FANTASY PREMIER LEAGUE GW16 TIPS – ANALYSING 10 TOP FPL MANAGERS

Here’s our regular feature where we analyse the teams of 10 top FPL managers who in the last 3 seasons none have finished outside the top 10k. The top 10 Managers have played 30 times in the last 3 years and none have finished outside the top 10k in that time. Considering how variable the last 3 years have been this is remarkable consistency and shows an ability to adapt strategy in different seasons. It also gives you a view other than my own on strategy and player selection. This week was a bad week with 8 of the 10 having red arrows.  Obviously the “celebrity” manager was one of the 2 green arrows

FANTASY PREMIER LEAGUE GW16 TIPS – ANALYSING 10 TOP FPL MANAGERS

THE 10 MANAGERS FPL STATS

The stats of the top 10 managers are incredible again this season.

1. The overall average finishing position of the top 10 managers is 2,943

2. The top 10 FPL managers have not been out of the top 10k in the last 3 years (ie 30 times playing)

3. 9 of the 10 have finished in the top 1,000

GAMEWEEK SUMMARY

A bad week for the top 10 FPL managers. 8 of the 10 had red arrows.

The average score of the managers in GW15 was 50 compared to the average of 46. Thats 4 points and 9% above the average score. The high score of the 10 was 57. The low score was 42. An low spread of 15 for the gameweek.

The average overall rank of the top 10 FPL managers took a small leap backward to 243k compared to the last gameweek of 220k. A worsening of rank of 23k. The best rank is 3,500 and the lowest 756k. A couple of scores are distorting the average. If you calculated the median rank then that is 107k compared to 89k last gameweek. A worsening of rank of 18k. At the moment 5 have overall ranks inside 100k. 1 is inside the top 10k.

The average value is up from last week at £104.7m from £104.3m last gameweek.

If you’re interested my score was again terrible at 42. None of the managers had a lower gameweek score although 2 had 42. My overall rank is now 488k compared to 329k last gameweek. A worsening of rank of 159k. I’m still ahead of 2 of the top 10 managers. My team value is low though in comparison at £103.5m up from £103.3m last gameweek. My total score is 760 points.

GK/DEFS BY PLAYER

Amat and Pickford are in 7/10 FPL managers teams

Holebas is in 6/10 FPL managers teams

Alonso and Foster are in 5/10 FPL managers teams

Lovren and Heaton are in 4/10 of the FPL managers teams

Pieters, Jakupovic, Walker are in 3/10 FPL managers teams

GK/DEFS BY TEAM

WBA GK/Defs are represented 11 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Swansea GK/Defs are represented 8 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Sunderland and GK/Defs are represented 7 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Watford and Liverpool GK/Defs are represented 6 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Stoke, Hull and Chelsea GK Defs are represented 5 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Burnley GK/Defs are represented 4 times in the 10 of the FPL managers teams

MIDFIELDERS

Sanchez is in 10/10 FPL managers teams

Firmino is in 9/10 FPL managers teams

Sigurdsson is in 8/10 FPL managers teams

Hazard are 6/10 of the FPL managers teams

Fletcher is in 5/10 of the FPL managers teams

FORWARDS

Kane is in 10/10 FPL managers teams

Costa is in 8/10 FPL managers teams

Iheanacho is in 4/10 FPL managers teams

GW15 CAPTAIN CHOICE

Sanchez was the captain in 9/10 teams

Mane was the captains in 1/10 teams

FORMATION

10 FPL managers played 3-4-3

TRANSFERS

Wildcards, Transfers and Hits

10/10 have now played their wildcards.

In this round 6 managers took an 8 point hit.

1 Manager took a 4 point hit

10 of the 10 managers made a transfer

Transfers in

Costa was transferred in 6 times

Iheanacho and Sanchez  were transferred in 4 times

Kane and Alonso was transferred in twice

No one else was transferred in more than once

Transfers out

Aguero was transferred out 7 times

Austin was transferred out 6 times

Walcott was transferred out 4 times

No one else was transferred out more than once

COMPARISON WITH THE TOP 10K

Here’s a comparison with the how the top 10k overall rank average team looks like. The information is provided by the excellent site FPL discovery.

The top 10k average score was 50 compared to the Top FPL managers of 50.

