Here’s our fantasy premier league captain choice article for gameweek 30. The full version this week when we look at the crucial stats, what the bookies think and we also look at some of the other FPL advice sites for their views. Plus we’ll state the FFGeek team captain and any of the top 10 FPL managers we follow. A week where we look at the choice in detail of Kane vs Aguero.
fantasy premier league captain choice GW30
Aguero (WBA H)
Will he start?
He should do given the opposition and the fact that they have nothing to play for apart from the league.
Whats his consistency like overall and at home?
Overall: Excellent. Returned a goal or assist in 15/23 games which is an excellent 65%.
At home: Not as good. He’s got 7 goals and 2 assists in 10 games but 4 were against Spurs. He’s only returned a goal or assist in 5/10 games which is 50%
How has he performed against lower good defensive opposition at home?
Not great: I’ve put WBA as a comparison to the best defensive teams. Against Liverpool, Chelsea, Man Utd and Arsenal where he’s got 2 goals in those 4 games and returned in 2/4 games.
Whats his recent home form like?
Nothing special
ARS(H) 0-2 90 minutes 0 goals 0 assists 1 point
HUL(H) 1-1 90 minutes 0 goals 1 assist 5 points
NEW(H) 5-0 59 minutes 1 goals 1 assist 9 points
LEI(H) 2-0 84 minutes 0 goals 0 assists 2 points
Whats the opposition defence like away?
Since Pulis took over it’s 6 clean sheets in 9 games. Only big team they’ve played though is Spurs where they lost 3-0 at home
Here’s their last 4 away games:
EVE(A) 0-0
BUR(A) 2-2
SUN(A) 0-0
AVL(A) 1-2
So pretty good although the opposition was on the whole some of the most ordinary attacking teams.
Summary
Been excellent over the season but recent form not so great, his home form is also questionable as is his form when City play 2 strikers. Whats more he is up against a strong defensive team although 1 that hasn’t been tested with Pulis against the top attacking sides away from home. To add to the difficulty a hard game against Barca midweek chasing the ball and missing a pen can’t have helped him. Aguero has pens though
Kane (Leicester H)
Will he start?
Yes out of Europe so no midweek game
Whats his consistency like overall and at home?
Overall: Excellent 13/21 (62%)
At home: Not as good having returned in 5/11 games at home (45%) although the goal/assist total is very good at 6 goals and 3 assists so when he has scored he’s scored big
How has he performed against lower placed opposition at home?
Not so good. Blanks against Stoke, Palace, Sunderland and Swansea but 1 goal each in games against Burnley, and West Ham
Whats his recent home form like?
Mixed 2 incredible performances. 2 blanks
SUN(H) 2-1 90 minutes 0 goals 0 assists 2 points
ARS(H) 2-1 90 minutes 2 goals 0 assists 12 points
WHU(H) 2-2 90 minutes 1 goal 0 assists 4 points
SWA(H) 3-2 75 minutes 0 goals 0 assists 2 points
Again seems good away and good at home against the better opposition
Whats the opposition defence like away?
Over the whole season terrible: Only Newcastle, QPR and Burnley have conceded more goals away. 2 clean sheets away only 3 teams have less. No team has conceded 2 goals or more on more occaisions away than Leicester. However a new back 5 system seems to have helped them and saw a clean sheet against Hull.
Against the big teams away Man Utd 1-3, Chelsea 0-2, Liverpool 2-2, Arsenal 1-2, Man City 0-2
Here’s the last 4 away games:
MUN(A) 1-3
ARS(A) 1-2
EVE(A) 2-2
MCI(A) 0-2
So new system or not it’s still at least 2 games conceded against all the teams above although the fixtures couldn’t have been be worse
Summary
There’s no doubting he’s been a star this season but away from home and against the better teams at home has been his strength and he hasn’t performed against the lower placed sides at home. However although Leicester have performed well recently and there are some signs that the 5 man defence has helped them it’s hard to see them as anything other than a poor defensive side. It just depends whether you believe that is enough to over rule what appears to be an issue for him although the data set would hardly satisfy any mathematician
The Bookies choice
Here’s the bookies choice for anytime goalscorer with a maximum of £2.20
£1.76 – Aguero
£1.90 – Kane
£2.08 – Giroud
£2.16 – Bony, Dzeko and Jovetic
£2.20 – Pelle
Giroud certainly is an option if you want to move away from the 2 favourites
Other FPL advice sites
The main site was pretty evenly split between Kane and Aguero. This site has a good correlation with what the leading and active managers will do if you’re looking at it from the defensive point of view
Of the other sites I looked at 3. 2 had Kane in their team as Captain 1 had Aguero. The one that had captain poll had Kane at the lead.
The top 10 FPL managers I follow
1 had Kane and the other Utkarsh @Zophar 666 had Aguero.
The FFGeek choice
I’m going to go with Kane, neither him or Aguero are perfect choices but the Leicester defence and City chasing Barca around midweek made it for me.
Thats it. Good luck for the gameweek
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