Fantasy premier league – “ones to watch” GKs/Defs GW30

Fantasy Premier League, Player Rankings

Ive tweaked the format of the fantasy premier league defensive  “ones to watch” article by adding a table so you can see the stats side by side.  Below that Ive tweaked the narrative from last week to update it on each of the defensive targets as well as giving you the next 6 gameweek fixtures or  home fixtures for the budget defenders to the end of the season.

The first part of the table deals with the best overall defences.  The next with the budget home rotation defences.

RankTeamHome rankAway rankGoals ConcededClean SheetsCS in last 5 gamesIn top FPL teamsPredicted CS in 6 GWs
 1. Chelsea 4 1 22 13 3 12 5
 2 Everton 3 4 27 10 1 9 4
 3 Man Utd 6 6 31 10 3 5 4
 4 Man City 3 2 27 10 2 2 3
 5 Southampton 8 2 35 11 1 11 3
 6 Arsenal 1 14 28 12 2 3 2
 7 Liverpool 5 11 35 8 1 0 2
 Rank Team Home rank Away rank Home GC Home CSHome CS in last 5 In top FPL teamsPredicted Home CS
 1 Sunderland 17 13 21 3 2 4  4
 2 Swansea 13 15 21 5 2 0 4
 3 Newcastle 16 12 19 4 1 0 3
 4 WBA 10 9 19 3 1 0 3
 5 Norwich 9 17 12 7 4 5 2
 6 West Ham 14 8 20 6 2 3 2
 7 Hull 7 16 14 6 1 3 2

 

Key:  Home and Away rank:  My ranking of the defences.  See my rating the defences article

GC  Goals conceded

CS Clean sheets

In Top FPL teams:  See my article on following 10 top fantasy premier league teams.  The amount the teams are represented.

Predicted clean sheets:  Predicted clean sheets in next 6 gameweeks or in home games to end of season for the budget defences

The best overall fantasy premier league defences

1.  Chelsea

Another fantastic defensive performance at home to Spurs for a clean sheet.   Terry at £6.8m and Ivanovic at £6.7m have the best attacking stats and are probably the most secure gametime wise although Terry still could be rested.     Terry however looks a better bonus prospect getting bonus points at close to double the rate of Ivanovic.  Azpilicueta is the budget option at £5.6m .  He’s fairly gametime secure having played 18 of the last 19 fantasy premier league games but has no attacking returns and only 3 bonus points so you make that sacrifice for the cheap price.

Potential for 5 clean sheets in the next 6.  No DGW31

Next 6 fantasy premier league gameweeks:

Aston Villa (A)
Arsenal (H)
Crystal Palace (A)
Stoke City (H)
Swansea (A)
Sunderland (H)

2.  Everton

Ignore the 4-1 at Arsenal.  2 late goals conceded when chasing the game.    Jagielka’s injured but should be back for GW31 to strengthen the defence.  Coleman  at £6.6m  and Baines  at £7.4m are the attacking options.  Coleman has 5 goals and 1 assists but no attacking returns in his last 7 .  Baines has pens and a  share of set pieces.  In the 9 games since coming back from injury he’s scored a goal and 2 assists plus 9 bonus points.    Distin is the budget option with secure gametime at £5.2m.   However there’s only clean sheets at stake here.  No attacking returns and 1 bonus point since GW5.

Potential for 4 clean sheets in the next 6 gameweeks.  DGW31.  Postponed game home to Everton

Next 6 fantasy premier league fixtures:
Cardiff City (H)
Swansea (H) DGW31
Newcastle (A) DGW31
Fulham (A)
Arsenal (H)
Sunderland (A)
Man Utd (H)

3.  Man Utd

Alot has been made of the problems in the Man Utd defence and they didn’t look particularly strong in the win over WBA without Vidic.  However 10 clean sheets is a reasonable record given their defensive issues and only 5 teams have more clean sheets.  Unfortunately Man Utd in addition to their inconcistency  are pretty difficult to predict line up wise.    Evra at £6.6m is the best bet. He’s pretty nailed on as his reserve Buttner has not produced when played.    Evra also has good attacking potential with a goal and 5 assists which has translated into an 18 point bonus haul as well.  De Gea is reasonable value at £5.7m and  certain of selection. With Evans and Rafael injured with no return dates Smalling at £5.1m becomes more of a legitimate gamble.  However when fit there are 4 CBs and Rafael is a much better attacking FB for the easier games to come.   Smalling is cheap but he is a gamble on gametime to the end of the season
Potential for 4 clean sheets in the next 7 fixtures.  DGW31.  No GW34
Next 6 fantasy premier league GWs:

