Here’s our fantasy premier league GW6 captain choice article where we look at a number of ways of assessing the best captain pick for the gameweek. We look at the fixtures, the bookies odds, the FPL advice site polls and the FFGeek choice. We also add on the transfer in and out poll results
FANTASY PREMIER LEAGUE GW6 CAPTAIN CHOICE AND TRANSFER POLL RESULTS
Here’s the fixtures for GW6.
The bookies see 5 teams as favourites with the following win odds for £1 invested. It’s likely the fantasy premier league GW6 captain choice will come from one of those teams.
Man City £1.14 (Aguero, Jesus)
Arsenal £1.33 (Lacazette, Sanchez)
Spurs £1.60 (Kane)
Chelsea £1.61 (Morata)
Everton £1.65 (Rooney, Sigurdsson)
If you want to see detailed stats on these players you can see it in our player ranking articles for midfielders and forwards
THE BOOKIES ODDS
Here we look at one of the bookies anytime goal scoring odds. I’ve tried to only put players in who have some gametime security. It’s the return for £1 invested. Odds are as of Friday mid day and remember they assume the player starts and don’t count assist potential.
£1.50 – Aguero
£1.60 – Jesus
£1.67 – Kane
£1.80 – Lacazette
£1.85 – Morata
£1.91 – Sanchez
£2.10 – Lukaku
£2.15 – Dele Alli
£2.25 – Rooney
£2.30 – Firmino
THE FPL ADVICE SITE POLLS.
It’s worth noting here that the FFGeek poll asks who you are going to appoint as captain to reflect the reality of the spread of captain choices. Others ask who is the best captain. Others just say captain poll and leave the question up to you.
Firstly here’s the FFGeek poll:
Here’s the summary of the other main advice polls. It’s worth noting that site 1 is the site with the most traffic
Some quick stats
Aguero (h) v Palace
Aguero at home
v Everton 1-1 blanked 90 mins
v Liverpool 5-0 1 goal 1 assist 90 mins
Man City xg Attack 3rd 10.01. Aguero xG 0.82 3rd forwards.
Palace away defence
0-1 v Liverpool
0-1 v Burnley
Palace defensive xG 5.01 ranked 7th
Kane (a) v West Ham
Kane away
v Newcastle 2-0 blanked 90 mins
v Everton 3-0 2 goals 90 mins
Spurs xG Attack 4th 8.45 Kane xG 0.69 6th forwards.
West Ham home defence
2-0 v Huddersfield
West Ham defensive xG 5.33 ranked 10th
Summary
Kanes gametime is virtually certain although an easy win could see some rest. Aguero isn’t as straightforward. You would have thought that Aguero not even being on the bench for the EFL meant that he was certain to start on Saturday. It should do you just have to factor in the unpredictability of Pep. It also doesn’t mean he will last the 90. That’s a risk you have to accept with Pep
Looking at this week the bookies make it Aguero although not far ahead of Kane. The bookies have West Ham £6.00 to keep a clean sheet but Palace £12.00. The bookies have 4 goals or more in the game at £41.00 for the Spurs game but incredibly only £2.40 for the Man City game
The polls are overwhelmingly Aguero.
The stats aren’t that conclusive. Man City and Aguero have the better results to date but Palace have performed strongly away from home defensively including at Liverpool.
West Ham have only had the 1 game at home but their defence in XG terms isn’t far off Palaces. Away from home they’ve had 2 hammerings at Man Utd and Newcastle plus conceded 3 at Southampton so the problems are their potentially.
There’s very little between them on ownership with Aguero 22% and Kane 27%
The FFGeek choice
So last week the situation was interesting. I went for Kane as the overwhelming captain poll leader ostensibly as a shield. However Lukaku with a goal and an assist hammered my rank due to his large ownership and the fact that he was actually the captain favourite numbers wise. As someone said in the comments the Lukaku situation featured the general FPL manager population whereas the polls represented FPL managers who come to the advice sites. If you make the assumption that the FPL managers that come to the advice sites will eventually finish in the higher positions then to that extent in the longer term going with the Polls is a shield. I can certainly buy that although it isn’t much consolation as you lose 150k in overall rank.
Interestingly looking at the excellent site FPL discovery 34% of the managers in the top 10k as it was at the beginning of GW5 captained Lukaku compared to 14% Kane.
So overall I think there’s some validity in getting in the poll leader as captain still if it’s overwhelming.
My intention at the moment is to get in and captain Aguero. However if I don’t I’ll be captaining Kane
The transfer in and out polls
Play a new kind of fantasy football
Follow us on twitter and facebook and instagram for article updates and news
GEEK LEAGUES
Fantasy Premier League: 5379-1967
Sun: FantasyFootballGeek SGDKX9Y3
TFF: FantasyFootballGeek PIN 8000919 Passcode 1159
Sky: FFGeek 8310511
UCL: 18664FKG
TFF UCL: FantasyFootballGeek PIN 8137738 Passcode 1210
