Here’s the follow up to my first fantasy premier league article following the 10 pointers to see how successful the theory is.
For background if you didn’t read the first article or the theory that started it. You may remember my article “fantasy premier league – does jumping on the bandwagon work” , see link at bottom of page. This essentially found that if you transferred someone in who got 10 points or more in the previous gameweek and had a home game in the next fantasy premier league gameweek that he was virtually certain of returning a goal or assist in that game. I thought it would be interesting to test this theory over the coming few gameweeks. I do have to caveat this by saying it wasn’t exactly a statistically robust sample size and I was following the highest scoring players. Lets see who got 10 points or more in the last gameweek and has a home game next and we will also continue to follow their returns over 6 games.
There are 3 players in this category that we will follow as a result of what happened in gameweek 25. By the way if you did transfer them in immediately on Gerrard and Benteke you would have had a 2 point rise so far
Christian Benteke
GW25 – 10 points 2 goals away to Everton
GW26 – Home to West Ham – goal 8 points
Gareth Bale
GW25 – 11 points away to WBA
GW26 – Home to Newcastle – 2 goals 15 points
Steven Gerrard
GW25 – 10 points away to Man City
GW26 – Home to WBA – 0 points missed pen! (should have returned)
uUnfortuantely no players qualified for fantasy premier league gameweek 27 so no one to follow apart from the above that we will continue to monitor
Summary of whether these players scored in their next game
gameweek 26 – 2 of 3 returned in their next game. A good start. Bale 15 points v NEW, Benteke 8 points v WHM, Gerrard 0 points v WBA (penalty missed!)
Heres the link to the original article on my theory (cut and paste in to your browser unfortunately)
Fantasy premier league – does jumping on the bandwagon work?