Background 

Looking firstly at the games that will most likely generate the most goals.

Here’s the best fixtures:

1.  Liverpool v Hull

2.  West Ham v Man City

From those games I’ve picked Sterling and  Aguero. I’ve also looked at Pelle as he seems to be generating some captain interest

Sterling (Hull Home )

• Will he start?

No Champions league this week although with “tiredgate” anything is possible.  Hopefully Brendan Rodgers wont repeat the ridiculous position where he played him in the Capital One and rested him in the premier league

• How consistent is he generally  and at home.

OK:  Overall he’s returned in 5/8 games (63%).  At home it’s not so consistent.  He’s returned in 2/4.

• How has he performed against low placed opposition home

Not enough data:  Was a sub at home to Villa so ignore that.  Other game was home to WBA where he got an assist

• Whats his recent form like

OK:  Here’s his 4 home games.

SOU(H) 2-1   90 minutes  1 goal 1 assist  13 points
AVL(H) 0-1   30 minutes Blank 1 point
EVE(H) 1-1   90 minutes  Blank  2 points
WBA(H) 2-1 90  minutes  1 assist   5  points

So apart from the Southampton game it’s a pretty ordinary home record

• Whats the opposition defence like

Mixed and depends on formation:  Here’s their away results so far

QPR(A) 1-0
AVL(A) 1-2
NEW(A) 2-2
ARS(A) 2-2

So not a great record.  Their 3-5-2 formation defends better and that will surely be rolled out against Liverpool.  It didn’t really help against Arsenal.  So overall it’s not a great away record

• Overall thoughts

Should start.  Sterling has a pretty mixed record at home although he is a reasonably consistent returner overall.  Hull don’t really travel defensively that well though which gives him a chance

 Aguero (West Ham away)

• Will he start?

With no Champions League this week the odds are good although given the injury history and the number of strikers at City rotation isn’t out of the question.

• How consistent is he generally  and  away?

Excellent:  Overall he’s returned in 6/8 games away.  He’s returned in all 4 away games so far scoring 4 goals and 0 assists.

• How has he performed against low placed opposition away

Excellent:  He’s scored against Newcastle, Hull and Villa away

• Whats his recent form like

Excellent:  Here’s his 4 away games

NEW(A) 2-0   8 minutes  1 goal 6 points
ARS(A) 2-2     66 minutes  1 goal 6 points
HUL(A) 4-2   71  minutes   1 goal 8 points
AVL(A) 2-0   90 minutes  1 goal    7 points

Scored in all 4 games

• Whats the opposition defence like

Mixed:  Here’s their 4 home games:

TOT(H) 0-1
SOU(H) 1-3
LIV(H) 3-1
QPR(H) 2-0

So a bit of a mixed record.  Certainly their more attacking stancs has meant they concede more goals

• Is he an option? 

Absolute quality player who can score against anyone, anywhere.  Only question is gametime but with no Champions League hopefully that will see him start.

 Pelle ( Stoke Home)

Will he  start?

With no involvement in  European competition it seems unlikely he wont start

How consistent is he  overall and away?

Very Good:  Overall he’s returned in 5/8 games.  At home it’s 3/4 games

Whats his recent form like? 

Excellent:  Here’s his 4 home games:

WBA(H) 0-0    90 minutes   Blank    2 points
NEW(H) 4-0    90 minutes  2 goals   13 points
QPR(H) 2-1     90 minutes   1 goal     9 points
SUN(H) 8-0    79  minutes  2 goals 1 assist   15 points

Whats the opposition defence like?

Good but a couple of questionable performances:  Last year their away defence was pretty ordinary.  Here’s their 4 away to date.

HUL(A) 1-1
MCI(A) 1-0
QPR(A) 2-2
SUN(A) 1-3

So started well but haven’t defended well in their last 2 away games

Is he an option?

Has been consistent with a very good home record.  Playing a team that has defended well overall but has lapsed in their last 2 away games.

Bookmaker check

Not such a good week for odds so I’ve had to widen the net.  Here’s the anytime goal scoring odds at £2.10 or under:

£1.83 – Aguero, Dzeko, Balotelli,

£2.00  – Lambert

£2.05 –  Pelle

£2.10 – Kane, Diego Costa

Sterling is £2.15

I’ve ruled out Lambert, Dzeko, Balotelli Costa and Kane as all have gametime issues.  Injury in Costa’s sake and potential selection risk for Dzeko, Balotelli, Lambert and Kane.

I’ve gone for  Aguero  with Pelle as the safe gametime option in reserve

follow us on twitter @fantasyfoot20 or www.facebook.com/fantasyfootballgeek

This website is free.  If you find it useful please support us via the donate button on the site

fantasy premier league league code: 11254-4258
Telegraph fantasy football: Code 8000919 league name: fantasy football geek
Sky Sports fantasy football: League name: FANTASY FOOTBALL GEEK PIN 8026353
Sun Dream Team: PIN 8295737
Fox Sports EPL fantasy: Classic 3195-609 H2H 3195-610

Fantasy premier league captain picks

Fantasy premier league captain picks