Fantasy premier league strategy – analysing 10 top FPL managers teams – DGW34

fantasy premier league strategy – analysing 10 top fantasy premier league managers teams – DGW34

Key Points of the gameweek

• A goodweek where the average score of the 10 was 71  vs average of 42
• average position 9,200 up from 10,200
•  Split captain choice between Aguero and Lukaku
•  Main purchases were Aguero and Mirallas.
•  Main sales were Sturridge and Hazard
•  6/10 took hits
•   All have used WCs
• Everton  Chelsea and Crystal Palace are the main defences
• Suarez, Lukaku and YYT are the must haves.  2nd tier is Mannone, Silva Aguero and Coleman
• The large majority of players over £6m are from top 4 challenging teams
• 3-4-3 main formation

Background

Just in case it’s your first time reading this article.  In any part of life, sport or business it’s natural to look at the best and see what you can learn.  It also helps challenge your thinking and make you question what you’re doing.  If the best are doing it and so are you it may also give some comfort.   I also know that going on to fantasy premier league sites if you get a bad tip then you can kind of ditch the site.   So if you can see that other tried and tested fantasy premier league managers  also believe in that player then it can provide some justification for the sites pick

The reason I haven’t just picked the current top 10 leaders is that these top 10 leaders will change over the season so the top 10 now will be totally different at the end of the year.   In my mind it means nothing.  Its more important to pick people in my mind who’ve consistently finished high in the overall league over the last 3 years.

Here’s some stats on the 10.  First remember that there 10 fantasy premier league managers and I’ve looked at the last 3 years overall finish rank.  Meaning there are 30 times they have played in the last 3 years.  Sorry if you found that insulting, just for clarity.

1. The average overall position improved after a very good round for the 10 currently and the average at the moment  is 9,200 up from 10,200.    9,200 is top 0.3% of 3,200,000 fantasy premier league managers.  No one is currently lower than 45,000

2.  The average position over the last 3 years is around 3,500 (this is the top 0.1 % of fantasy premier league teams)

3.  10/10 have finished in the top 1000 in the last 3 years

4  6/10 have finished in the top 100 in the last 3 years

The above is pretty impressive consistency in fantasy premier league.  What these teams look like is certainly something to take note of.  My average over the last 3 years is 7,900 by the way.

There are 2 issues with doing this though.  Firstly just because a player is owned by a fantasy premier league manager doesn’t mean he wants to own him.  He could  be wanting to transfer him out but can’t due to other priorities, injuries etc.  That’s probably more for cheapies though as expensive players are probably ditched earlier.  Secondly it obviously s a look back and not forward to the next gameweek

Ok so here’s the break down of their teams (obviously I don’t mention every player just the ones that appear frequently).

What was the average round score?

The average DGW34 score of the 10 fantasy premier league managers was 71 points compared to the average of 42 points.  29 points  and 69% above the average

What is the average team value?

The average value of the 10 fantasy premier league managers was pretty steady at £112.1m compared to £112.2m last week.

GK/DEFs by player

Mannone is owned by 8 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Coleman is owned by 7 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Baines and Chester are owned by 6 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Ward and Azpilicueta  are owned by 5 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Evra Marshall and Zabaleta are   owned by 3 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

GKs/DEFs by team

Everton  GKs/DEFs  appear 14 times as a GK/DEF in the 10 teams

Crystal Palace  GKs/DEFs  appear 10 times as a GK/DEF in the 10 teams

Chelsea GKs/DEFs  appear 9times as a GK/DEF in the 10 teams

Sunderland GKs/DEFS appear 8 times as a GK/DEF in the 10 teams

Southampton and Hull  GKs/DEFs  appear 6 times as a GK/DEF in the 10 teams

Cardiff Man Utd and Man City   GKs/DEFs  appear 4 times as a GK/DEF in the 10 teams

West Ham GKs/DEFs  appear 3 times as a GK/DEF in the 10 teams 

Midfielders

YYT  is owned by 9 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Silva  is owned by 8 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Mirallas  is owned by 5 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Lallana  is  owned by 3 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Forwards

Suarez is owned by 10 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Lukaku   is  owned by 9 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Aguero  is  owned by 7 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

DGW34 Transfers

The most transferred in players were in fantasy premier league DGW34:

Aguero x 6

Mirallas x5

Puncheon x 2

Lukaku x 2

No one else was transferred in more than once.

The most transferred out were:

Hazard x 8

Sturridge x 7

No one else was transferred out more than once

The most popular transfers were:

Sturridge – Aguero x 5

Hazard – Mirallas x 4

Sturridge – Lukaku x 2

The average day of transfers was Thursday 10 April

DGW34 Captain Choices

Lukaku was captained 5 times

Aguero was captained 4 times

YYT was captained once

How many took hits?

6 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers took point hits.

What was the most popular formation

3-4-3 was used 6 times

4-3-3 was used 2 times

3-5-2 was used once

4-4-2 was used once

How many have used their Wildcard?

10 out of 10 have now used their regular season wildcard.

So what does this mean?

Here’s a few things which jump out:

• For the gameweek

A very good round with the 10 players beating the average by 69%

The DGW bought mixed captain choices

Virtually all the transfers were DGW players

Aguero and Mirallas  were the most transferred in

Sturridge and Hazard the most transferred out.

6 of the 10 managers took hits

• For the season

Everton remain the dominant defensive choice.    Suarez look the must haves elsewhere with YYT, Lukaku, Silva  Aguero Mannone and Coleman just behind .

These managers take hits

Transfers appear to be done early in the week except for European weeks

3-4-3 is still the most popular formation.

All have created valuable teams.

The concentration is on teams inside the top 4 challenging teams.  Lallana (3)  Nolan (1) Snodgrass (2) A Johnson (1) and Rodriguez (1)  are the only players over £6m outside the top 4 challenging  teams owned by the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Here’s a team to represent the top 10 fantasy premier league managers.  Value was around £112m.        Below the picture I’ll tell you how it would have scored

Here’s how it would have scored

Mannone – 4 points

Coleman – 6 points

Baines – 11 points

Ward – 10 points

Puncheon – 23 points

YYT – 1 point

Silva – 12 points

Lallana – 2 points

Suarez  4 points

Lukaku(captain)  – 4 points

Aguero – 5 points

total 82 points

Reserves:  Adrian  Gerrard Chester Azpilicueta

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