Barclays fantasy premier league – forwards GW7 “ones to watch” BUY HOLD SELL


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Here’s the “ones to watch” for forwards on the Barclays fantasy premier league  in a buy hold sell format for GW7.  This will give the best forward players at a variety of price ranges

There is no rule for forwards just pick the best ones especially now with goals virtually guaranteeing bonus points:

I’ve provided the following stats to support the player choices and to guide you in your decisions.  I’ve now moved this to this year’s stats:

1.  Goals and assists this year.

2.  Time per point scored this year.  This is how many minutes it takes for a Barclays fantasy premier league point to be scored over the course of the season.  The lower the better obviously.   I’ve now moved to this years stats

3.  Rotation risk.  High, medium or low.  High is the greatest risk of rotation.

4.  Fixture ease ranking:  The link is at the bottom of the article but essentially I’ve ranked all the teams by the ease of the first 6 fixtures.  The team with the best ranking ie 1 will have the easiest next fixtures of any of the fantasy premier league teams over the next 6 games.

5.  Consistency:  The % of times that the player got a goal or assist or 2 point minimum bonus when starting   as a % of games played

6.  I’ve also ranked them in their categories as who I think is currently the best choice

Forwards

 

1.  Suarez (£11.1m)BUY

Goals and assists: 2 goals and 0 assists:     Time per point scored:  6.9  mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 4th.  Consistency 1/1    100%

Only eclipsed last year by RVP and if it hadn’t have been for the suspension may have even scored more goals.  A top quality player who showed why he is such a top fantasy premier league pick.  A change in formation has Suarez up top  as  a pair with Sturridge means there is no diminution in his role or chances of scoring by being on the flank or behind Sturridge.  Great fixtures starting with Palace at home and Liverpool also have the worst 3 defence double with Fulham at home as well.

Next 6 fixtures:

Crystal Palace (H)
Newcastle (A)
West Brom (H)
Arsenal (A)
Fulham (H)
Everton (A)

2.   Sturridge (£9.7m)  BUY 

  • Goals and assists:  5 goals 2 assists.  Time per point scored:  12.0 mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 4th  Consistency 5/6  83%

Keeping up his great record and consistency rate so far this season and the partnership with Suarez on the evidence of 1 game could enhance his chances through additional space and Suraez’s creativity.   As I said with Suarez great fixtures starting with Palace at home and Liverpool also have the worst 3 defence double with Fulham at home as well.

Next 6 fixtures:

Crystal Palace (H)
Newcastle (A)
West Brom (H)
Arsenal (A)
Fulham (H)
Everton (A)

3.  RVP (£14.0m) HOLD

  • Goals and assists:  3 goals 0 assists.  Time per point scored:  17.1 mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 2nd.  Consistency 2/5   40%

Still has the best shots in the box stats of anyone even though his consistency rate has dropped below the 50% danger level.  Major problem at the moment is the lack of chances created which last year led to assists.  These assists kept  him returning during any scoring dips.  A crucial part of his revival will be whether he takes set pieces as he has such a good delivery.  However,  the good part is the fixtures coming. One of the few sides that has 2 out of the 3 worst defensive sides in Sunderland Fulham and Palace in the next 6.  Has a natural selling point if there isn’t a recovery before the Arsenal home game in GW11 although you could argue he will be exceptionally fired up for that game.  I personally still have faith especially with the fixtures, but I would like to see more chances being created and him taking set pieces again.

Next 6 fixtures:

Sunderland (A)
Southampton (H)
Stoke City (H)
Fulham (A)
Arsenal (H)
Cardiff City (A)

4.  Rooney (£10.9m)  BUY (Injury Doubt)

  • Goals and assists: 3 goals and 2 assists:     Time per point scored:  12.1  mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 2nd.  Consistency 4/5    80%

Plays behind RVP so has a deeper role and it shows as his shooting stats are very poor.  However this hasn’t been a necessary factor in previous years and he so far has a consistency return rate of 80%.  He does create chances though and will get a load of assists.  Like RVP though has excellent fixtures to come and in essence its a £3.0m saving odd over RVP with the sacrifice of playing deeper and not taking pens.  Personally I’m sticking with RVP but I can understand people taking the alternative

Next 6 fixtures:

Sunderland (A)
Southampton (H)
Stoke City (H)
Fulham (A)
Arsenal (H)
Cardiff City (A

5. Giroud (£9.4m) BUY

  • Goals and assists least year:  4 goals 2 assists.  Time per point scored:  12.1 mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 11th.  Consistency 5/6   83%

4 goals and 2 assists in 6 games and an 80% consistency rate plus the best underlying shooting stats and also creating chances for others.  Great creative support around him and should continue to score.  Next 3 games are good but then 3 after are tricky.

