fantasy premier league GW38 forwards – player rankings


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Here’s our fantasy premier league GW38 forwards article where provide a table of options for your FPL team for GW38. There’s also some narrative on each player

FANTASY PREMIER LEAGUE GW38 FORWARDS – PLAYER RANKINGS

THE SCHEDULE EXPLAINED

I have compiled the rankings by going through the anytime goal scoring odds of 1 bookie and picking out the best odds for forwards that I think will play in GW38. Obviously at this time of the season it’s impossible to second guess managers with few games really meaning something. However that is all explained in the narrative below.

As anytime goalscoring odds assume that the player starts and ignore assist potential.

The last 2 columns of stats are their FPL points per 90 minutes played (PP90) and their season underlying stats ranking for forwards as at the end of GW35. Apologies it hasn’t been updated further but unfortunately it is very time consuming and there hasn’t been time since. As it’s for the entire season up to and including GW35 it will be fairly representative of the current position.

This is the 3rd player rankings article for GW38. I have also completed one for defenders/goalkeepers and midfielders

THE SCHEDULE

Here’s the link to the google spreadsheet if you want to copy and paste it into your own




fantasy premier league GW38 FORWARDS

Kane

Not looking anything like himself but has still produced 3 goals in his last 4 games although those 3 goals have only produced 2 bonus points.  However, he hasn’t produced a double figure point haul since GW23.  The underlying stats still show, in the main, that he’s getting the chances which provides some comfort.

He faces up to a Leicester side sleepwalking to the end of the season and seemingly doing everything they can to get a reported unpopular manager sacked.

If any side was going to lie down and allow Kane to get the hat trick to reach Salah’s current level of goals it’s Leicester.  That’s a big ask though on current form.  Kane has pen duties btw

Aubameyang

No player scored more FPL points over DGW37 than Aubameyang’s 23.  9 goals and 4 assists in his 11 starts since coming to the PL is an incredible start backed up by pretty good underlying stats.  He also seemingly has penalty duties.  Have been ineligible for the Europa League it would be a big surprise if he didn’t start.

Huddersfield have been the ultimate defensive party poopers against Man City and Chelsea in the last 2 games.  However it’s questionable, now they are safe, how much their mindset could have changed.  That was typified by the party bus on the way home from Chelsea midweek.

Firmino

 Liverpool go into GW38 knowing they need at least a point to qualify for the UCL next season.  Therefore a full team and Firmino starting seems a certainty.  1 goal in his last 4 starts and 3 sets of atrocious underlying stats show he wasn’t just unlucky are the backdrop though.

Brighton are now safe and like Huddersfield how they react will be the question.  3 goals v City was the first game after safety is their only test of that mindset so far.

Rashford

It seems Rashford will start v Watford given Mourinho’s words.  Unless Mourinho changes things he’s also likely to be the CF.  One thing is he couldn’t be worse than he was v Brighton.  He hasn’t returned since his 2 goals v Liverpool in GW30 although to be fair he’s only started twice since then.  6 goals and 5 assists in 16 starts plus 18 sub appearances is a pretty ordinary return and the underlying stats in his recent starts have for the most part been pretty ordinary to say the least.

He does at least have the advantage of facing one of the teams most suffering from holidayitis in Watford




Jesus

Went into GW37 with form, fixtures and great underlying stats and returned from it with 2 blanks and underlying stats a CB would be ashamed of.  Hard to know where it’s all gone wrong but the fact is that it would still be a big surprise if he doesn’t start in GW38 given he’s the only fit out and out striker.

Southampton are for all intents and purposes safe but will still be vigilant to avoid a landslide loss which might make a few people twitch with nervousness.

Mounie

With Huddersfield safe he couldn’t be considered an absolute certainty to start although he did start the 4 games before the Chelsea game.  Over the season he has started 20 games plus 7 as sub for 7 goals and 2 assists.   It’s been a hard start to the PL.

He faces an Arsenal team that has lost all it’s games away in 2018 but will be keen on trying to rectify that for Wengers last game in charge

Tosun

Hard to see him not starting with Big Sam and the Everton hierarchy surely keen to give him as much gametime as possible for next season given the hefty investment in him. 11 starts plus 2 as sub have seen 5 goals although worryingly it’s only 1 goal in his last 6 games.  Those 6 games have also seen a collapse in his underlying stats to show it’s not just bad luck.

Giroud

Hard to predict Conte’s selection but this must win game seems likely to see Giroud start given that he started the 3 games before being rested in the 2nd game of DGW37.  It’s a bit of a mixed record though with 3 goals and 1 assist in 5 starts plus 7 sub appearances when you consider 2 goals came in the game v Southampton.

J Ayew

Been a popular cheapie although his record has been pretty patchy to say the least.  Swansea are all but mathematically relegated and play an already relegated Stoke City.  Hard to see him not starting.  4 consecutive blanks give you an indication of recent form.  7 goals and 2 assists over 32 games and 3 as sub is also hardly inspiring.

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