Barclays fantasy premier league – forwards GW9 “ones to watch” BUY HOLD SELL


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Here’s the “ones to watch” for forwards on the Barclays fantasy premier league  in a buy hold sell format for GW9.  This will give the best forward players at a variety of price ranges

 

There is no rule for forwards just pick the best ones especially now with goals virtually guaranteeing bonus points:

I’ve provided the following stats to support the player choices and to guide you in your decisions.  I’ve now moved this to this year’s stats:

1.  Goals and assists this year.

2.  Time per point scored this year.  This is how many minutes it takes for a Barclays fantasy premier league point to be scored over the course of the season.  The lower the better obviously.   I’ve now moved to this years stats

3.  Rotation risk.  High, medium or low.  High is the greatest risk of rotation.

4.  Fixture ease ranking:  The link is at the bottom of the article but essentially I’ve ranked all the teams by the ease of the first 6 fixtures.  The team with the best ranking ie 1 will have the easiest next fixtures of any of the fantasy premier league teams over the next 6 games.

5.  Consistency:  The % of times that the player got a goal or assist or 2 point minimum bonus when starting   as a % of games played

6.  I’ve also ranked them in their categories as who I think is currently the best choice

Forwards

1.  Suarez (£11.4m)BUY

Goals and assists: 3 goals and 2 assists:     Time per point scored:  9.3  mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 2nd.  Consistency 3/3    100%

Fantastic performance against Newcastle and showed why he is a better all round player than Sturridge in my view.  Great fixtures and alreadyestablished brilliant underlying stats for shooting and creating chances

Next 6 fixtures:

West Brom (H)
Arsenal (A)
Fulham (H)
Everton (A)
Hull City (A)
Norwich (H)

2.  Sturridge (£10.0m)  BUY 

  • Goals and assists:  2 goals 2 assists.  Time per point scored:  12.1 mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 2nd  Consistency 7/8  88%

Incredible to believe that he’s returned in 88% of his games.  Good shooting stats but has really started to rely on central positioning and getting quality chances rather than loads of shots.  Only negative is the lack of chances created which lessens the chances of assists supplementing his returns

Next 6 fixtures:

Newcastle (A)
West Brom (H)
Arsenal (A)
Fulham (H)
Everton (A)
Hull City (A)

3. Giroud (£9.5m) BUY

  • Goals and assists least year:  4 goals 4 assists.  Time per point scored:  12.9 mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 11th.  Consistency 6/8   75%

fantastic consistency of returns and has the best underlying stats of any forward.  Palace at home next.  The only thing not making him a must have is the other arsenal alternatives for coverage.

Next 6 fixtures:

Crystal Palace (A)
Liverpool (H)
Man Utd (A)
Southampton (H)
Cardiff City (A)
Hull City (H)

4. Aguero (£11.2m) BUY

  • Goals and assists:  6 goals 4 assists.  Time per point scored: 8.9  mins .  Rotation risk: medium.   fixture ease ranking: 17th.  Consistency     5/7  71%

Best fantasy premier league points per minute stats of any player and 2nd highest fantasy premier league points forward scorer.  Opposition doesn’t matter, scores against all comers.  Underlying stats are pretty good especially when you consider that he is a better finisher than virtually every striker.  Total class

Next 6 fixtures:

Chelsea (A)
Norwich (H)
Sunderland (A)
Tottenham (H)
Swansea (H)
West Brom (A)

5. Benteke (£8.8m) BUY

  • Goals and assists:  4 goals 0 assists.  Time per point scored: 13.9  mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 5th.  Consistency     3/6  50%

Transformed the Villa team when he came on against Spurs.  Really good returns and underlying stats despite tricky fixtures.  The opposition doesn’t seem to matter.  2 good home games after Everton but interestingly 3 harder away games which actually will suit him as well given Villa and Bentekes desire to counter attack.  12% ownership gives him a point of difference as well with other fantasy premier league teams

Next 6 fixtures:

Everton (H)
West Ham (A)
Cardiff City (H)
West Brom (A)
Sunderland (H)
Southampton (A)

6.  Lukaku (£8.1m) BUY

Goals and assists:  4 goals 1 assists.  Time per point scored:  9.8  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 18.  Consistency for Everton 3/4   75%

First blip for Everton shouldn’t overide excellent returns to date and great shooting stats,  if so far short of creating chances.  Fixtures are a little mixed but has the ability to score against all comers

Next 6 fixtures:

Aston Villa (A)
Tottenham (H)
Crystal Palace (A)
Liverpool (H)
Stoke City (H)
Man Utd (A)

7.  Soldado (£9.2m) HOLD

  • Goals and assists:  3 goals 2 assists.  Time per point scored: 15.3  mins .  Rotation risk: medium.   fixture ease ranking: 16th.  Consistency     4/8  50%

finally scored again last week against Villa.  Will get the returns given his record in Spain of 24 goals last season and also has reasonable underlying shooting and creating chances stats.  After the Hull game a sale maybe sensible due to the alternatives and the fixtures

Next 6 fixtures

Hull City (H)
Everton (A)
Newcastle (H)
Man City (A)
Man Utd (H)
Fulham (A)

8.  Rooney (£10.9m)  HOLD

  • Goals and assists: 3 goals and 3 assists:     Time per point scored:  14.0  mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 14th.  Consistency 5/7    71%

Playing behind RVP and in a sense is the mirror image of him with hardly any shooting stats but good creating chances stats.  Excellent returns and although he doesn’t need masses of shots to score its hard to see the returns being sustained on the current level. However with the next 2 or 4 fixtures there’s no way you should sell but consider his future after Fulham or Cardiff

Next 6 fixtures:

Southampton (H)
Stoke City (H)
Fulham (A)
Arsenal (H)
Cardiff City (A)
Tottenham (A

9.  RVP (£13.9m) HOLD (injury doubt)

  • Goals and assists:  4 goals 0 assists.  Time per point scored:  17.4 mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 14th.  Consistency 3/7   43%

Another gameweek another injury drama with RVP although it looks like he’ll be fit to play.  At the moment I’m holding until after the Fulham or Cardiff game and given the drama and returns I’ll be glad to get rid but having ridden it out so far I feel compelled to see it through.   At the risk of sounding like a stuck record has excellent shooting stats so the goals will come its just the lack of set piece involvement ha reduced his assist chances and diminished his returns

Next 6 fixtures:

Stoke City (H)
Fulham (A)
Arsenal (H)
Cardiff City (A)
Tottenham (A)
Everton (H)

10.  Negredo (£9.3m) HOLD

  • Goals and assists:  3 goals 2 assists.  Time per point scored: 13.1  mins .  Rotation risk: high.   fixture ease ranking: 17th.  Consistency     4/8  50%

Now looks pretty settled as the most forward striking option and should get most of the gametime.  In any case has shown the ability to score even as a sub.  Only bizarre thing is the complete lack of underlying stats which is surprising for a guy who was criticised in Spain for having loads of shots and a poor conversion rate.  If anything the situation seems to have reversed.  Still the returns are hardly shabby and with Silva back he’s always going to get chances.  Aguero is showing to be the unquestionable player to buy in the City team but the value difference and form to date still makes him an alternative.  3 tricky Fixtures n the next 6  though but this seems to mean little to City

Next 6 fixtures:

Chelsea (A)
Norwich (H)
Sunderland (A)
Tottenham (H)
Swansea (H)
West Brom (A)

11.  Bony(£7.5m) BUY

  • Goals and assists:  2 goals 1 assists.  Time per point scored: 17.8  mins .  Rotation risk: medium.   fixture ease ranking: 3rd.  Consistency     3/7  43%

A total fixture punt not for the faint hearted, for a guy who has only played more than 80 minutes once in 7 games played.  Has come out of the tricky games and now the fixtures look good.  Its therefore a belief needed in his 30 plus season last year in Holland and the fixtures plus a bit of hope against gametime security coming up that would put him in your fantasy premier league team

West Ham (H)
Cardiff City (A)
Stoke City (H)
Fulham (A)
Man City (A)
Newcastle (H)

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7 thoughts on “Barclays fantasy premier league – forwards GW9 “ones to watch” BUY HOLD SELL”

      • I agree, I have the same front 3, and would go for Giroud. WBA will set up defensively and whilst I don’t doubt Liverpool to win, it wouldn’t surprise me if it finished 1-0.

        Crystal Palace on the other hand, playing at home, caretaker manager, have to attack, arsenal will exploit. Giroud has a habit of getting goals against lesser teams.

  1. I’ve been watching Bony for a while now, and whilst I really like the player, I’m starting to doubt whether he will work at Swansea. Laudraup seems to either play Bony as part of the 4-4-1-1 or Shelvey in a 4-5-1.

    Bony seems a player that feeds off balls played over him, yet Swansea’s style is more keep the ball on the floor. Not convinced.

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