fantasy premier league GW28 transfer tips – the bandwagons and sinking ships

bandwagons and sinking ships, Fantasy Premier League

Here’s our fantasy premier league GW28 transfer tips article where we outline the bandwagons and sinking ships. These are the most transferred in players (bandwagons) and most transferred out players (sinking ships) so far in the FPL gameweek.

FANTASY PREMIER LEAGUE GW28 TRANSFER TIPS – THE BANDWAGONS AND SINKING SHIPS

THE BANDWAGONS

These are the 5 most transferred IN players so far in the gameweek.

Stats definition:

Mins per FPL point: the amount of minutes it takes a player to earn an FPL point. The lower the better obviously

Team to win/CS odds GW28: There are no anytime goal scoring odds at this time so I’ve just done a team to win odds or clean sheet odds for Defs for GW28.

Note: there is fixture ease article at the moment as the FA Cup fixtures potentially will massively change the fixture landscape




fantasy premier league GW28 transfer tips

B Davies

Probably the only negative the Spurs LB has is Danny Rose the other Spurs LB.  Unless a clear competition fixture pattern can be established then you’re always liable for him to be rested and replaced.  To make it worse he’s had three 89 minute substitutions on to the pitch when benched.  That means you can’t even take the view that at least you’ll get someone else on for a possible clean sheet or other points.

However at a very basic level he’s great value within one of the top defences.  If you saw my expected goals article you’ll see he was 9th in terms of projected attacking points for a defender and certainly the highest of any Spurs defender.  It’s been an impressive return of 2 goals and 6 assists plus 8 clean sheets in 19 starts plus 3 sub appearances.

If you want more certainty of starts you’ll have to go to GK Lloris at £5.4m or CBs Vertonghen at £6.0m or Alderweireld at £5.8m.  Both CBs have watchouts although probably not as risky as Davies.  Vertonghen has played alot of minutes so could be rotated and Alderweireld is coming back from a significant injury and could be treated with kid gloves

Fantastic fixtures up to the potential blank of GW31 where they are likely to have their fixture postponed for a FA Cup quarter final game

Crystal Palace (A)
Huddersfield (H)
Bournemouth (A)

Aguero  

The highest scorer of the round will inevitably find himself in the bandwagons for next week and that’s the case for the Man City 4 goal forward from GW27.  He’s been in fantastic form and with Jesus’s injury he’s played 90 minutes in the last 6 games getting 9 goals and an assist in that period.  That’s made it an incredible 12 goals and 5 assists in 21 starts plus 1 sub appearance.  What’s more no forward has better underlying stats except Man City’s other forward Gabriel Jesus.

It’s not all blue sky though.  Here are a few things to contend with

Firstly the aforementioned Gabriel Jesus.  With Jesus back potentially as soon as GW28 Aguero could return to the forward role job share.  Now Man City do have an FA Cup tie v Wigan and an effective dead rubber in the UCL v Basel to rest Aguero but whether that will be enough for Pep to continue Aguero uninterrupted in the premier league has to be in question.

It’s impossible to think that Man City won’t beat Wigan at the first attempt in the FA Cup game but if they should draw then Man City’s GW28 fixture will likely be postponed and Man City will have a blank GW28 gameweek.  That can obviously be managed by waiting for the result of that game before transferrring Aguero in.

Also given it’s likely that Man City will progress in the FA Cup to the quarters it’s likely they will blank in GW31.  That may or may not be an issue for you depending on how you plan to manage the blanks and double gameweeks

Lastly the fixtures up to the blank of GW31 aren’t exactly a pice of cake

Arsenal (A)
Chelsea (H)
Stoke (A)

Niasse

Niasse to me has been given pretty rough treatment this season.  He scored 5 goals and an assist in the opening 7 games (3 started 4 as sub) on the back of some very strong underlying stats and was then cast aside after a 2 match diving ban.  That was until he started the last 3 games after Big Sam decided Tosun wasnt “adjusted” to the PL yet.

He got a goal and assist in the last of those 3 games v C Palace and looks well placed to continue.  Big Sam implied Tosun would be getting more minutes when Everton were safe.