What it does show is that the top 10 fpl managers I follow have some big differences (30% difference is the benchmark) with the top 10k rank. Here are the main ones:

The top 10k favour the following significantly more than the managers I follow:

Capoue

The 10 Managers I follow favour the following more significantly than the top 10k

Foster Amat, Holebas, Firmino, Sigurdsson and Kane

FOCUS ON 1 MANAGERS TEAM

Again we focus on the managers team who last season finished the highest of my then top 10 FPL managers ending up in 1,400th position. This manager is the closest thing to a fantasy football celebrity there is due to his consistent results so we’ll keep an eye on him. At present he is in 40k overall rank a big improvement in rank from the last gameweek of 47k. His total points are 835 after a good score of 54 this gameweek. Just to give you a bit of context his last 3 years overall rankings have been 1,450, 277 and 90.

I think this week he will replace Mustafi with Alonso

THE HIGHEST SCORING AND LOWEST SCORING MANAGERS IN GW15

Highest scoring

2nd highest scorer last week this week this manager is the highest although it still meant a small red arrow.  His last 3 seasons scores are 9,575, 197 and 3,138

Lowest scorer

A bad week for the leading manager who’s at 3.5k overall rank.  Although it only saw a drop in rank of 2k

With only 15 points difference between the teams it’s not worth explaining

TOP 10 MANAGERS COMBINED TEAM

Here’s a team to represent the top 10 managers. Those highlighted are where it’s different to my team. It’s unaffordable at around £106m.

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FANTASY PREMIER LEAGUE BEST FIXTURES GW16 – FIXTURE EASE SCHEDULE

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FANTASY PREMIER LEAGUE BEST FORWARD TRANSFERS GW16 – “ONES TO WATCH”

December 13, 2016

Comments

11 comments
  • Icelandic Saga

    I’m guessing that the weekly average is calculated without taking into account point hits from transfers?

    I scored 47, dropping to 43 with transfers, so i was expecting a big fall but it wasn’t too bad at all. Took a flyer with Origi as captain and it would have been a great move except my defence was a shambles.

    Mulling over a cheap midfielder from Gundogan, Barry, Routledge or Obiang. Any thoughts?

    Reply

    • Stephen T

      Phillips of WBA, Can at L’pool and Ramirez at Borough are good value.

      Reply

      • Icelandic Saga

        Thanks Stephen. I’ve already got Can and Phillips but will consider Ramirez. I’m worried about Boros goalscoring though, there not exactly prolific but then Ramirez is the one who makes things work most of the time so could be a good shout. Cheers.

        Reply

  • Aaron

    I took a 4 point hit this week to swap out Austin for Origi – came up trumps on that one… all-in-all still doing ok in 92k position.

    I swapped out Williams for Alonso this week with my FT, team is currently

    Foster (Pickford)
    Clyne, Alonso, Vertonghen (Amat, Mee)
    Allen, Sigurdsson, Sanchez, Firmino (Fletcher)
    Origi, Kane, Costa

    I had considered taking another 4 point hit to transfer Mane in for Firmino, thoughts??

    Reply

  • Viking Quest

    Firmino no longer play central striker and have not returned anything for the last four GWs. Mane looks like the better choice now i think. Other good options are Sigurdson and Eriksen. I transfered out Firmino this week for the latter. Hoping for some good returns in the next couple of GWs.
    My team now look like this; pickford and jak in goal. The defence consist of walker,alonso, lovren, peters and amat. In midfield i have capoue, hazard, sanchez, eriksen, and can. Up front i have costa, kane and iheanacho. I am thinking about tranfering in benteke in a couple of GWs.

    Reply

    • RS

      Same as well, transferred in Erikson this week and out goes Shaqiri.

      I am looking to bring in Lallana in the next GW to free up funds for Siggurdson.

      Line-ups:

      Foster (Pickford)
      McAuley, Johnson, Daniels (Holebas, Van Annholt)
      Firmino, Erikson, Walcott, Sanchez, Redmond
      Kane, Costa (Diomande)

      Reply

    • Stephen

      I had defensive issues which needed sorted, otherwise this would have been my transfer. If Firmino blanks again I will likely be replacing with Siggy, who I wanted to get in a couple of weeks ago.

      Reply

  • Martin

    I just took Pedro out and gambled on Antonio for west ham based on 3 great fixtures
    My team is fairly strong but always uncertain on formation:
    Pickford/foster
    Clyne, McCauley, holabas, Aspiluceta
    antonio siggy Sanchez
    Costa Kane zlatan
    Subs: de groon smith snodgrass

    Reply

  • Stephen

    Grant or Foster in goal?

    Currently on Grant as I think Southampton are struggling to score and with no Austin could struggle creating chances against Stoke, who have been defensively better lately.

    Foster against Swansea who are scoring with Siggy and llorente gaining confidence but they also could struggle with a tight Baggies defense.

    Both at home

    Reply

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