Fantasy premier league – “ones to watch” GKs/Defs GW13 – Buy Hold Sell


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Here’s the “ones to watch” for GKs and defenders on the Barclays fantasy premier league format for GW13.  This will give the best GKs and defensive players at a variety of price ranges.  I’ll also be categorising players as BUY HOLD or SELL from last weeks article.

Fantasy premier league – “ones to watch” GKs/Defs GW13 – Buy Hold Sell

Before I start I thought it was worth stating that  players can be a hold due to the next fixture being unfavourable.  Therefore if you don’t own them you wouldn’t buy them then but still they are an overall strong defensive bet.  Its just picking the optimum time to buy. Thats why players with hold next to their name can be ranked higher than players with Buy.

Here’s the supporting stats:

1.  Minutes per point.  This shows how long it takes for a player to earn a fantasy premier league point.  The lower the better obviously

2.   Clean sheets to date for the team he’s playing in

3.  The fixture ease ranking.  This is the ranking of all teams to see who has the easiest fixtures over the next 6 games.  The team with the best ranking ie 1 will have the easiest next fixtures of any of the fantasy premier league teams over the next 6 games.  It’s a ranking more for attacking purposes rather than defensive but it does give an idea

4.  For defenders I’ve added in rotation risk.  High medium or low

5.  For defenders, I’ve also put the bonus points to date in so we ca see how they’re faring with the new bonus system

6.  I’ve also ranked the defenders although as I talk about different players in the commentary Ive ranked the team’s prospects  as much as the player

 

GKs

Mignolet (£5.7m) HOLD

  • Minutes per point:  19.3    Team clean sheets:  4    Team defence ranking:  9  fixture ease rank:  15

Back to normal poor defence after the Fulham clean sheet.  3 potential clean sheets though in Norwich West Ham and Cardiff

Next 6 fixtures:

Hull City (A)
Norwich (H)
West Ham (H)
Tottenham (A)
Cardiff City (H)
Man City (A)

 

Boruc (£5.1m) HOLD

  • Minutes per point:  19.3   Team clean sheets:  6    Team defence ranking:  2  fixture ease rank:  12

It was a pretty good Southampton defensive performance overall with both goals coming from errors

Next 6 fixtures:

Chelsea (A)
Aston Villa (H)
Man City (H)
Newcastle (A)
Tottenham (H)
Cardiff City (A)

Pantmillon (£4.9m) – Punt

  • Minutes per point:  18  Team clean sheets:  5    Team defence ranking:  8   fixture ease rank:  17

Held his place again.  Home to Swansea is a good time to purchase of your’e going to take the punt.

Next 6 fantasy premier league fixtures:

Swansea (H)
West Brom (A)
Southampton (A)
Arsenal (H)
Fulham (A)
Liverpool (H)

 

Defenders

I’ll also comment on other defenders within their teams to give you more options

1.  Dawson (£5.4m) Hold

  •   Minutes per point:  21.6  Team clean sheets: 7    Team defence ranking:  1  Rotation risk: medium.   fixture ease ranking: 9     Bonus points to date 6

I don’t think 1 game changes the fact that the Spurs defence has been excellent all season.   Home to Man Utd is not the time to buy though.  My ranking is more about Spurs than Dawson who has probably increased his gametime risk with a poor game.   At least he won’t have to worry about Kaboul taking his place as he was even worse than Dawson.  Chiriches by not playing probably helped his case for taking Dawsons position.  I still believe Spurs is a must have defence and if you don’t like the Dawson risk due to Chiriches then Walker at £6.1m is your safe bet

Next 6 fixtures:

Man Utd (H)
Fulham (A)
Sunderland (A)
Liverpool (H)
Southampton (A)
West Brom (H)

2.  Jagielka (£5.7m) Buy

  • Minutes per point: 16.  Team clean sheets:  6    Team defence ranking: 3     Rotation risk: low   fixture ease ranking: 5    Bonus points:  14

3 difficult away games but 3 good home games with clean sheet potential.  The defence wasn’t at its best against Liverpool but has done enough to prove itself with 6 clean sheets.

