Ok it’s that time again when we have to consider our captain choice in fantasy premier league gameweek 4

Best matches

Ok So first I looked at the matches that I thought could involve a reasonable amount og goals for 1 team.  For reasons I’ll explain in the post here was the games I considered in fantasy premier league GW4:

Man Utd v Crystal Palace

Spurs v Norwich

Sunderland v Arsenal

Stoke v Man City

As a little bit of a check I looked at the match odds with William Hill and here they are for the best 5 odds.

Man Utd – £1.20 to win

Spurs £1.44 to win

Man City £1.61

Arsenal 1.67

Southampton £1.85

Personally I’m reluctant to drag anyone in from the Southampton game as West Ham can be quite strong at times away and Southampton have only scored 2 goals so far and 1 was a pen so I’ve discounted that game

Best players

Here’s the players I chose as my leading lights focusing on those games in the main

RVP

Soldado

Giroud

Negredo

I’ve also added on Benteke

Next I did a sense check with William Hill to see if I had missed anyone obvious.  Here were the best odds for anytime goal scorer

RVP – £1.40

Welbeck  – £1.80

Soldado  – £1.80

Benteke – £1.91

Giroud – £2.00

Negredo – £2.00

Lambert – £2.00

Sturridge – £2.00

I’ll now go through the merits of all the  above and whether I think they are a captain option.  By the way just because I wouldn’t make them captain in this game doesn’t mean I wouldn’t have them in my team.  This is just about being captain in this 1 game.  Additionally if I  think 1 player could be good for this game it doesnt mean that he is ranked above others it’s just for this game.

RVP

Benteke

Giroud

Soldado

Welbeck

Should play behind RVP given Rooneys injury and was impressive against Swansea.  Underlying stats aren’t too bad but despite the opposition handing the captains armband is just a step too far for me

Negredo

Should start given his performance vs Dzeko last week but Pellegrini is nothing if not hard to predict so far.  However Negredo with 2 goals so far and the most shots in the box of any striker per minute, he looks the  real deal for me at the moment.  probably wont have pen duties which will go to Aguero I think.  Silva being a doubt isn’t ideal but the Stoke defence has been pretty poor overall and was pulled all around the park by Liverpool.

I can see goals for Man City in this and Negredo is the likely person to get them being the most advanced striker. I can also see Stoke scoring with City not having  Demichellis and Kompany which will also help Negredo as City wont be able to sit back.

Negredo is an option for me.

Lambert

West Ham from time to time can really defend away from home so Lambert is just too much of a risk for me.

Sturridge

3 goals in 3 games for Sturridge.  Has got reasonably good underlying stats but don’t really warrant that return and Liverpool have been unconvincing in patches going forward.  Swansea have had a difficult start with Spurs and Man Utd in the fixtures and have conceded 5 goals and have the worst underlying defensive stats of anyone.   still I haven’t been completely convinced about Liverpool and while I’m seriously considering Sturridge for my team as far as far as the captain armband’s concerned its a no for me.

Summary

Ok so here’s my ranking of the captain opportunities

1.  RVP

2.  Benteke

3.  Giroud

4.  Negredo

Wouldn’t back for the captains armband, Sturridge, Welbeck, Lambert and Soldado

That’s it hope you found that useful

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