Fantasy premier league – analysing 10 top fantasy premier league managers teams – GW20


Here’s the 5th article in the series.  I’ve sought out the teams of 10 top fantasy premier league managers and analysed who they’ve got in their teams.  This is not the current top 10 fantasy premier league leaders but 10 managers who are currently successful and have been successful for the last 3 years.  It makes interesting reading.

fantasy premier league – analysing 10 top fantasy premier league managers teams – GW20

Background

Just to put a bit of context around this if you haven’t seen it before.  In any part of life, sport or business it’s natural to look at the best and see what you can learn.  It also helps challenge your thinking and make you question what you’re doing.  if the best are doing it and so are you it may also give some comfort.   I also know that going on to fantasy premier league sites if you get a bad tip then you can kind of ditch the site.   So if you can see that other tried and tested fantasy premier league managers  also believe in that player then it can provide some justification for the sites pick

The reason I haven’t just picked the current top 10 leaders is that these top 10 leaders will change over the season so the top 10 now will be totally different at the end of the year.   In my mind it means nothing.  Its more important to pick people in my mind who’ve consistently finished high in the overall league over the last 3 years.

Here’s some stats on the 10.  First remember that there 10 fantasy premier league managers and I’ve looked at the last 3 years overall finish rank.  Meaning there are 30 times they have played in the last 3 years.  Sorry if you found that insulting, just for clarity.  Again, I swapped a couple  around and I now have a set of 10 managers with an even more impressive current and historic record.  I’m fixing it now with this group though.

1. The average position of the 10 currently at the moment took a slight upturn again this week and is now 18,000 in fantasy premier league.   That was after GW20.  I’m happy with the 10 fantasy premier league managers picked and won’t be changing the make up of the 10.    18,000 is top 0.6% of 3,000,000 fantasy premier league managers.  No one is currently lower than 55,000

2.  The average position over the last 3 years is around 3,500 (this is the top 0.1 % of fantasy premier league teams)

3.  10/10 have finished in the top 1000 in the last 3 years

4  6/10 have finished in the top 100 in the last 3 years

The above is pretty impressive consistency in fantasy premier league.  What these teams look like is certainly something to take note of.  My average over the last 3 years is 7,900 by the way.

There are 2 issues with doing this though.  Firstly just because a player is owned by a fantasy premier league manager doesn’t mean he wants to own him.  He could  be wanting to transfer him out but can’t due to other priorities, injuries etc.  That’s probably more for cheapies though as expensive players are probably ditched earlier.  Secondly it obviously s a look back and not forward to the next gameweek

Ok so here’s the break down of their teams (obviously I don’t mention every player just the ones that appear frequently)

What was the average round score?

The average GW20 scored of the 10 fantasy premier league managers was 50 points.

What is the average team value?

The average value of the 10 fantasy premier league managers was £109.7m

I haven’t enough data to know why the value is so high.  I suspect its a combination of early gameweek transfers and a wildcard to pick up rising value players.

GK/DEFs by player

Coleman is owned by 10 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Chester is owned by 5 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Terry, Mignolet  and Ward is owned by 4 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Mertesacker, Marshall Gabbidon  and  B Turner are owned by 3 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

GKs/DEFs by team

Everton  GKs/DEFs  appear 11 times as a GK/DEF in the 10 teams

Hull GKs/DEFs  appear 8 times as a GK/DEF in the 10 teams

Palace, Liverpool and Cardiff GKs/DEFs appear 7 times as a GK/DEF in the 10 teams

Southampton GKs/DEFs  appear 6 times as a GK/DEF in the 10 teams

Man Utd and Arsenal  GKs/DEFs appear 5 times in the 10 teams

Chelsea GKs/DEFs appear 4 times in the 10 teams

Midfielders

Hazard is owned by 10 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Walcott  is owned by 9 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

YYT  is owned by 6 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Cabaye is  owned by 4 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Forwards

Suarez is owned by 10 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Rooney is  owned by 9 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

Lukaku is owned by 7  of the 10 fantasy premier league managers

GW20 Transfers

The most transferred in players were in fantasy premier league GW20:

Walcott x 4

YYT  x 2

Sterling x 2

No one else was transferred in more than once.

The most transferred out were:

Ozil x 3

The most popular transfers were:

Ozil – YYT x 2

Interestingly the 4 Walcott transfers in were all from different people

GW20 Captain Choices

Suarez was the  captain 10 times.s

How many took hits?

5 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers took 4 point hits

What was the most popular formation

7 of the 10 fantasy premier league managers played 3-4-3

How many have used their Wildcard?

Only 1 person had activated their January Wildcard

So what does this mean?

Here’s a few things which jump out:

  • For the gameweek

The season average of 18,000 compared to their last 3 year average of 3,000 shows what a hard year its been for even the best fantasy premier league managers.

The continued emergence of YYT and Walcott through transfers.  The continued demise of Ozil.  Silva still not popular.

The continued emergence of cheapie Chester

  • For the season

Coleman Hazard  Walcott Suarez and Rooney look the must haves

YYT and Walcott are the movers.  Ozil and Ramsey are diminishing through injuries

Everton is the essential defence.  The rest are split between the elite teams Chelsea Liverpool Arsenal and Man Utd and the cheapies of Hull, Palace, Cardiff  and Southampton

The majority used their regular season wildcards.  Only 1 has activated the January Wildcard

These managers take hits

3-4-3 is still the most popular formation.

All have created valuable teams.

That’s it I hope you found it interesting.  I hope it also challenged your thinking on some fantasy premier league players or provided some comfort if you’re holding on to someone and doubting yourself for doing it.

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