Next 6 fantasy premier league fixtures:

Stoke City (H)
Man Utd (A)
Arsenal (A)
Fulham (H)
Swansea (A)
Sunderland (H)

3.  Clyne (£4.7m)Hold

  • Minutes per point:  19.4 mins .  Team clean sheets:  6    Team defence ranking:  2  Rotation risk: low   fixture ease ranking: 12   Bonus points to date 4

Clyne is a season long hold for me.  Away to Chelsea though is not the time to invest in the Saints defence.  That’s due to the strength of the defence and the price Clyne is.  I’m normally for CBs due to the bonus situation but unless you’ve got cash to burn for Lovren or Fonte,  Clyne is exceptional value.   Fonte £5.4m) and Lovren (£5.8 injury doubt) have more attacking and bonus potential with Clyne being the budget option but that comes at a points price .  Didn’t disgrace themselves at Arsenal.  A goal from a freak mistake and a dubious penalty(although having Giroud I wasn’t complaining)

Next 6 fantasy premier league fixtures:

Chelsea (A)
Aston Villa (H)
Man City (H)
Newcastle (A)
Tottenham (H)
Cardiff City (A)

4.  Terry (£6.4m) Buy

  • Minutes per point:  18.9 mins .  Team clean sheets:  4    Team defence ranking:  5  Rotation risk: medium   fixture ease ranking: 6  Bonus points to date 10

Finally a Chelsea clean sheet away to West Ham.  The first after conceding in 6 consecutive games.  Interestingly Terry played against Basle last night.  However I cant see him not playing against Southampton.  He has played every minute of the 12 premier league games so far. Every game has clean sheet potential in the next 6 apart from Arsenal away.

Next 6 fantasy premier league fixtures:

Southampton (H)
Sunderland (A)
Stoke City (A)
Crystal Palace (H)
Arsenal (A)
Swansea (H)

5.  Mertesacker (£5.6m) Buy

  • Minutes per point: 17.0  Team clean sheets:  4    Team defence ranking: 7     Rotation risk: low   fixture ease ranking: 19    Bonus points to date 9

The Arsenal defence with 3 clean sheets in the last 4 are starting to look like the 14 clean sheet team of last year.  They haven’t conceded more than 1 goal since the opening gameweek.  Mertesacker is by far the bonus point darling and has the best goalscoring  potential. There’s 3 games with good clean sheet potential including the next 2

Next 6 fantasy premier league fixtures:

Cardiff City (A)
Hull City (H)
Everton (H)
Man City (A)
Chelsea (H)
West Ham (A)

6.  Nastasic (£5.5m) Buy (injury doubt) 

  • Minutes per point:  21.5  mins .  Team clean sheets:  5    Team defence ranking:  9   Rotation risk: high  fixture ease ranking: 17    Bonus points to date 5

Supposedly back for fantasy premier league gameweek13.  A buy with gametime risk and some form risk without Kompany in the side  I still believe Man City can get clean sheets. Kompany would help clean sheets and he’s back for GW14 supposedly.  However he poses risk to Nastasic’s place  They have some good parts to the underlying stats but  what they need to do is to stop giving other teams good chances on a regular basis especially away from home.  No one is safe gametime wise in the City lineup apart from Kompany and his is through injury risk.  So may as well go for the  best value which I think is Nastasic.  To get clean sheets in the next 6 though they will have to improve their away form as 2/3 home fixtures are tricky.  I think they can especially if Kompany gets back.

