fantasy premier league GW27 transfer tips – the bandwagons and sinking ships


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Here’s our fantasy premier league GW27 transfer tips article where we outline the bandwagons and sinking ships. These are the most transferred in players (bandwagons) and most transferred out players (sinking ships) so far in the FPL gameweek.

FANTASY PREMIER LEAGUE GW27 TRANSFER TIPS – THE BANDWAGONS AND SINKING SHIPS

THE BANDWAGONS

These are the 5 most transferred IN players so far in the gameweek.

Stats definition:

Mins per FPL point: the amount of minutes it takes a player to earn an FPL point. The lower the better obviously

ATGS/CS odds GW27: The anytime goal scoring odds or clean sheet odds for Defs for GW27.

Fixture ease: Our article ranking the easiness of their fixtures




fantasy premier league GW27 transfer tips

Mkhitaryan

The former Man Utd AM started his Arsenal career with 3 assists in the 5-1 win against a very obliging Everton defence.

I was quite surprised that when on the pitch even for Man Utd his overall returns weren’t that bad.  They were just very much at the beginning of the season and then tailed off.  The fact is though an Arsenal AM for £7.8m when you consider Ozil is £9.3m and Sanchez was £11.8m is potentially great value.  We know he has the ability, his 11 goals and 15 assists in 31 games for Dortmund in 15/16 coupled with being Bundesliga player of the year showed that.

It’s just how much of his lack of form in the latter times at Man Utd was down to the system and how much was due to any deterioration as a player.  Playing again with Aubameyang in from his Dortmund days has to be a massive advantage and the Mkhitaryan/Aubameyang assist train has already left the station with Aubameyang scoring via Mkhitaryan in the win v Everton.

The one watchout is lack of goal threat in is his Man Utd days compared to his Dortmund numbers.  That underlying stat was back at Dortmund levels v Everton.  A solely assist based player does come with disadvantages FPL points wise

Arsenals next 2 tricky fixtures may give more scouting time if you’re unsure

Spurs (A)
Man City (H)
Brighton (A)
Watford (H)

Aubameyang

Also started off his Arsenal career positively with a goal.

There’s no doubting his ability to score.  In 17/18 for Dortmund he’s scored 13 goals and 3 assists in 16 games at a rate of a goal or assist every 88 minutes.  That’s Aguero type country albeit in a different league. 16/17 was no different with 31 goals and 2 assists in 32 starts at a rate of a goal or assist every 84 minutes.

What’s more his goal threat underlying stats are also Aguero country.  This is not a player who’s goals are built on sand or supplemented excessively by penalties.

Interestingly he played the first game as lone striker with Lacazette benched.  He’s also ineligible for the Europa League and with Arsenal out of the FA Cup it looks like we could have a 90 minute player for every PL game.

The unknown is adjustment to the league.  There have been successes and failures of strikers transferring from the Bundesliga to the premier league so it’s hard to make generalisations.  Firmino and Son, if you call him a striker, have been successes and going back further Berbatov.  Joselu would be a failure as well as further back Voronin and Pizarro.  Whether you can compare these players to Aubameyang is questionable though.

Like Mkhitaryan the next 2 fixtures give a good scouting opportunity if you’re unsure

Spurs (A)
Man City (H)
Brighton (A)
Watford (H)

Ramsey

A hat trick from 3 shots for the box to box midfielder v Everton has certainly put him on the radar of FPL managers.  It was only his 2nd start after coming back from injury and he faces competition from Wilshere, who was ill, for his place.  Whether Wenger will change formation to accommodate Ramsey, Xhaka and Wilshere in midfield or push 1 of  Ramsey further up the pitch in a 4-2-3-1 remains to be seen.  a 3-4-2-1 which has been a favoured formation would almost certainly see Mkhitaryan and Ozil in the 2 and 2 of the 3 mids previously mentioned fighting for 2 places.

So there is some gametime risk but what you do have is a box to box midfielder scoring goals on the back of some very good underlying stats.  His main drawback is often his inability to finish ironically after the weekend as he has a history of under performing the stats.

Spurs (A)
Man City (H)
Brighton (A)
Watford (H)

Gross

It’s quite fitting to do Gross in positives and negatives.  On the positive side you have a cheap player who has an almost supoort striker role with set piece domination for his club.  His overall returns for the price are very good and he has bonus points for breakfast.  If I told you the only mids are De Bruyne and Salah with more bonus points than Gross’s 20 then I’m sure you’d think I was lying.  The also guy got 3 bonus points in Brighton’s 0-1 loss to Man Utd.   Both are true.  He can also score big.  He has 4 double figure FPL point hauls.  Only Salah, Sterling, De Bruyne and Sane have more.  His fixtures coming up are also excellent.

It’s all too good to be true isn’t it, so why doesn’t everyone own him?