Liverpool (H)
West Ham (A)
Man City (H)
Aston Villa (H)
Newcastle (A)
– Gameweek 34 –
Everton (A)

4.  Manchester City

Form especially away from home is mixed to say the least.  They have some strong underlying defensive stats and the clean sheets will come though.    They also have 2 postponed games to go home to Sunderland and Villa.  These 2 have yet to have dates confirmed.  For more detail see my recent article on Man City and the DGWs.  Kolarov is the attacking and budget choice at £5.0m.  The best attacking defensive player in fantasy premier league in my view.  He is rotated though so it comes at some gametime risk.  Very good off the bench though anyway.  Kompany at £6.3m has more gametime security and reasonable attacking potential.  He’s not performed bonus wise at all though with only 5.  Zabaleta offers a halfway house at £6.0m

There’s 3 clean sheets in the next 6 for me.  DGW31
Next 6 fantasy premier league gameweeks:
Hull City (A)
Fulham (H) DGW31
Man Utd (A)  DGW31
Arsenal (A)
Southampton (H)
Liverpool (A)
West Brom (H)

5.  Southampton

Just as you thoughT Chambers at £3.9m had nailed his spot then Clyne comes in and takes it against Palace. Needs monitoring before either are transferred in.   Shaw has some middle ground at £5.0m before Lovren and Fonte at £5.4m and £5.5m who offer more bonus and attacking potential.  Fonte probably has the marginally better attacking returns and underlying stats and bonus stats. Boruc and Davis offer a cheap GK double at £4.8m and £3.9m respectively. Davis is currently injured though with no return date.

Potential for 3 clean sheets in the next 6.
Next 6 fantasy premier league gameweeks:

Norwich (H)
Tottenham (A)
Newcastle (H)
Man City (A)
Cardiff City (H)
Aston Villa (A)

6.  Arsenal

Koscielny at £5.6m  is the best all round pick for my money.   12 bonus points in his last 10 games show his bonus potential.   Mertesacker is a lot more expensive at £6.5m.  He has better attacking underlying stats and  looks more dangerous at set pieces than Koscielny.  However,  no attacking returns since GW16 and the bonus points have suffered as well

Tough fixtures and maybe 2 clean sheets in the next 6 gameweeks.  DGW31
Next 6 fantasy premier league gameweeks:

Tottenham (A)
Chelsea (A)
Swansea (H)
Man City (H)
Everton (A)
– Gameweek 34 –
Hull City (A)

7.  Liverpool

Hard to believe given the defensive shambles they’ve been this year that they have got 8 clean sheets.  Personally I don’t think the defence warrants more investment than the cheapie £4.3m Flanagan.  His gametime isn’t secure as there are 3 potential LBs.  Sakho will be back this week which will be the test although he isn’t a specialist LB just a left footed CB.  However if you have more faith than me in the Liverpool defence and are willing to spend more then Skrtel is your man at £5.6m.  For that you get excellent attacking potential with 4 goals this season and 13 bonus points.  Excellent DGW31 fixtures but with only 3 fantasy premier league players that can be selected do you really want to lose 1 player to the defence?

Potential for 2 clean sheets in the next 6 gameweeks.  DGW31
Next 6 fantasy premier league gameweeks:

Man Utd (A)
Cardiff City (A) DGW31
Sunderland (H) DGW31
Tottenham (H)
West Ham (A)
Man City (H)
Norwich (A)

