Here’s the 6th article in the series. I’ve sought out the teams of 10 top fantasy premier league managers and analysed who they’ve got in their teams. This is not the current top 10 fantasy premier league leaders but 10 managers who are currently successful and have been successful for the last 3 years. It makes interesting reading.
fantasy premier league – analysing 10 top fantasy premier league managers teams – GW21
Background
Just to put a bit of context around this if you haven’t seen it before. In any part of life, sport or business it’s natural to look at the best and see what you can learn. It also helps challenge your thinking and make you question what you’re doing. if the best are doing it and so are you it may also give some comfort. I also know that going on to fantasy premier league sites if you get a bad tip then you can kind of ditch the site. So if you can see that other tried and tested fantasy premier league managers also believe in that player then it can provide some justification for the sites pick
The reason I haven’t just picked the current top 10 leaders is that these top 10 leaders will change over the season so the top 10 now will be totally different at the end of the year. In my mind it means nothing. Its more important to pick people in my mind who’ve consistently finished high in the overall league over the last 3 years.
Here’s some stats on the 10. First remember that there 10 fantasy premier league managers and I’ve looked at the last 3 years overall finish rank. Meaning there are 30 times they have played in the last 3 years. Sorry if you found that insulting, just for clarity. Again, I swapped a couple around and I now have a set of 10 managers with an even more impressive current and historic record. I’m fixing it now with this group though.
1. The average position of the 10 currently at the moment took a slight upturn again this week and is now 17,000 in fantasy premier league. That was after GW21. I’m happy with the 10 fantasy premier league managers picked and won’t be changing the make up of the 10. 17,000 is top 0.5% of 3,100,000 fantasy premier league managers. No one is currently lower than 55,000
2. The average position over the last 3 years is around 3,500 (this is the top 0.1 % of fantasy premier league teams)
3. 10/10 have finished in the top 1000 in the last 3 years
4 6/10 have finished in the top 100 in the last 3 years
The above is pretty impressive consistency in fantasy premier league. What these teams look like is certainly something to take note of. My average over the last 3 years is 7,900 by the way.
There are 2 issues with doing this though. Firstly just because a player is owned by a fantasy premier league manager doesn’t mean he wants to own him. He could be wanting to transfer him out but can’t due to other priorities, injuries etc. That’s probably more for cheapies though as expensive players are probably ditched earlier. Secondly it obviously s a look back and not forward to the next gameweek
Ok so here’s the break down of their teams (obviously I don’t mention every player just the ones that appear frequently). There’s quite a few changes due to the January Wildcards
What was the average round score?
The average GW21 scored of the 10 fantasy premier league managers was 72 points compared to the average of 57.
What is the average team value?
The average value of the 10 fantasy premier league managers was £109.9m
I haven’t enough data to know why the value is so high. I suspect its a combination of early gameweek transfers and a wildcard to pick up rising value players.
GK/DEFs by player
There were alot of Jan Wildcards played so the make up of the teams has changed
Coleman is owned by 10 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers
Ward is owned by 6 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers
Chester and Mertescaker are owned by 5 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers
Koscielny and Boruc are owned by 4 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers
Marshall K Davis Bturner Mannone and Gabbidon are owned by 3 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers
GKs/DEFs by team
Palace GKs/DEFs appear 11 times as a GK/DEF in the 10 teams
Everton and Arsenal GKs/DEFs appear 10 times as a GK/DEF in the 10 teams
Southampton GKs/DEFs appear 9 times as a GK/DEF in the 10 teams
Hull GKs/DEFs appear 7 times as a GK/DEF in the 10 teams
Cardiff GKs/DEFs appear 6 times as a GK/DEF in the 10 teams
Sunderland and Liverpool GKs/DEFs appear 5 times in the 10 teams
Interestingly Chelsea only appear twice and Man City once
Midfielders
Hazard is owned by 10 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers
Ozil is owned by 8 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers
YYT and Silva are owned by 5 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers
Lallana is owned by 4 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers
Forwards
Suarez is owned by 10 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers
Lukaku is owned by 8 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers
Negredo and Adebayor are owned by 4 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers
Rooney is now only owned by 1 of the fantasy premier league managers. Mutch is the most commonly owned cheapie midfielder owned twice.
GW20 Transfers
I cant analyse the transfers in properly due to the January Wildcard which shows all transfers even if undone. Here’s the summary of the 4 people who didn’t use the January Wildcard
The most transferred in players were in fantasy premier league GW21:
Ozil x 3
No one else was transferred in more than once.
The most transferred out were:
Walcott x 4
Rooney x 2
The most popular transfers were:
Walcott – Ozil x 3
GW21 Captain Choices
Suarez was the captain 10 times.
How many took hits?
1 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers took a 4 point hit. One took an 8 point hit
What was the most popular formation
9 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers played 3-4-3
How many have used their Wildcard?
6 people have activated their January Wildcard
So what does this mean?
Here’s a few things which jump out:
- For the gameweek
The season average of 17,000 compared to their last 3 year average of 3,000 shows what a hard year its been for even the best fantasy premier league managers.
The return of Ozil. Silva still not popular.
The ignoring of the Chelsea and Man City defence. The emergence of the Arsenal and Palace defence
The re-emergence of Lallana
The selling of Rooney
- For the season
Coleman and Arsenal defender Hazard Ozil and Suarez look the must haves. Lukaku is owned by 8 fantasy premier league managers but I suspect held for the Norwich game
YYT and Ozil are the movers.
Everton Palace and Arsenal is the essential defences.
The majority used their regular season wildcards. 6 have activated the January Wildcard
These managers take hits
3-4-3 is still the most popular formation.
All have created valuable teams.
That’s it I hope you found it interesting. I hope it also challenged your thinking on some fantasy premier league players or provided some comfort if you’re holding on to someone and doubting yourself for doing it.
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