Next 6 fixtures:

West Brom (A)
Norwich (H)
Crystal Palace (A)
Liverpool (H)
Man Utd (A)
Southampton (H)

6.  Lukaku (£7.7m) BUY

Goals and assists:  3 goals 1 assists.  Time per point scored:  7.0 .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 13th.  Consistency for Everton 2/2   100%

2 fantastic performances in a row from Lukaku giving him a 100% consistency return rate for Everton.  Seems to have already got an understanding with Barkley and still has Piennar to come back for more creativity.  Great underlying shooting stats per minute although hasn’t particularly been creating chances for others so far.  Fixtures are a bit mixed in the next 6 with 3 difficult fixtures and 3 good fixtures but a quality player who visitors to the site will know I have long talked up.

Next 6 fixtures:

Man City (A)
Hull City (H)
Aston Villa (A)
Tottenham (H)
Crystal Palace (A)
Liverpool (H)

7.    Soldado (£9.5m) HOLD

  • Goals and assists:  2 goals 1 assists.  Time per point scored:  18.9 mins.  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 10th .  Consistency 3/6  50%

Got off to a pretty lukewarm start so far this year compared to others.  A striker who has a proven goal scoring record with 24 last year in Spain.  He  is though a strangely uninvolved striker in terms of touches and passes.  Despite that his shooting stats and creating chances stats are reasonable.  The next 3 fixtures are good and have goal potential before Everton away so there’s no reason to sell him.  The problem is that just at the moment there are so many other good  options.  Eriksen should improve the chances he gets and solve the creativity problem Spurs have been having

Next 6 fixtures:

West Ham (H)
Aston Villa (A)
Hull City (H)
Everton (A)
Newcastle (H)
Man City (A)

8.  Negredo (£9.3m) HOLD

  • Goals and assists:  2 goals 2 assists.  Time per point scored: 12.7  mins .  Rotation risk: high.   fixture ease ranking: 19th.  Consistency     3/6  50%

A top quality striker who has proved his goal scoring record in Spain.  Looks to be the favoured striker to play in the most advanced position and has a decent scoring record.  The issues are rotation his underlying stats and fixtures.  Although Negredo has played a part in all 6 games to date 3 have been from the bench.  he has shown the ability to score from the bench but its far from ideal.  With the Champions league in full swing that rotation will be exacerbated especially after the loss last night will increase the qualification pressure to play his best team.  4 of the next 6 fixtures are also against good defensive sides including the next 3 although City have shown when in the mood they can score against anyone.  Also he hasn’t really been getting much of the way of shots so far at all which brings into question whether he can continue scoring at the rate he is.  It’s not a sell for me its just whether with the great choice of strikers and the 3 limited places whether you would be picking Negredo over others

Next 6 fixtures:

Everton (H)
West Ham (A)
Chelsea (A)
Norwich (H)
Sunderland (A)
Tottenham (H)

9.  Lambert (£7.5m) HOLD

  • Goals and assists:  2 goals 0 assists.  Time per point scored: 21.8  mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 5th  Consistency     2/6  33%

A fixture punt really for the man who has pens and alot of free kick duties for the Saints.  £ really good home games but 3 tricky away games are balanced out for Southampton.  Still has reasonable underlying stats and is definitely getting more shots in than last year.

Next 6 fixtures:

Swansea (H)
Man Utd (A)
Fulham (H)
Stoke City (A)
Hull City (H)
Arsenal (A)

Budget forwards

With the bonus awards focused on goals and a load of good strikers at the moment,  I really cant see the sense in a budget filler for a striker.  I’ll give the information but I’m not going to BUY HOLD OR SELL them

Chamakh (£5.1m)

  • Goals and assists: 1 goals and 0 assists:     Time per point scored last year:  28.2  mins .  Rotation risk: medium.   fixture ease ranking: 14th.  Consistency 1/6   17%

Not really shown much and difficult to see more coming given the difficult fixtures coming up.

Jones (£4.9m)

  • Goals and assists: 0 goals and 0 assists:     Time per point scored:   34.9 mins .  Rotation risk: medium.   fixture ease ranking: 3rd.  Consistency 0/5   0%

Seems to have taken over Crouchs position for the moment but the stats speak for themselves.  Has got some good fixtures with Fulham A and Sunderland H in the next 6 though

 

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4 thoughts on “Barclays fantasy premier league – forwards GW7 “ones to watch” BUY HOLD SELL”

  1. i currently have Giroud, Sturridge and Lukaku as my front 3.. Should i take a risk and put Suarez in? Who would i drop tho?

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