The best fantasy premier league budget home defences

1.  Sunderland

7 clean sheets in 19 games since Poyet joined.   Bardsley is my best choice at £4.3m for his attacking potential with 2 goals and an assist plus 7 bonus points in the 19 games he’s played.  GK Mannone offers value in rotation at £4.5m.  With the 3 DGWs coming up he offers excellent potential for save points if nothing else in these DGWs.  DGW in GW31 plus postponed games away to Man City and home to WBA yet to be scheduled.
4 Potential clean sheets at home to the end of the season
Next  home fantasy premier league fixtures plus the DGW31  until the end of the season:
Crystal Palace (H)
Norwich (A)  Liverpool (A) DGW31
West Ham (H)
Everton (H)
Cardiff City (H)
Swansea (H)

2.  Swansea

Didn’t really show the defensive mettle required to get a clean sheet against Palace which isn’t a great sign for the future.  They definitely aren’t one of the best defensive teams at home but the remaIning fixtures at home are strong which is the reason for their selection.  There’s clean sheet potential in every game apart from the Chelsea game giving a total potential  clean sheets of 4.  Chico who’s suspended until DGW31 at £5.0m is  my best choice.   2 goals in 5 games shows his attacking potential.   He’s also priced similarly to everyone else.

4 potential home clean sheets to the end of the season.  DGW31 is hopeless as it’s 2 very difficult fixtures
Next  home fantasy premier league fixtures plus DGW31 fixtures until the end of the season:Gameweek 29
West Brom (H)
Everton (A) Arsenal (A) DGW31
Norwich (H)
Chelsea (H)
Aston Villa (H)
Southampton (H)

3.  WBA

McAuley at £5.2m is the best bet.  He’s a similar price to the others but has good attacking potential.  2 goals and 1 assist this season but nothing simce GW11 again isn’t a great recommendation but he’s looks dangerous at set pieces and his underlying attacking stats are very good.

3 potential home clean sheets to the end of the season.
Next  home fantasy premier league fixtures until the end of the season:
Cardiff City (H)
Tottenham (H)
West Ham (H)
Stoke City (H)

4.  Newcastle

Could their 4-1 win at Hull be the corner turned.  Very inconsistent but have a DGW31.  Williamson at £4.3m should survive Coloccini getting back into the team.  He’s the budget choice and seems to have gametime security.  Very little bonus or attacking potential though so it’s about whether you think he will get more clean sheets.  Debuchy at £5.0m has the better attacking potential with a goal and 4 assists this season.  Those attacking returns have mainly contributed to the 8 bonus points recieved.  £5.0m for a Newcastle defender is quite pricey to me though.

3 potential home clean sheets to the end of the season.  DGW31 fixtures could be worse
Next home fixtures to the end of the season plus DGW31
Crystal Palace (H) DGW31
Everton (H) DGW31
Man Utd (H)
Swansea (H)
Cardiff City (H)

5.  Norwich

The home defence has really come right as you can see from the 4 clean sheets in the last 5 home games.  The away defence is far from strong though.    Olsson is now  fit and a good cheapie option at £4.3m.   Bassong at £4.7m is my best choices here.  Bassong has been unlucky at set pieces and should at some stage get some attacking returns which are zero at the moment.  He’s also the best bet on bonus

2 potential clean sheets at home out of the 4 games to go.
Next  home fantasy premier league fixtures until the end of the season:
Sunderland (H)
West Brom (H)
Liverpool (H)
Arsenal (H)

6.  West Ham

Demel at £4.5m is the only safe gametime choice  as Reid could return against one of the CBs.  Armero is there to challenge LB McCartney at £4.0m but he’s played 5 consecutive games now so maybe worth the gamble.    The GK Adrian is also a reasonable option at £4.5

 Maybe 2 clean sheets to the end of the season.  DGW31
Next home fantasy premier league fixtures to the end of the season:
Man Utd (H) GW31
Hull City (H) GW31
Liverpool (H)
Crystal Palace (H)
Tottenham (H)

7.  Hull

Injuries and some fiddling on selection and formation has made it hard to predict the defensive line up.    I would probably go for Rosenior at £3.9m at the moment at the budget level.  He seems to be able to move between formations .  After that its Davies at £4.7m who is the best attacking prospect with 2 goals this season.  Figueroa offers a medium with gametime security at £4.4m

Potentially 2 clean sheets before the end of the season at home.
Next  home fantasy premier league fixtures until the end of the season:
Man City (H)
West Brom (H)
Swansea (H) West Ham (A) GW31
Arsenal (H)
Everton (H)
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