FANTASY PREMIER LEAGUE GW19 TIPS – ANALYSING 10 TOP FPL MANAGERS

Here’s our regular feature where we analyse the teams of 10 top FPL managers who in the last 3 seasons none have finished outside the top 10k. The top 10 Managers have played 30 times in the last 3 years and none have finished outside the top 10k in that time. Considering how variable the last 3 years have been this is remarkable consistency and shows an ability to adapt strategy in different seasons. It also gives you a view other than my own on strategy and player selection. Another bad week with 8 of the 10 having red arrows. A very interesting week with 7 green arrows and a surprising variation of captain picks

FANTASY PREMIER LEAGUE GW19 TIPS – ANALYSING 10 TOP FPL MANAGERS

THE 10 MANAGERS FPL STATS

The stats of the top 10 managers are incredible again this season.

1. The overall average finishing position of the top 10 managers is 2,943

2. The top 10 FPL managers have not been out of the top 10k in the last 3 years (ie 30 times playing)

3. 9 of the 10 have finished in the top 1,000

GAMEWEEK SUMMARY

A good week for the top 10 FPL managers. 7 of the 10 had green arrows.

The average score of the managers in GW18 was 68 compared to the average of 54. Thats 14 points and 26% above the average score. The high score of the 10 was 85. The low score was 50. A  high spread of 35 for the gameweek.  That’s going to happen with variable captain picks

The average overall rank of the top 10 FPL managers took a small leap forward to 272k compared to the last gameweek of 306k. An improvement of rank of 34k. The best rank is 2k and the lowest 985k. A couple of scores are distorting the average. If you calculated the median rank then that is steady at 126k compared to 127k last gameweek. A improvement of rank of 1k. At the moment 3 have overall ranks inside 100k. 1 is inside the top 10k.

The average value is slightly improved at £104.9m compared to last week at £104.7m.

If you’re interested my score was in comparison a good one at 73. Only 4 of the managers had a better gameweek score. It helped my rank greatly.   My overall rank is now 469k compared to 659k last gameweek. An improvement of rank of 190k. I’m still ahead of 2 of the top 10 managers. My team value is low though in comparison at £102.3m down from £102.9m last gameweek. My total score is 919 points.

GK/DEFS BY PLAYER

Alonso and Amat are in 7/10 FPL managers teams

Holebas and Pickford are in 6/10 FPL managers teams

Foster and Heaton are in 4/10 FPL managers teams

Jones, Pieters, Jakupovic and Walker are in 3/10 FPL managers teams

GK/DEFS BY TEAM

WBA GK/Defs are represented 10 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Swansea GK/Defs are represented 8 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Chelsea GK/Defs are represented 7 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Watford and Sunderland GK/Defs are represented 6 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Stoke and Hull GK Defs are represented 5 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Burnley and Spurs GK/Defs are represented 4 times in the 10 of the FPL managers teams

MIDFIELDERS

Sanchez is in 10/10 FPL managers teams

Hazard is in 9/10 FPL managers teams

Sigurdsson is in 8/10 FPL managers teams

Fletcher and Eriksen are in 5/10 of the FPL managers teams

FORWARDS

Ibrahimovic is in 10/10 FPL managers teams

Origi is in 5/10 FPL managers teams

Kane and Costa are in 4/10 FPL managers teams

GW18 CAPTAIN CHOICE

Hazard, Sanchez and Ibrahimovic were the captain in 3/10 teams each

Mane was the other captain

FORMATION

5 FPL managers played 3-4-3

2 FPL managers played 3-5-2

3 FPL managers played 4-4-2

This was in part influenced by Costa having to be on the bench

TRANSFERS

Wildcards, Transfers and Hits

10/10 have now played their wildcards.

In this round 6 managers took a 4 point hit.

10 of the 10 managers made a transfer

Transfers in

Ibrahimovic was transferred in 10 times

Phil Jones was transferred in twice

No one else was transferred in more than once

Transfers out

Kane was transferred out 6 times

Costa was transferred out 5 times

No one else was transferred out more than once

COMPARISON WITH THE TOP 10K

Here’s a comparison with the how the top 10k overall rank average team looks like. The information is provided by the excellent site FPL discovery.

The top 10k average score was 57 compared to the Top FPL managers of 68.

The top 10 fpl managers I follow have some big differences (30% difference is the benchmark) with the top 10k rank. Here are the main ones:

The top 10k favour the following significantly more than the managers I follow:

None

The 10 Managers I follow favour the following more significantly than the top 10k

Foster Pickford, Heaton, Alonso, Amat, Holebas and Sigurdsson

FOCUS ON 1 MANAGERS TEAM




Again we focus on the managers team who last season finished the highest of my then top 10 FPL managers ending up in 1,400th position. This manager is the closest thing to a fantasy football celebrity there is due to his consistent results so we’ll keep an eye on him. At present he is in 109k overall rank a big drop in rank from the last gameweek of 67k. His total points are 974 after a relatively poor score of 61 this gameweek although he still got a green arrow. Just to give you a bit of context his last 3 years overall rankings have been 1,450, 277 and 90.

I was right in my prediction that last week he would take out Costa I said more likely or Kane for Ibrahimovic.   This week I think he will bring Aguero in for Kane as he has the cash in the bank.  UPDATE.  Pointed out that this was a miscalculation,  he doesn’t quite have enough.  Usually he will rollover the transfer so I’ll guess that this week

THE HIGHEST SCORING AND LOWEST SCORING MANAGERS IN GW17

Highest scorer

A fantastic score of 85

Lowest scorer

a low score of 50

The power of defence and captain  and just 1 attacking player

There were 35 points between the 2 teams.  The captain choice accounted for 13 points.  2 players in defence in Alonso and Heaton made up 11 points and 1 attacking player in Eriksen 8 points.  Thats 32 of the 35 points in 3 players and the captain choice.  Brutal that so few differences can make such a big score difference.  If you try and look at the brightside it does show that only a few differences can move you forward significantly.

TOP 10 MANAGERS COMBINED TEAM

Here’s a team to represent the top 10 managers. Those highlighted are where it’s different to my team. It’s unaffordable at around £106m.

So what about looking at it from the point of view of the consensus team and then after that differentials.  To qualify I’ll say that the consensus team has to be in 6/10 of the FPL managers teams.  So here it is with the potential differentials as blank

I have everyone in my team apart from Sigurdsson.  This easily explains why I’m behind most of them as the rest of my team hasn’t really performed for me apart from maybe Ake which is a pretty damning statement

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Comments

1 comment
  • Stephen T

    Can’t get behind Sigurdsson a third time, he has disappointed each time I have brought him in. He is Swansea, but coming off 3 scoreless returns, I just can’t bring him in. My move to pick up Walcott failed, as he didn’t play last week and now calls into question what’s going to happen to him the next few game weeks with Giroud playing well, Ramsey healthy and in the line up. Not sure it’s worth to double up on the Gunners midfield right now.

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