Well before we all get drunk on Gross.  Here’s the sobering news.  He’s incredibly inconsistent.  He’s returned a goal or assist in only 33% of games.  Of the 22 mids I’m monitoring no one has a worse record.  Prior to GW26 he blanked in 6 consecutive games and before GW26 it was 1 return in 13 games.

Then there’s his underlying stats.  His assist based stats are ok for the price.  His goal threat underlying stats are absolutely terrible and there’s no way he should have scored the goals he has.  He also has no history of over performing these stats.  Lastly there’s Brighton’s ability to score and their defensive mindset.  Only Swansea and Huddersfield have scored less goals so far this season.

So you either say, great fixtures and there’s a good chance he’ll score big or this guys just too inconsistent and his returns are built on sand.

Stoke (A)
Swansea (H)
Arsenal (H)
Everton (A)

Deulofeu

The Watford Barcelona loanee certainly made a good  impression in his 2nd game back in English football v Chelsea with a goal and assist plus 3 bonus points making it a 13 FPL point haul.

His first 2 positions have been as a right winger and as a CAM.

He’s had 3 seasons previously in the premier league.  16/17 was pretty underwhelming with 11 appearances for 460 minutes seeing no goals or assists.  The previous 2 seasons for Everton though were far more impressive with 5 goals and 13 assists at a goal or assist every 127 minutes and an FPL point every 16 minutes.

Fixtures aren’t too bad either

West Ham (A)
Everton (H)
West Brom (H)
Arsenal (A)

The sinking ships

These are the 5 most transferred out players so far in the gameweek




fantasy premier league GW27 TRANSFER TIPS

Mahrez

Has not trained since deadline day when the Man City bid was rejected by Leicester as being insufficient.  The reason for not training being cited from Mahrez’s side is that he’s depressed following the break down of his move.  With Man City next on the fixture list for Leicester the chances of this being revered seem zero especially as even a change of mind wouldn’t reverse the lack of training.

£5.0m FPL forward Diabete filled in for him on the right side of midfield with some success despite blanking

Man City (A)
Stoke (H)
Bournemouth (H)
West Brom (A)

Lingard

The arrival of Sanchez to Man Utd has caused a problem for Lingard on the basis that the attacking midfield slots should continue to be Sanchez and Martial with the last spot filled by either Lingard or Mata.  Now while Lingard has started both games since Sanchez has joined he’s been subbed in the 60th odd minute both times.  A 4-3-3 could see neither Lingard or Mata start.

At a fundamental level he’s still great value as a Man Utd attacker and gets into the box regularly.

However that negative of gametime, plus 4 consecutive blanks and 4 of the last 5 games with poor underlying stats tends to make a fairly compelling negative case.

Newcastle (A)
Chelsea (H)
Crystal Palace (A)
Liverpool (H)

Alonso

Not on the team sheet at all for precautionary reasons due to tiredness Conte explains after Watford.  I’m taking from that he will be fit for GW27.  To be honest I’m surprised as a wingback (albeit one who stands in the opposition penalty area most of the time) isn’t rotated more.

A home game next to WBA hardly seems the time to exit a Chelsea defender from your FPL team.

However that does depend on whether you believe that conceding 7 goals against 2 teams that scored 2 goals between them recently against Stoke is a sign of defensive meltdown, an abberation or a player design to oust Conte.  The supposed 3 rats that ousted Mourinho of Hazard, Fabregas and Costa aren’t all there but there are a number o f theories of player discontent going round.

West Brom (H)
Man Utd (A)
Man City (A)
Crystal Palace (H)

Sterling

His miss v Burnley may have been the miss of the season or even the century and he may have had a couple of ordinary games v Liverpool and Newcastle but come on.  This is a guy who’s scored 14 goals and 10 assists in 20 starts and 4 as sub.  He’s got 7 double figure FPL hauls and got a goal or assist in 55% of his games over 20 minutes played.  His underlying stats for a midfielder are only bettered by Salah.  I’d only sell Kane and Salah after Sterling.

Leicester (H)
Arsenal (A)
Chelsea (H)
Stoke (A)

Pogba

Pogba is a bit more of a complicated case.  Benched apparently as McTominey had more chance of opening up a packed Huddersfield defence and not because of the rather intense discussion on the sideline between him and Mourinho in a previous game.

On pure numbers Pogba stacks up ok.  Its just in a 2 of 4-2-3-1 when Man Utd aren’t camped in the opposition half he isn’t as forward as you like.  Now in my mind judging him on Spurs isn’t really fair.  I am a fan I just can’t work out if there’s a consistent problem coming or not.  Given that is he worth the investment is the question? If I owned him I’m not sure I’d be desperate to sell him before a game against Newcastle

Newcastle (A)
Chelsea (H)
Crystal Palace (A)
Liverpool (H)

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