Here’s our fantasy premier league DGW36 player rankings forwards article. Each player is ranked as a transfer target for DGW36. There’s a comprehensive spreadsheet of stats plus some commentary and their next fixtures to help you make a decision on your upcoming transfer.
fantasy premier league DGW36 player rankings forwards
This article was written before there was any news on Aguero so he has been excluded as an injury doubt
I’ve amended the format of the spreadsheet again to be more user friendly. Here’s the link to the google spreadsheet if you want to play around with it
Here’s the spreadsheet:
Key:
Mins per FPL point: How many minutes it takes to get an FPL point. The lower the better
Mins per goal or assist: How many minutes it takes to get a goal or assist. The lower the better
Fixt ease GW35: The ease of the fixtures GW35-38. The lower the better fixtures. See article
Last 4 points: Form check. The points from the last FPL games
Anytime Goal Scorer Odds: The anytime goalscoring odds for the next match from 1 bookie. Its £’s return for £1 invested
Underlying stats: I have ranked the players based on their shooting and creating chances stats over the season and recently
PLAYER COMMENTS
Jesus
As you can see from the stats, Jesus has a fantastic record since coming to the premier league. His goals, including the equaliser against Boro, show what a fantastic finisher he is. He also seems to have adopted the central furtherest forward role as well with Aguero dropping off. Great fixtures to come and a DGW. It seems given the Boro match and Peps words that he will start irrespective of Aguero although that can never be guaranteed with Pep.
If you were looking for negatives you would say he’s only played 300 minutes of premier league football and apart from 9 minutes against Spurs his opponents have been West Ham, Swansea, Bournemouth and Middlesborough.
Will be interesting to see if he takes pens if both Yaya and Aguero are off the field.
Fixtures from DGW36 to the end of the season:
Crystal Palace (H)
Leicester (H) DGW37
West Brom (H) DGW37
Watford (A)
Kane
Hard to describe how good he’s been. A consistent returner who also has pens in his locker backed up by excellent underlying stats. Only caveat seems to be a weighting towards scoring at home.
Fixtures from DGW36 to the end of the season:
West Ham (A)
Man Utd (H) DGW37
Leicester (A) DGW37
Hull (A)
Costa
Somehow Mr Consistency from earlier in the season has gone to Mr Roller Coaster. Only 2 returning games in the last 7 but those 2 games saw 24 FPL points. Whats clear though is the underlying stats have held up and the fixtures are excellent. Needs Spurs to push Chelsea for the tile to avoid Batshuayi getting a run out.
Fixtures from DGW36 to the end of the season:
Middlesbrough (H)
West Brom (A) DGW37
Watford (H) DGW37
Sunderland (H)
Lukaku
If anyone is going to make the early wildcarders smile and spoil the DGW party it’s this guy. Sawnsea and Watford next could result in anything from the PL’s leading scorer. Just very hard to have that much tied up in a single gameweek player when you’re on a wildcard
Fixtures from DGW36 to the end of the season:
Swansea (A)
Watford (H)
Arsenal (A)
Gabbiadini
There’s no doubts that this guys returns over his quite short time in the PL (421 minutes) has produced some great stats. However there are 4 major clouds over him. Firstly in the last 3 games since coming back from injury he’s been taken off before 60 minutes in 2 of them. Secondly Austin is coming back from injury and Long and even Rodriguez are options for a pretty rotation mad manager. Thirdly his last 3 starts have seen only 1 assist and his underlying shooting stats have fallen off a cliff. Lastly Saints have nothing to play for and some of their form shows that.
To me this is about your alternatives and your view on DGWs. Firstly, do you have a better alternative. If you can get Costa in satisfactorily then obviously he is a safer option. It’s also about your view of DGWs. While we may like to pour over stats and algorithms and think we know what will happen the truth is as football is based on a few events and all we can do is try and maximise the probability of those events. No one can predict what will happen despite what pundits will say definitely will happen. Gabbiadini is in some ways about whether you roll the dice on DGW’s. Tadic and Gabbiadini are the only attacking options you realistically have. Or do you treat DGWs exactly the same as any other week and minimise risk and maximise return probability.
Fixtures from DGW36 to the end of the season:
Liverpool (A) DGW36
Arsenal (H) DGW36
Middlesbrough (A) DGW37
Man Utd (H) DGW37
Stoke (H)
Vardy
In the last 9 games Vardy has returned a goal or assist in every game except for 1. Thats pretty impressive considering he had a spell of 7 games without returning either earlier in the season. Interestingly his stats aren’t that different over the season and recently and aren’t even that good. To me he seems to be a guy who gets into lots of good 1 on 1 petitions on the break which may explain it rather than just pure overperformance. DGW37 couldn’t be much worse in terms of fixtures although around it couldn’t be much better
Fixtures from DGW36 to the end of the season:
Watford (H)
Man City (A) DGW37
Spurs (H) DGW37
Bournemouth (H)
Defoe
Has a DGW but not much else going for him. 10 consecutive blanks are really enough to make you swerve him before you see anything else. If you were looking for positive you would say if you crawl the underlying stats for long enough there are some small signs that things aren’t really that bad but you have to be his Mum or his agent to do that. The other positives are that he has pens and a couple of good fixtures coming up.
Fixtures from DGW36 to the end of the season:
Hull (A)
Swansea (H) DGW37
Arsenal (A) DGW37
Chelsea (A)
Niasse
A home game to Sunderland that is huge for the club is always going to draw a crowd. Niasse has had no returns in his last 3 and in all honesty pretty ordinary returns. However, he is cheap and Sunderland are relegated and woeful. He also has no DGW.
Fixtures from DGW36 to the end of the season:
Sunderland (H)
Crystal Palace (A)
Spurs (H)
Origi
No DGW but actually quite good returns surprisingly. Underlying stats are ok as well
Fixtures from DGW36 to the end of the season:
Southampton (H)
West Ham (A)
Middlesbrough (H)
Llorente
The guy wouldn’t fit into the Klopp high pressing from the front system given his view that CFs should only expend energy in getting to the half time refreshments first. 1 return in the last 6 doesn’t help either but given the service he can finish. His underlying stats are ok for the price. No DGW
Fixtures from DGW36 to the end of the season:
Everton (H)
Sunderland (A)
West Brom (H)
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