fantasy premier league clean sheet tips GW19

Here’s our fantasy premier league clean sheet tips GW19 article.  Here we rank the clean sheet prospects for each team in GW19 by comparing each teams defence in gameweek 19 compared to the attacking rank of the opponent.  Both attack and defence ranking use a mixture of actual and underlying stats.  We also give you one of the bookies odds for clean sheets and rank them in order to give you another view.  I hope you find it interesting and useful in deciding the lineup for your team.

fantasy premier league clean sheet tips GW19

Firstly here’s the Fixtures

We go through each team by the clean sheet rank I’ve given them.  We calculated that in a very basic way.  We’ve compared the rank of the teams defence vs the rank of the opponents attack.  As I said it’s a bit basic and it doesn’t differentiate between home and away or recent circumstances.  Thats why we’ve put the clean sheet odds for GW19 of one bookie as another point of reference. We’ve also given you the rank of those odds for each of the teams.  The clean sheet odds are the amount won for £1 invested.  The odds are of Monday 28th when I wrote the article.  Hope thats clear.  In ranking the bookies, if the odds are the same for 2 or more teams, I’ve followed my ranking.  As I’ve used stats over the season sometimes recent circumstances wont be factored in.  Thats why it’s worth looking at the bookies odds and especially the outliers as another view and looking at the narrative under the heading “general points on teams”.  There’s also a lot of form information in my article “the best defences and defenders”

FFGeek Clean sheet Ranking for GW19

1. Liverpool (4th ranked defence vs Sunderland 18th ranked attack)
2. Arsenal (1st ranked defence vs Bournemouth 13th ranked attack)
3. C Palace (7th ranked defence vs Swansea 16th ranked attack)
4. Spurs (2nd ranked defence vs Watford 10th ranked attack)
5. Man Utd (3rd ranked defence vs Chelsea 7th ranked attack)
6. WBA (13th ranked defence vs Newcastle 17th ranked attack)
7. Newcastle (17th ranked defence vs WBA 20th ranked attack)
8. Chelsea (10th ranked defence vs Man Utd 12th ranked attack)
9. Stoke (5th ranked defence vs Everton 5th ranked attack)
10. Everton (15th ranked defence vs Stoke 14th ranked attack)
11. Norwich (20th ranked defence vs A Villa 19th ranked attack)
12. Watford (6th ranked defence vs Spurs 4th ranked attack)
13. Southampton (9th ranked defence vs West Ham 6th ranked attack)
14. A Villa(18th ranked defence vs Norwich 15th ranked attack)
15. Swansea (12th ranked defence vs C Palace 8th ranked attack)
16. West Ham (14th ranked defence vs Southampton 9th ranked attack)
17. Man City (8th ranked defence vs Leicester 3rd ranked attack)
18. Sunderland (19th ranked defence vs Liverpool 11th ranked attack)
19. Leicester (11th ranked defence vs Man City 1st ranked attack)
20. Bournemouth  (16th ranked defence vs Arsenal 2nd ranked attack)

One Bookies odds ranked for clean sheets GW19

1. Arsenal  – Clean sheet odds £2.10
2. Liverpool  – Clean sheet odds £2.25
3. Everton  – Clean sheet odds £2.10
4. C Palace – Clean sheet odds £2.40
5. WBA  – Clean sheet odds £2.45
6. Spurs  – Clean sheet odds £2.60
7. Norwich – Clean sheet odds £2.60
8. Southampton – Cleansheet odds £2.60
9. Man Utd  – Clean sheet odds £2.75
10. Man City – Clean sheet odds £3.10
11. Chelsea  – Clean sheet odds £3.20
12. West Ham – Clean sheet odds £3.40
13. Newcastle – Clean sheet odds £3.50
14. Swansea – Clean sheet odds £3.50
15.  A Villa – Clean sheet odds £3.75
16. Watford – Clean sheet odds £4.00
17. Stoke – Clean sheet odds £4.20
18. Sunderland  – Clean sheet odds £4.75
19. Leicester – Clean sheet odds £5.50
20. Bournemouth – Clean sheet odds £7.00

Comment

FFGeek vs the bookies

I’m scoring myself v the bookies by ranking the clean sheets actually acheived vs the rank of the prediction. The combined rank being the lowest wins. This week it was a bumper week for clean sheets with 8 to  Stoke, Bournemouth, C Palace, Liverpool, Spurs, Swansea, Everton and Southampton.  My rank of the clean sheets were in that order (8,16,10,14,2,4,11,15).  The bookies were (10,9,13,11,3,4,12,15).  My total was 80 the bookies 77.  So the bookies won narrowly this week thanks to their faith in Bournemouth.  Ill keep a running total

Last week

Looking at how the outliers from the bookies odds where my rank and theirs were different by more than 5 ranks  There were 5

The bookies favoured Chelsea home to Watford, Villa home to West Ham and Bournemouth home to C Pal more than me.  Only Bournemouth got a clean sheet so 2 to me there.

I favoured WBA at Swansea and Watford at Chelsea more than the bookies.  I didn’t think a Watford clean sheet was possible but lost the WBA aspect so 1 to the bookies there.

This week

No games with odds under £2.00.   Down to 10 places is £3.10 which seems normal.

Looking at the outliers from the bookies odds where my rank and theirs is different by more than 5 ranks  There are 4

The bookies favour Everton home to Stoke and Man City away to Leicester more than me.   I’ll take all of those on

I favour Newcastle away at WBA and Stoke at Everton more than the bookies.  I’m not so sure about Stoke at Everton but I’ll take Newcastle at WBA.

General points on teams

ManUtd have defensive injuries and a loss of defensive form.  The Norwich defensive performance as well as the Stoke game were embarrasing.  Darmian although still a doubt may return which could at least consign Young to the bench.

Man City have yet to keep a clean sheet without Vincent Kompany.  He’s injured his calf againand not expected to play.

Palace CB’s Delaney and Dann are injury concerns but expected to play.

Skrtels injury for Liverpool didn’t seem to effect them against Leicester

Tomkins and Cresswell are both injury doubts for West Ham.  Reid is also injured which is crucial.  West Ham with a number of injuries in attack and  are shutting up shop.  Pelle is out for West Ham but after Longs performance that may not be an issue.

Everton’s CB Jagielka injury is an issue for them.

CDM Coquelin’s injury seems to be affecting their defensive solidity.  Possible rotation today as well.

There is some prospect that CB Richards could return for Villa which would help them significantly

Leicester have Vardy potentially out through illness which would help Man Citys prospects especially with their high line defence

Kaboul remains injured for Sunderland.  It’s a sign of how poor they are that the Spurs reject is so key.

Just a reminder as you can see from the odds that it’s very difficult to predict clean sheets and often there are only 5 or so clean sheets out of 20 teams playing so it’s not a silver bullet.

Good luck with your selections
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fantasy premier league clean sheet tips GW18