Everton have a guaranteed fixture in the potential blank GW31 so depending on how you plan to deal with the blank and double gameweeks then this may or may not be an advantage to you.

Watford (A)
Burnley (A)
Brighton (H)

Arnautovic

Returned to his best after injury in the win over Watford as a wide midfielder rather than striker .  After a slow start it’s been an incredible 7 goals and 4 assists in his last 9 games playing mainly as a striker though which may have disappeared considering Chicharito has started the last 3.

West Ham are out of the FA Cup so will have a useful rest over the weekend.   Unless Man Utd lose to Huddersfield in the FA Cup and their GW31 fixture will potentially be posyponed.

Liverpool (A)
Swansea (A)
Burnley (H)

De Bruyne

A triple assist performance in Man City’s 5-1 win over Leicester continues a remarkable season where he’s incredibly started all 27 PL games for 7 goals and 16 assists.  The only negative if you describe it as that is that he is way overperforming his xG and xA.  He does the ability to hit screamers outside the box and has deadly finishers in Aguero and Jesus to finish his chances created plus he has regularly outperformed these stats historically so you could make a case for saying they are irrelevant.

The comments re fixtures in the Aguero section are also relevant.

Arsenal (A)
Chelsea (H)
Stoke (A)

THE SINKING SHIPS

These are the 5 most transferred out players so far in the gameweek




fantasy premier league GW28 transfer tips

Alonso

Conte seems to have joined the Poch “deliver injury news by ever worsening increments” club.  Morata is a little tired and then he doesn’t know how long he’ll be out for (before weirdly starting virtually next game).  Luiz has nothing much wrong with him and is then barely ever not injured.  Alonso is tired and rested as a precaution but then gets a mysterious ankle injury in training.  Seems to be 50/50 whether he will play the next game.

The win over WBA at least brought the defence back to normal service as one of the best in the league.  Alonso is also ranked the 3rd best defender for attacking in my expected goals article so there’s a lot of positives.  However if you’re set on selling now is a good exit point as youll see from the next 2 fixtures.

Man Utd (A)
Man City (A)
Crystal Palace (H)

Lingard

Lingard has now blanked in 5 consecutive games and in those 5 has posted decent underlying stats only  twice so all is not rosy by any stretch.  However he’s still getting into the box regularly and for me will get chances to score.  However the real problem is minutes.  It doesn’t matter who you are, you can’t be a viable FPL asset if you’re coming off at 60 minutes in every game and that is what is happening to Lingard now.  He plays 60 odd and Mata plays the rest.

Chelsea (H)
Crystal Palace (A)
Liverpool (H)

Pogba

Pogba seems to be catching the Lingard disease.  The last 3 games have seen 1 appearance off the subs bench and two 60 minute odd starts.  Both playing in the 2 of 4-2-3-1 and his once excellent underlying stats are  disappearing off a cliff.

Pogba made his name with Juve in the left side of a midfield 3 of 4-3-3.  The 4-2-3-1 that Mourinho currently loves just seems to have stopped him in his tracks.  He doesn’t seem to work in either the midfield 2 or the 3 of that formation.  It maybe fixable but Chelsea next provides an opportunity for holders who’ve seen 4 consecutive blanks to jump ship.

Chelsea (H)
Crystal Palace (A)
Liverpool (H)

Otamendi

Manchester City maybe behind Man Utd in clean sheets and goals conceded but the underlying stats have Man City as the best defence in the league.  What they don’t have is David DeGea in the form of his life.  However 1 clean sheet in the last 6 is going to test any FPL managers faith and with Arsenal away next it’s an easy place to say goodbye.

Arsenal (A)
Chelsea (H)
Stoke (A)

Aubameyang

It’s amazing how in a week you can go from the bandwagons list to the sinking ships list seamlessly.

No shots and no key passes from Aubameyang as Arsenal suffered one of the most comprehensive 1-0’s you can imagine in the loss to their North London neighbours.

That with Man City next has been enough for FPL managers to go elsewhere.  Seems a tad short sighted as the next 2 fixtures after that are very good.  With Lacazette injured and Aubameyang ineligible for the Europa League he should get 90 minutes each week.

Man City (H)
Brighton (A)
Watford (H)

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