Here’s our fantasy premier league GW3 captain choice article where we look at ways of assessing the best captain pick for the gameweek. We look at the fixtures, the bookies odds, the FPL advice site polls, who the FFGeek contributors are captaining, some stats and the FFGeek choice. We also look at the results of the transfer in and out poll
fantasy premier league GW3 captain choice
The fixtures
The Bookies Team win odds
Only 3 teams are heavy favourites this week:
Liverpool v Brighton £1.15 – Salah, Mane, Firmino
Wolves – Man City £1.25 – Aguero, Sterling,
Arsenal v West Ham – £1.36 – Aubameyang
The Bookies player odds
Here’s a bookies anytime goal scoring odds up to £2.20 for £1 invested:
£1.44 – Salah
£1.57 – Aguero
£1.60 – Aubameyang
£2.00 – Firmino, Mane
£2.10 – Sterling
£2.15 – Kane
The FPL advice site Polls
Here’s the FFGeek captain poll:
The FPL advice site polls
The FFGeek poll asks who will you captain as does site 2. Site 1 asks for the best captain and site 3 is silent on the question.
Site 1 | FFGeek | Site 2 | Site3 | |
Salah | 50 | 64 | 61 | 29 |
Aguero | 21 | 21 | 24 | 34 |
Aubameyang | 8 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
Mane | 8 | 5 | n/a | 6 |
The FFGeek contributors
Here’s the FFGeek contributors captain picks. I’ll fill the rest in once I’ve done the last contributors article
Contributor | Capt Pick |
Rob Reid | Salah |
Joseph Crilley | Salah |
Alex Ball | |
Mikael D | |
FPL Word | |
Keith Spencer | Salah |
Scott Hargadon | |
Yaniv Saloman | Salah |
Jordan Sadler | Salah |
Prakhar Patel | Salah |
Mkael Hietala | Salah |
Sergio Torija | Salah |
Robert Cosgrave | Salah |
Joe Armiger | Salah |
Costas Chari | Aubameyang |
With the 2 favourites being Salah and Aguero lets look at some stats
Salah
Here’s Salah at home in 17/18 against non top 6 sides:
So he returned a goal or assist in 11 of 14 (79%) matches at home against the non top 6 in 17/18.
In the 1 game at home he scored v West Ham and had fantastic underlying stats and should have had more.
Brighton away against the top 6 in 17/18
So they conceded 2 goals in 5 of the 6 games and conceded an average of 2.3 goals.
In their only away game this season they lost 2-0 to Watford and were terrible.
Aguero
Here’s Aguero away in 17/18 against non top 6 sides:
So he returned in 4/17 (57%) games away against the non top 6 sides
It’s worth noting that he was injured for a number of games but of more interest was the fact that he was benched 4 times away but only came off it once.
His only game away was at Arsenal this season where he blanked but should have scored and assisted.
Wolves
Wolves were in the Championship last season so there were no stats to compare them with. In the only home game against Everton they conceded 2 goals against 10 men. It’s fair to say they have been unlucky defensively so far but impossible to assess on 2 games.
Summary
I would be extremely surprised if Salah didn’t start and have no reason to believe he won’t.
Aguero on the on the other hand is trickier. If Pep goes to 1 striker then it’s between him and Jesus. We can see that last season he was benched in 4 away games.
The bookies have Salah £1.44 this week and Aguero £1.57
Salah is a clear leader in the polls at around 50% to 20%
The FFGeek contributors are pretty unanimously agreed on Salah.
The stats also favour Salah as an attacking force vs Aguero. The Brighton defence hasn’t held up well either away against the top 6 and has lost CB Dunk to injury. The Wolves defence are an unknown but have performed better than the scores suggest.
The FFGeek choice
There’s no question for me it’s Salah. He’s a better pick for me on the stats even before you get to the ownership and polls.
The transfer in and out polls
That’s it hope you found it useful.
If you want to see any some teams and their captain choices then there’s the contributor article part 1 and the contributor article part 2
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