per point scored last year:  13 mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 3rd.  Consistency 66%

Really good first performance scoring against Stoke and could have had so much more.  Villa despite the great goal was not so convincing as that was literally the only thing he did.  Good shooting stats overall.  With good fixtures he’s a great buy.

Lukaku (£7.6m) SELL

  • Goals and assists least year:  17 goals 7 assists.  Time per point scored last year:  13 mins .  Rotation risk: high.   fixture ease ranking: 20th.  Consistency 71%

The fact that he didn’t start against Utd and then didnt come on as the sub after not starting either of the first 2 games said it all.  Obviously not trusted by Mourinho.  Time to sell

Giroud (£8.6m) BUY

  • Goals and assists least year:  11 goals 5 assists.  Time per point scored last year:  19 mins .  Rotation risk: medium.   fixture ease ranking: 5th.  Consistency 38%

Very streaky scorer against poorer opposition and goals against Villa and Fulham are a good start. Good shooting stats and like Walcott has started to create chances for others.  I personally prefer Walcott but he is a viable alternative for Arsenal coverage.  Only gametime risk appears to be the purchase of a new striker but time is really running out for that

Aguero (£11.1m)BUY

  • Goals and assists least year:  12 goals 3 assists.  Time per point scored last year:  16 mins .  Rotation risk: medium.   fixture ease ranking: 9th.  Consistency 57%

A definite buy and captain option this gameweek at home to Hull having returned in both his opening games.  In my mind there’s no clarity over who will lead the line with  Negredo having such an impact against Cardiff.  With Jovetic injured Aguero has a free run at the slightly withdrawn position.  Total quality but a little expensive for someone who will probably be rotated.

Mid price forwards

Dzeko (£7.7m) BUY

  • Goals and assists least year:  14 goals 6 assists.  Time per point scored last year:  14 mins .  Rotation risk: high.   fixture ease ranking: 9th.  Consistency 80%

Great value for a Man City striker but the question is whether he can hold his spot.  Negredo was very impressive in his cameo and has got to have a good chance of starting this week.  Personally at this price and with his record as a sub I think he’s worth the risk.  If you’re going to do it this week is the week to do so home to Hull

Lambert (£7.6m)HOLD

  • Goals and assists least year:  15 goals 8 assists.  Time per point scored last year:  17  mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 8th.  Consistency 50%

How he didn’t score last week is beyond me.  I was a sceptic but am now a convert. Very good shooting stats and continues to create chances for team mates.  Only negative is the fixtures so I wouldn’t buy him  but would hold as looks in good form in an improving team.  Also has pen duties

Bony (£8.0m) HOLD (injury doubt)

  • Goals and assists least year:  31 goals 8 assists Eredivisie.  Time per point scored last year:  N/A .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 15th.  Consistency N/A

Has looked good in 2 sub appearances.  Can’t understand why he’s not starting. Fixtures are improving so I would hold on

Bent (£6.5m)

  • Goals and assists least year: 3 goals and 2 assists:     Time per point scored last year:  19  mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 2nd.  Consistency not track

4 seasons ago he scored 24 goals in a season and 3 seasons ago he scored 17.  This is a guy with a great track record.  His next fixtures are also great, away to Newcastle and home to WBA.  The only question is how match fit he will be and will he start.  This is bit of an unknown but personally I think its worth a punt.

 

Budget forwards

Cornelius (£5.5m) HOLD

  • Goals and assists least year:  18 goals 5 assists (Danish league).  Time per point scored last year:  NA .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 4th.  Consistency N/A

Didn’t start for the amazing game against City and after Cambells performance centrally he may not get into the team.  however pretty good fixtures coming up so i would hold for the minute.

Chamakh (£5.0m)

Has had no gametime over the last 2 seasons but in 2010/2011 he scored 7 goals and got 7 assists at a fantasy premier league point every 18 minutes which for his price now is very good.  That was with Arsenal though, this is with Crystal Palace  which will be completely different.  He did score against Stoke but it was 1 shot 1 goal and unless he gets the service he will struggle. Still at £5.0m he’s probably the best of a pretty ordinary bunch.

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