Here’s our Fantasy Bundesliga Matchday 27 tips article where FFGeek Contributor Kev in Canada reviews his fantastic start in GW26 and talks through his likely transfers and captains for GW27.
Fantasy Bundesliga Matchday 27 tips – Kev in Canada reviews GW26 and shows his team for GW27
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See Kevs introductory article here
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Matchday 26 Review – 136 points; Gameweek Rank 2,599
Here was my team for GW26
The last minute news that broke Saturday morning (my time) of Reyna playing and then being injured got the best of me. Not just because I have Reyna now and took out Zimmerman (outscored Trimmel) and Kainz (outscored Reyna) to do it, but everyone that had Sancho and made the change, seemed to change him to Havertz with the extra money – lol! It’s all good though. I realize that kind of thing can happen. Overall, I do like the last minute line change stuff for a bit of fun but there is no way I would be able to stay on top of that for an entire season. I much prefer the weekly set and forget of FPL and other fantasy.
MatchDay 27
So here’s where I think I am at. I have a feeling, it will be a bit against the grain from what others do and some won’t agree or understand why I am making the moves that I do. That’s fine though. I want to be a bit different in my FBL attempt to see if that type of style pays off or not.
I am going to start with quickly showing you what my three likely transfers are going to be. Then I will try to explain the madness that took me there:
Trimmel 🔄 Pavard
Reyna 🔄 Baumgarner
Havertz 🔄 Serder
*before I jump into rationale, I should say that the following pieces of news would have me re-asses and likely change my plan last minute:
-presser hints for Nkunku, Jakobs, Beier and Bensebaini game time from coaches
-injuries (especially to Lenz)
-spacing out and forgetting to actually make the changes as I have a crazy work day all day Friday. The games at 230PM here lol
Rationale that got me there:
When making subs, I am at a place in FBL right now where I feel that I need to try to balance a number of somewhat equally important factors when determining who I should be getting each week:
1. Staggering of schedule
2. Schedule difficulty
3. Player opportunity for points (ie. wingbacks that are involved in the attack in a big way, key passers, etc.)
4. Player rotation risk (ie. Bensebaini)
5. To an extent.. Disregard player form if they played a poor club and just be happy for the price increase and past points they got you.
Sounds straight forward but a lot of these things contradict each other when mapping out schedules, and such. For example it is tough to have efficient overlapping schedules while bringing in players that have good upcoming fixtures (looking at three weeks for each). So of course I made a spreadsheet!
Here is what it looks like.
First, I made a table and ranked teams simply by GA for attackers and GF for defenders. I also plotted the next three matches for fixture dificulty:
As you can see Leipzig, Schalke, Hoffenheim and Ausburg all have a pretty strong three week schedule, with Schalke having 3 green. Also of note is that unfortunately Leverkusen’s schedule looks dreadful.
Next I mapped out my current teams staggered schedule for three weeks. As I toyed with things, I made potential transfer in orange and players leaving red):
For the most part, I think my team was already pretty decently spread out. However, this exercise made me realise that having two players in the same position on the same team is just silly. So either Lenz or Trimmel I think need to go. Also, I realized that I would suspect Bayern are ALWAYS going to have their own time slot to play. So having a player in each position is probably smart. So getting in Pavard makes a lot of sense for my squad.
However, Pavard takes cash (Kimmich is virtually impossible unless I sell Werner or Lewandowski, which I played with but didn’t like it ultimately). Also, Reyna being upgraded also takes cash. So after listening to pods and researching sites.. I decided that the best thing for me to do is to sell Havertz. Yes.. Kai Havertz. The young stud I went on about last week. However, I was not thinking about schedule to the same degree for future weeks.
Yes Kai smashed Bremen. But Bremen have shipped a league worst 59 goals already and now he plays Mbach (31 ga), Wolf (31 ga) and then Friedburg (36 ga) so it is actually as good a time as any not to have him. It sucks. I want him. However the great thing about this game is you can get him in any week you want really; with the three transfers. Hey, maybe the three tough fixtures will make him cheaper. Who knows. I sure don’t.
So to fund the move I turned one superstar mid, one mid that was not playing at all and one strong d (but a double on the same team) into Pavard (a top tier D), Bumgaurtner (an OOP mid playing striker) and Serdar (a box to box d that is involved in shots, taking and setting them up).
Good luck this week everyone and sorry for butchering all of the team and player names. I am running out of time to get this article in as all that research was done in spare time with a busy job, a wife, two kids 4 and 2 and a puppy that I’m trying to train not to eat every piece of furniture we own!
Cheers!
Follow Kev on twitter here
See Kevs introductory article here
join the FFGeek fantasy Bundesliga league
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