Barclays fantasy premier league – “ones to watch” forwards – GW5 Buy Hold Sell


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Here’s the “ones to watch” for forwards on the Barclays fantasy premier league  in a buy hold sell format for GW5.  This will give the best forward players at a variety of price ranges

There is no rule for forwards just pick the best ones especially now with goals virtually guaranteeing bonus points:

I’ve provided the following stats to support the player choices and to guide you in your decisions.  I’ve now moved this to this year’s stats:

1.  Goals and assists this year.   I’ve now started using this years stats although its very early to draw a picture

2.  Time per point scored this year.  This is how many minutes it takes for a Barclays fantasy premier league point to be scored over the course of last season.  The lower the better obviously.   I’ve now moved to this years stats

3.  Rotation risk.  High, medium or low.  High is the greatest risk of rotation.

4.  Fixture ease ranking:  The link is at the bottom of the article but essentially I’ve ranked all the teams by the ease of the first 6 fixtures.  The team with the best ranking ie 1 will have the easiest next fixtures of any of the fantasy premier league teams over the next 6 games.

5.  Consistency:  The % of times that the player got a goal or assist or 2 point minimum bonus when starting   as a % of games played

6.  I’ve also ranked them in their categories as who I think is currently the best choice

Forwards

1. Giroud (£9.0m) BUY

  • Goals and assists least year:  4 goals 1 assists.  Time per point scored last year:  9.5 mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 1st.  Consistency 4/4   100%

Fantastic start and now has Ozil to create even more chances for him. Still good fixtures and underlying shooting stats are only bettered by RVP.  However Giroud has been creating chances unlike RVP and should also take pens in the absence of Arteta and Podolski.

2. RVP (£14.0m) BUY

  • Goals and assists:  3 goals 0 assists.  Time per point scored:  16.4 mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 9th.  Consistency 2/4   50%

Still has the faith of me thats for sure.  50% consistency is less than how he will have to perform at this price but the 2 games without returns have been Liverpool and Chelsea.  Best underlying shooting stats but hasn’t really been creating chances which is the only negative.  Fixtures are reasonably good after the Manchester derby.  Has pen duties and Crystal Palace saw the return of freekicks

3.  Sturridge (£9.3m)  BUY 

  • Goals and assists:  4 goals 0 assists.  Time per point scored:  12.4 mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 3rd.  Consistency 4/4   100%

Underlying stats don’t really support 100% consistency but you cant deny his finishing.  Doesn’t have pens which is a bit of a disadvantage  but still good fixtures make him an attractive proposition.  Imminent return of Suarez needs to be monitored

4.  Soldado (£9.7m) BUY

  • Goals and assists:  2 goals 0 assists.  Time per point scored:  17.2 .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 8th .  Consistency 2/4  50%

2 games in a row with no returns and good but not fantastic underlying stats.  Has pen duties as well as Rriksen joining to add to the creativity.  Fixtures aren’t quite as good though including Chelsea in a couple of games

5.  Benteke (£9.3m) BUY

  • Goals and assists:  4 goals 0 assists.  Time per point scored:  12.9 mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 13th.  Consistency 3/4  75%

Its one thing being able to score on the counter attack another to be able to get and finish chances in structured open play when you have to break teams down.  Despite scoring from a corner he was a little disappointing against Newcastle.  Norwich away should be more up his street as he will play on the counter again.  Has pens and is the focal point of the attack. Underling stats are good with him shooting and creating chances.

6.  Negredo (£9.3m) BUY

  • Goals and assists:  2 goals 0 assists.  Time per point scored: 10.4  mins .  Rotation risk: high.   fixture ease ranking: 19th.  Consistency     2/4  50%

Now the leading City striker in my mind, leading the line and the most advanced.  Also a reasonable price compared to Aguero.  You’ll have to accept rotation that will just be a fact of life if you own City fantasy premier league assets.  Difficult fixtures now though starting with the Manchester derby.

7.  Rooney (£10.5m)  BUY

  • Goals and assists: 1 goals and 2 assists:     Time per point scored:  10.9  mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 9th.  Consistency 2/3    66%

A real alternative to RVP.  £3.5m saving s at the sacrifice of playing in a withdrawn role behind RVP and not having pens.  Doesn’t really get into the box and shoot enough for my liking  but the  guy is a proven goal scorer and although I would stick with RVP he’s a definite alternative

8.  Lukaku (£7.4m) BUY

Goals and assists:  0 goals 0 assists.  Time per point scored:  NA .  Rotation risk: medium.   fixture ease ranking: 11th.  Consistency 0/2   0%

Fantastic player and an absolute bargain at this price.  Should be the main man and get lots of chances at Everton even with Pienaar injured

 

9.  Bony (£7.7m) BUY

  • Goals and assists:  1 goals o assists.  Time per point scored:  19.7 .  Rotation risk: medium.   fixture ease ranking: 4th.  Consistency 1/4  25%

This is a fixture play starting away to Palace.  Has alot to do  consistency wise but underlying stats are good and as the most forward striker it seems worth a punt to me.  I would  go for Lukaku first in this price range though even with the worse fixtures
 Aguero (£11.0m)SELL

  • Goals and assists:  1 goals 2 assists.  Time per point scored: 12.8  mins .  Rotation risk: high.   fixture ease ranking: 19th.  Consistency 2/4    50%

So now we know.  Even Aguero will be rotated  and even if your’e only playing some Czech side I’ve never heard of in the Champions league.  Contrast that to United playing RVP and Rooney for their games.  Will probably have pen duties but for me I will want far less rotation for that money.  Especially as he will be the withdrawn striker

Lambert (£7.5m)SELL

  • Goals and assists:  1 goals 0 assists.  Time per point scored:  27.7  mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 14th.  Consistency 1/4   25%

Has good underlying stats but just cant score.  fixtures get harder starting away to Liverpool and now seems a good time to sell to me

 

Bent (£6.5m) SELL Injury expected back 21 Sept

  • Goals and assists: 1 goals and 0 assists:     Time per point scored:  14  mins .  Rotation risk: medium.   fixture ease ranking: 18th.  Consistency 1/2    50%

Should start but with fixtures looking tough starting away to Chelsea this weekend and with a very quiet performance at Newcastle then to me its a definite sell 

Budget forwards

With the bonus awards focused on goals then I really cant see the sense in a budget filler for a striker.  I’ll give the information but I’m not going to BUY HOLD OR SELL them

Chamakh (£5.0m)

  • Goals and assists: 1 goals and 0 assists:     Time per point scored last year:  14.2  mins .  Rotation risk: medium.   fixture ease ranking: 19th.  Consistency 1/2   50%

A good goal against Stoke but didn’t return against Sunderland and was a bit quiet.  Personally I’m sceptical given the fixtures coming and wouldn’t own him.

Jones (£4.9m)

  • Goals and assists: 0 goals and 0 assists:     Time per point scored:   35 mins .  Rotation risk: medium.   fixture ease ranking: 7thth.  Consistency 0/3   0%

Should have scored against City and seems to have taken over Crouchs position for the moment

Gayle (£5.0m)

  • Goals and assists: 1 goals and 0 assists:     Time per point scored last year:  21.7  mins .  Rotation risk: medium.   fixture ease ranking: 16th.  Consistency 1/4   25%

Doesn’t play very centrally but does have pace and pens.  Definitely gets more chances than Chamakh

 

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