Next 6 fantasy premier league fixtures:

Swansea (H)
West Brom (A)
Southampton (A)
Arsenal (H)
Fulham (A)
Liverpool (H)

7.  Collins (£4.3m) Hold

  • Minutes per point: 27.9  Team clean sheets:  6    Team defence ranking:  4    Rotation risk: medium   fixture ease ranking: 1    Bonus points to date 1

Rat now has a hamstring injury.   Reid is also injured with no return date.  Collins now becomes the cheapie of choice through default.  However, the defensive world of West Ham has fallen apart since Winston Reid got injured.  West Ham have conceded 6 goals in 2 games.  1 of those games was to Norwich?  Interestingly you may have seen that NZ without him conceded 9 goals in 2 games against Mexico in the WCQ playoffs.  Collins will probably lose his place when Reid returns but no one in the current line up is safe so go for the cheapest in my view.  Without any ability to score goals West Ham will still get clean sheets against lower table opponents through an extremely defensive mindset

Next 6 fantasy premier league fixtures:

Fulham (H)
Crystal Palace (A)
Liverpool (A)
Sunderland (H)
Man Utd (A)
Arsenal (H)

8. McAuley (£5.5m)  Hold

  •  Minutes per point:  20.7  Team clean sheets:  4  Team defence ranking:  6  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 8th     Bonus points to date 5

A couple of reasonable home fixtures but at this price you want someone you can rely on for clean sheets home and away.  With Norwich and Hull at home I would probably hold in the short term

Next 6 fantasy premier league fixtures:

Newcastle (A)
Man City (H)
Norwich (H)
Cardiff City (A)
Hull City (H)
Tottenham (A)

9.  Williams (£4.8m) 

  • Minutes per point: 27.9  Team clean sheets:  4    Team defence ranking: 12     Rotation risk: medium   fixture ease ranking: 13    Bonus points to date 6

A couple of good home fixtures in the next 6 but 2 very tricky away games.  Has to now be considered only as a fixture (they can be better  away than home) rotation play only if you have him in your defence.  So its a very qualified hold.Davies is back but slight more expensive at £5.0m.  He does have attacking potential but I think that will be diminished by Williams bonus points.  Rangel is the best attacking option but he’s more expensive at £5.4m and hasn’t shown this with only 1 assist to date.     However thats far too expensive for me for a Swansea defender.

Next 6 fantasy premier league fixtures:

Man City (A)
Newcastle (H)
Hull City (H)
Norwich (A)
Everton (H)
Chelsea (A)

 Budget defenders

B Turner (£4.1m)HOLD     C Davies (£4.6m) Hull Gabbidon £4.0m Palace

If you’re looking for fillers to sit on your bench the above are the best bets.  I’ve added Gabbidon for the Pulis effect at Palace.  However you may want to wait to see Pulis’ team selection.  however away to Norwich isnt a bad start in GW13.  home to West ham in gw14 is better though.  The rise of importance of defence does question whether you should invest more money which is where I am at the moment. Turner look good holds at this price.   Davies is the more secure option

That’s it.  On to midfielders next

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4 thoughts on “Fantasy premier league – “ones to watch” GKs/Defs GW13 – Buy Hold Sell”

  1. Surprised not to see Evra in there. Few CS but the points from assists etc he’s getting regularly make up for it. At 6.3 I’d say he’s a better bet than Terry.

  2. Already transferred out RVP for Aguero. Do you think its worth taking a 4 point hit to transfer Chico > Mertesacker? My defence is currently Ivanovic, Dawson, Chico, Clyne, Baker.

  3. My def right now:
    Mign – Clyne Dawson Terry BTurner and Chester (0.3 in bank)

    I need to improve it due to fixtures for xmas time:
    Could do the following:
    1-Clyne to Vlaar
    2-Dawson to Sagna or Skrtel
    3-Chester to gabbidon or ward, as CP has good fixtures to rotate right now with tot and sou
    4-Save transfer and wait for next week

    Thanks

  4. Really not sure whether to go for Jagielka or Mertesacker, thinking Mertesacker due to the strong Arsenal defense and his better scoring potential.

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