Here’s an article analysing the 3 Spurs midfielders for fantasy premier league DGW22. We look at Alli, Eriksen and Son in various categories to help you make a transfer decision for DGW22
Fantasy premier league DGW22 – Spurs Mids – Alli, Eriksen or Son?
Overview
Son as I write this is £8.0m, Alli £9.0m and Eriksen £9.3m
Spurs in the upcoming gameweek GW21 have no game.
I imagine most readers here will either have Harry Kane in their team now or have a plan to get him back for DGW22. However I also imagine many will be wondering whether to get in an additional Spurs attacker given the great fixtures in the double gameweek. However many will think that Harry Kane, especially given the fixtures afterwards, and even more so if you’re triple captaining Kane, that there’s enough Spurs exposure already.
Here’s the upcoming fixtures. They played Southampton on the 26 December.
GW21 None
Swansea (A) GW22 – Jan 2
West Ham (H) GW22 – Jan 4
Everton (H) – Jan 13
Southampton (A)
Man Utd (H)
Liverpool (A)
Arsenal (H)
They play an FA Cup game v AFC Wimbledon on Jan 7.
Spurs form
Spurs have finally come alive winning 4 of their last 5 with the loss against Man City. They’ve scored 16 goals in the process. After a stuttering campaign it seems that now can be the time to invest in Spurs attackers.
One point to note though is that after the DGW22 the fixtures are difficult. An exit of Spurs attacking players after DGW22, apart from Kane, will probably be uppermost in many managers minds.
Player gametime
There are 7 days between Spurs’s GW20 match against Southampton and the first of the DGW22 games. Then there are 2 days between the 2 matches which is short. However after that there isn’t another PL game for 11 days with only a fixture against a team 2 leagues below them in the FA Cup which is perfect for resting players.
To me that seems the perfect recipe to avoid mass rotation in the 2 double gameweek fixtures. However that’s a difficult statement to make given the time between the 2 games. Pochettinho has probably rotated his key players less than others if that means anything. Son and Alli are probably more interchangeable than anyone with Eriksen who’s the lead creator in the side and difficult to replace. Son is the guy you would expect to go out of the team if Pochettino plays 3-4-2-1. However the last 7 fixtures have seen a back 4 which enables Spurs to play 3 attacking midfielders. Son has played in 6 of those 7 matches. That back 4 formation may not change until Alderweireld is fit which won’t be until February
Son has played 1,113 minutes in the PL and 1,626 minutes in total
Alli has played 1,571 minutes in the PL and 2019 minutes in total
Eriksen has played 1699 minutes in the PL and 2063 minutes in total
Eriksen wins the gametime category
Interesting Spurs supporter Joseph Crilley in his GW20 review discusses Spurs and thinks Son is the least likely to play 2 games in DGW22
RETURNS
Son has scored 6 goals and 4 assists in 13 starts and 5 sub appearances. He has scored an FPL point every 12.8 minutes
Alli has scored 4 goals and 8 assists in 18 starts and 1 sub appearance at an FPL point every 17.0 minutes.
Eriksen has scored 5 goals and 6 assists in 20 starts and 0 sub appearances at an FPL point every 15.8 minutes.
Son wins this category
CONSISTENCY
I count 20 minutes or more as a sub as a qualifying game
Son has scored a goal or assist in 6/16 games or 38%
Alli has scored a goal or assist in 8/18 games or 44%
Eriksen has scored a goal or assist in 10/20 games or 50%
Eriksens wins this category
EXPLOSIVENESS
Son has got 10+ FPL points in 3 of 16 games or 19%
Alli has got 10+ FPL points in 1 of 18 games or 6%
Eriksen has got 10+ FPL points in 2 of 20 games or 10%
Son wins this category
BONUS POINTS
Sons’s minutes/bonus points factor is 0.54. When Son gets a goal or assist he’s got a bonus point in 50% of those times
Alli’s minutes/bonus point factor is 0.45. When Alli gets a goal or assist he has also got a bonus point in 50% of those times
Eriksen’s minutes/bonus point factor is 0.89. When Eriksen gets a goal or assist he has also got a bonus point in 70% of those times
Eriksen wins this category
LAST 4 STARTS
Son has scored 2 goals and 2 assists in his last 4 starts for 27 FPL points. He has produced acceptable underlying stats in 3 of those last 4 games
Alli has got 1 goal and 5 assists in his last 4 starts for 30 points. He has produced acceptable underlying stats in 2 of his last 4 starts
Eriksen has got 1 goal and 2 assists in his last 4 starts for 22 points. He has produced acceptable underlying stats in only 1 of his last 4 starts
Alli wins this category
AVERAGE MINUTES IN LAST 4 STARTS
Son has averaged 79 minutes in his last 4 starts
Alli has averaged 80 minutes in his last 4 starts
Eriksen has averaged 90 minutes in his last 4 starts
Eriksen wins this category
SET PIECES/PENALTIES
Eriksen monopolises set pieces
THE TV TEST
To me Eriksen is the deeper of the 2 players and both Alli and Son play as virtual support strikers. I like both Son and Alli although I think Son gets into goalscoring positions more
Son Edges this category
Here’s the pass and position map from the Southampton game courtesy of the excellent twitter site 11tgen11
UNDERLYING STATS
Son’s xG 90 is 0.36 and xA 90 is 0.35. Son has produced acceptable underlying stats in 8/13 (62%) games. Son has consistently outperformed his stats
Alli’s xG 90 is 0.28 and xA 90 is 0.26. Alli has produced acceptable underlying stats in 11/18 (61%) games. Alli has also consistently outperformed his underlying stats
Eriksen’s xG 90 is 0.23 and xA 90 is 0.28. Eriksen has produced acceptable underlying stats in 9/20 (45%) games. Eriksen has consistently outperformed his assist based underlying stats
Those stats are from the excellent and free understat.com.
Son wins this category.
SUMMARY AND FFGEEK CHOICE
So Eriksen wins out on gametime and minutes plus consistency, bonus points and set pieces.
Son has the best returns and is the most explosive with the best underlying stats. He’s also the cheapest. Alli is based on recent form.
I would say Eriksen maybe the safest gametime choice. Alli and Son both offer decent point potential but Son has shown to be the most rotatable.
At the moment I’m thinking I may go with Son and just take the gametime risk. I like the underlying stats principally. I am a big Alli fan though but Son means I can keep Richarlison to get in Arnautovic whereas getting in Alli would mean a sacrifice of Richarlison instead of Loftus Cheek who I can see the end of more easily.
The good thing is there’s still a few days pontificating time!
I hope you found that useful. Any views on your choice please leave below in the comments section
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