Football Index – a monthly review of June’s purchases


Here’s our Football INDEX monthly review of the 20 share purchases in players over the last month.  We look at the winners, the losers and the learnings from the months trades.

FOOTBALL INDEX – A MONTHLY REVIEW OF JUNE’S PURCHASES

Note this article was written on 5 July

You may have seen my football INDEX introductory article where I outlined the basics of the footballer stock market where you buy and sell shares in real players.  I’ve also written an article looking at my April purchases and May purchases

So this month again I’ve spent approximately £100 again in roughly £5 lots and now is the time to look how those purchases have performed and also concentrate on who has performed well and who hasn’t and see what has been learned.

If you want to see what Football Index is about click on the image below or take a look here

An Overview

This month has been a totally different month for investing.

Up to now my strategy has looking for players who are likely to be transferred or who are likely to improve performance over the short and medium term and also looking at very young players who could be ones for the future.

I have also looked at players who are immediate transfer targets but it’s difficult to do so as often people have jumped all over them already and I get a bit nervous about it if the price is, potentially, at the top.  That view of the top is also the reason I’ve stayed away from the Messi’s, Bales and Salah’s of this world.

However the World Cup has changed things significantly and this month gone I’ve tried to look at players who have impressed or got into teams surprisingly in the World Cup.  You’ll see from the table below that this strategy hasn’t been an immediate success that’s for sure.  It has been interesting and given me a sharper, if unsuccessful so far, focus on games and players

It’s worth remembering at this stage that Football Index is very different than placing a bet on a team to win or an anytime goal scorer.  With these bets you can double your money instantly but they are all or nothing bets and come with a great deal of risk.  Football Index returns are slower but your entire stake isn’t immediately at risk like the bets I just described. You do have to view it in a longer term profile.

I’ve got a big portfolio of players now which minimises risk but that diversification inevitably slows returns.  If you had a portfolio of say 5 players.  You potentially could get a better return or loss as you’ll be taking more risk.  I’m also playing with relatively small sums compared to some others I see. At the same time FPL and World Cup fantasy puts me in a position to make purchases without it being incredibly time consuming.



 This months transfers

Player Date Bought rise/fall %
1 LHernandez 16.6.2018 -9.49%
2 Sidibe 16.6.2018 -4.10%
3 Tagliafico 16.6.2018 -26.83%
4 Lozano 17.6.2018 -4.64%
5 Layun 17.6.2018 4.00%
6 Gallardo 17.6.2018 -5.71%
7 Murillo 18.6.2018 3.23%
8 Sliti 18.6.2018 -21.54%
9 Chadli 18.6.2018 2.33%
10 Gavronovic 23.6.2018 -2.38%
11 Milenkovic 23.6.2018 12.64%
12 Radonjic 23.6.2018 2.13%
13 Benalouane 24.6.2018 -2.38%
14 Ziyech 25.6.2018 3.94%
15 Banega 26.6.2018 3.27%
16 Pavon 26.6.2018 5.43%
17 Sule 27.6.2018 2.16%
18 J Giminez 30.6.2018 0.00%
19 Bentancur 30.6.2018 -2.84%
20 Nandez 30.6.2018 1.47%

This has meant an overall loss of £1.93%.

BEST RETURNS FOR JUNE PURCHASES




Milenkovic – 12.6%

He’s a 20 year old Serbian CB who I thought played well in the World Cup generally.  He made 14 starts at the back end of the season with Fiorentina and although doesn’t appear on anyones specific radar at the moment has to be a good long term hold.  He was quite cheap at 87p

Pavon – 5.43%

This is a 22 year old RW Argentinian International who currently plays for Boca Juniors in Argentina.  He also did ok in the shambles that was Argentina who he’s played for 9 times.

His numbers last season for Boca were incredible with 32 starts 7 goals and 19 assists at a goal or assist every 108 minutes.  Seems quite expensive at £1.84 but apparently Arsenal are interested

Layun – 4.0%

A 30 year old right back who was part of an impressive Mexican team at the World Cup.  I didn’t like his age profile at 30, especially as a full back but the fact he plays for a selling club in Porto and was so impressive persuaded me.  No transfer interest though and it seems a risky hold. He was relatively cheap at 75p.

Worst returns for June purchases

Tagliafico – negative 26.8%

A 25 year old LB who got into the Ajax team at the back end of the world cup and also took the LB spot for Argentina to make it a total of 8 caps.  Got caught up in the defensive dsaster that was Argentina and his price has suffered ever since even though he was only 85p to start.

Sliti – negative 21.5%

A 25 year old Tunisian LW who’s played 23 times for his country.  I thought he looked good in the World Cup.  He started 26 games for Dijon last season for 7 goals and 6 assists at a not too terrible goal or assist every 176 minutes. He has played 47 times in Ligue 1 in total and was pretty cheap at 65p.  He was only recently bought by Dijon who are a selling club so hopefully longer term he can improve.

Lucas Hernandez – negative 9.5%

Somewhat surprisingly started ahead of Mendy at the World Cup for France but his price has gone in reverse.  He has a fairly chequered history but at 22 years old playing for France and Atletico with the prospect of overtaking 32 year old Filipe Luis at I thought he would be a good buy.

May and April portfolio

The April portfolio is performing the best with a 9.73% return over the 3 months.  The star is Azpilicueta with a 69% improvement in value.  Possibly due to rumours Chelsea maybe willing to sell.  The worst performer has continued to be Mustafi although he has come back somewhat since last month

The May portfolio dropped back from last month with a 4% return.  Isco’s performances at the World Cup have been the main positive with a 20% improvement. The disaster has been Uruguayan AM De Arrascaeta who has dropped by 28.9%.  On paper he looks good, young and playing for Cruzeiro.  Wolves were interested but that has gone a bit quiet which may have hampered the price

July’s plans

Now were in preseason and the World Cup is in it’s final stages I’ll be back concentrating on the premier league and looking at the fundamentals and the opportunities for increases in value as I outlined above at the start ofthe article.  Transfers in and out offer potential value and that market will be important for purchases.  As usual I’ll be posting my purchases on twitter and facebook

Overall position

So here’s my overall position:

football index

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