fantasy premier league clean sheet tips GW15

I’m continuing  our fantasy premier league clean sheet tips GW15 article.  Here we rank the clean sheet prospects for each team in GW15 by comparing each teams defence in gameweek 15 compared to the attacking rank of the opponent.  Both attack and defence ranking use a mixture of actual and underlying stats.  We also give you one of the bookies odds for clean sheets and rank them in order to give you another view.  I hope you find it interesting and useful in deciding the lineup for your team.

fantasy premier league clean sheet tips GW15

Firstly here’s the Fixtures

We go through each team by the clean sheet rank I’ve given them.  We calculated that in a very basic way.  We’ve compared the rank of the teams defence vs the rank of the opponents attack.  As I said it’s a bit basic and it doesn’t differentiate between home and away or recent circumstances.  Thats why we’ve put the clean sheet odds for GW15 of one bookie as another point of reference. We’ve also given you the rank of those odds for each of the teams.  The clean sheet odds are the amount won for £1 invested.  The odds are of Friday when I wrote the article.  Hope thats clear.  In ranking the bookies, if the odds are the same for 2 or more teams, I’ve followed my ranking.

FFGeek Clean sheet Ranking for GW15

1.  Arsenal (2nd ranked defence vs Sunderland 18th ranked attack)
2.  Tottenham (5th ranked defence vs WBA 20th ranked attack)
3. Southampton (6th ranked defence vs A Villa 19th ranked attack)
4. Liverpool (4th ranked defence vs Newcastle 17th ranked attack)
5. Man City (3rd ranked defence vs Stoke 15th ranked attack)
6. Man Utd (1st ranked defence vs West Ham 6th ranked attack)
7. Leicester (11th ranked defence vs Swansea 16th ranked attack)
8. Watford (7th ranked defence vs Norwich 11th ranked attack)
9. Chelsea (10th ranked defence vs Bournemouth 13th ranked attack)
10. Everton (13th ranked defence vs C Palace 9th ranked attack)
11. WBA (8th ranked defence vs Tottenham 4th ranked attack)
12. Bournemouth (16th ranked defence vs Chelsea 12th ranked attack)
13. Norwich (20th ranked defence vs Watford 14th ranked attack)
14. West Ham (17th ranked defence vs Man Utd 10th ranked attack)
15. C Palace (12th ranked defence vs Everton 5th ranked attack)
16. Stoke (9th ranked defence vs Man City 1st ranked attack)
17. A Villa (15th ranked defence vs Southampton 7th ranked attack)
18. Newcastle (19th ranked defence vs Liverpool 8th ranked attack)
19. Swansea (14th ranked defence vs Leicester 3rd ranked attack)
20. Sunderland (18th ranked defence vs Arsenal 2nd ranked attack)

One Bookies odds ranked for clean sheets GW15

1.  Arsenal  – Clean sheet odds £1.70
2.  Southampton  – Clean sheet odds £1.85
3. Man Utd  – Clean sheet odds £1.85
4. Chelsea  – Clean sheet odds £2.05
5. Tottenham  – Clean sheet odds £2.25
6. Liverpool – Clean sheet odds £2.37
7. Man City  – Clean sheet odds £2.37
8. Watford  – Clean sheet odds £2.70
9. Everton – Clean sheet odds £3.00
10. Leicester – Clean sheet odds £3.50
11. Swansea – Clean sheet odds £3.60
12. Norwich – Clean sheet odds £3.80
13. WBA – Clean sheet odds £4.00
14. C Palace  – Clean sheet odds £4.33
15. Stoke – Clean sheet odds £5.50
16. A Villa – Clean sheet odds £5.50
17. Newcastle – Clean sheet odds £5.50
18. West Ham  – Clean sheet odds £6.00
19. Bournemouth – Clean sheet odds £7.00
20. Sunderland  – Clean sheet odds £8.50

Comment

Hope you found that useful.  Again reasonable correlation between my ranking and the bookies odds this week.  Potentially a good week for clean sheets with 3 clean sheet odds under £2.00.  Last week was a very low clean sheet week with only 4 to Sunderland , Spurs, Chelsea and Liverpool.  Only Liverpool and Spurs were in mine and the bookies top ten odds.

Looking at the outliers from the bookies odds where my rank and theirs is different by 5 ranks or over.  There are 3

The bookies rank Chelsea having a far better clean sheet chances than I do and Bournemouth far less chance than I do.  Thats understandable as Chelsea have at last shown some defensive form which my analysis doesn’t factor in to the extent that the bookies do.  I go with the bookies on that.  The other outlier is Swansea at home to Leicester where the bookies give a higher clean sheet than me.  I’ll stick with myself on this.

Last week there 4 outliers.  The bookies ranked Man City higher than me.  I won that one with Southampton scoring.  However I ranked Watford away to Villa, Everton away to Bournemouth and Southampton away to Man City higher than the bookies.  I agreed with the bookies though on Southampton but lost the other 2.

Just a reminder as you can see from the odds that it’s very difficult to predict clean sheets and often there are only 5 or so clean sheets out of 20 teams playing so it’s not a silver bullet.  Good luck with your selections
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