Fantasy premier league strategy – analysing 10 top FPL managers teams – GW35

fantasy premier league strategy – analysing 10 top fantasy premier league managers teams – GW35

Key Points of the gameweek

• A goodweek where the average score of the 10 was 82  vs average of 52
• average position 7,000 up from 9,200 
•  captain choice in the main Suarez 8 times vs Aguero twice
•  Main purchases were Eriksen 6, Mata 3 and Aguero 2
•  Main sales were YYT 9 and Mirallas 2
•  6/10 took hits
•  All have used WCs
• Everton  Chelsea and Crystal Palace are the main defences
• Suarez, Lukaku Aguero Silva Mannone and Eriksen  are the must haves.  2nd tier is Coleman Chester and Baines
• The large majority of players over £6m are from top 4 challenging teams
• 3-4-3 main formation

Background

Just in case it’s your first time reading this article.  In any part of life, sport or business it’s natural to look at the best and see what you can learn.  It also helps challenge your thinking and make you question what you’re doing.  If the best are doing it and so are you it may also give some comfort.   I also know that going on to fantasy premier league sites if you get a bad tip then you can kind of ditch the site.   So if you can see that other tried and tested fantasy premier league managers  also believe in that player then it can provide some justification for the sites pick

The reason I haven’t just picked the current top 10 leaders is that these top 10 leaders will change over the season so the top 10 now will be totally different at the end of the year.   In my mind it means nothing.  Its more important to pick people in my mind who’ve consistently finished high in the overall league over the last 3 years.

Here’s some stats on the 10.  First remember that there 10 fantasy premier league managers and I’ve looked at the last 3 years overall finish rank.  Meaning there are 30 times they have played in the last 3 years.  Sorry if you found that insulting, just for clarity.

1. The average overall position improved after a very good round for the 10 currently and the average at the moment  is 7,000 up from 9,200 last week.    7,000 is top 0.2% of 3,200,000 fantasy premier league managers.  No one is currently lower than 36,000

2.  The average position over the last 3 years is around 3,500 (this is the top 0.1 % of fantasy premier league teams)

3.  10/10 have finished in the top 1000 in the last 3 years

4  6/10 have finished in the top 100 in the last 3 years

The above is pretty impressive consistency in fantasy premier league.  What these teams look like is certainly something to take note of.  My average over the last 3 years is 7,900 by the way.

There are 2 issues with doing this though.  Firstly just because a player is owned by a fantasy premier league manager doesn’t mean he wants to own him.  He could  be wanting to transfer him out but can’t due to other priorities, injuries etc.  That’s probably more for cheapies though as expensive players are probably ditched earlier.  Secondly it obviously s a look back and not forward to the next gameweek

Ok so here’s the break down of their teams (obviously I don’t mention every player just the ones that appear frequently).

What was the average round score?

The average GW35 score of the 10 fantasy premier league managers was 82 points compared to the average of 52 points.  30 points  and 58% above the average

What is the average team value?

The average value of the 10 fantasy premier league managers was  steady at £112.1m.  The same as last week.   

GK/DEFs by player

Mannone is owned by 8 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Coleman is owned by 7 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Baines and Chester are owned by 6 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Ward and Azpilicueta  are owned by 5 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Zabaleta is owned by 4 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Evra and Marshall  are   owned by 3 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

GKs/DEFs by team

Everton  GKs/DEFs  appear 14 times as a GK/DEF in the 10 teams

Crystal Palace  GKs/DEFs  appear 10 times as a GK/DEF in the 10 teams

Chelsea GKs/DEFs  appear 9 times as a GK/DEF in the 10 teams

Sunderland GKs/DEFS appear 8 times as a GK/DEF in the 10 teams

Hull  GKs/DEFs  appear 6 times as a GK/DEF in the 10 teams

Southampton and Man City GKs/DEFs  appear 5 times as a GK/DEF in the 10 teams

Cardiff and Man Utd  GKs/DEFs  appear 4 times as a GK/DEF in the 10 teams

West Ham GKs/DEFs  appear 3 times as a GK/DEF in the 10 teams 

Midfielders

Silva and Eriksen  are owned by 8 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Mirallas, Gerrard and Mata are owned by 4 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Lallana  is  owned by 3 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Forwards

Suarez is owned by 10 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Aguero   is  owned by 9 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Lukaku  is  owned by 8 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

GW35 Transfers

The most transferred in players were in fantasy premier league GW34:

Eriksen x 6

Mata x3

Aguero x 2

No one else was transferred in more than once.

The most transferred out were:

YYT x 9

Mirallas x 2

No one else was transferred out more than once

The most popular transfers were:

YYT-Eriksen x 6

Mirallas – Mata x2

The average day of transfers was Friday 18 April

GW35 Captain Choices

Suarez was captained 8 times

Aguero was captained 2 times

How many took hits?

6 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers took point hits.

What was the most popular formation

3-4-3 was used 8 times

4-3-3 was used 2 times

How many have used their Wildcard?

10 out of 10 have now used their regular season wildcard.

So what does this mean?

Here’s a few things which jump out:

• For the gameweek

A very good round with the 10 players beating the average by 58%

The DGW bought Suarez back as  captain choice for 8/10 managers

Eriksen Mata and Aguero were the most transferred in

YYT and Mirallas were the most transferred out

6 of the 10 managers took hits

• For the season

Everton remain the dominant defensive choice.    Suarez look the must haves elsewhere with  Lukaku, Silva  Aguero Eriksen Mannone and Coleman just behind .

These managers take hits

Transfers appear to be done early in the week except for European weeks

3-4-3 is still the most popular formation.

All have created valuable teams.

The concentration is on teams inside the top 4 challenging teams.  Lallana (3)   Snodgrass (2) A Johnson (1)   are the only players over £6m outside the top 4 challenging  teams owned by the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Here’s a team to represent the top 10 fantasy premier league managers.  Value was around £114m slightly above the average.        Below the picture I’ll tell you how it would have scored

4

Here’s how it would have scored

Adrain  – 2 points

Coleman – 11 points

Baines – 15 points

Azplilcueta – 1 points

Eriksen –  11 pointsoint

Mata – 2 points

Silva – 2 points

Gerrard  2 points

Lukaku  – 5 points

Aguero – 12 points

Suarez (captain)  – 16 points

total 79 points

Reserves:  Mannone Chester Ward Salah

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