Fantasy premier league – “ones to watch” midfielders – GW13 Buy Hold or Sell


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Here’s the GW13 “ones to watch” for Midfielders on the Barclays fantasy premier league  in the buy hold or sell format for GW13.  This will give the best midfield players at a variety of price ranges using a range of stats to make my case

Fantasy premier league – “ones to watch” midfielders – GW13 Buy Hold or Sell

I’ve provided the following stats to support the player choices and to guide you in your decisions.  I’ve now moved this to this year:

1.  Goals and assists this year.

2.  Time per point scored this year.  This is how many minutes it takes for a Barclays fantasy premier league point to be scored over the course of this season. The lower the better obviously.

3.  Rotation risk.  High, medium or low.  High is the greatest risk of rotation.

4.  Fixture ease ranking:  The link is at the bottom of the article but essentially I’ve ranked all the teams by the ease of the first 6 fixtures.  The team with the best ranking ie 1 will have the easiest next fixtures of any of the fantasy premier league teams over the next 6 games.

5.  Consistency:  The % of times that the player got a goal or assist  as a % of games played

6.  I’ve also ranked them in their categories as who I think is currently the best choice

7.  Last 5 return consistency rate:   Its now time to take into account recent form so I look at the amount of times a player has returned in the last 5 games played

8.  I’ve also added a couple of fixture punts.  These are people not showing great form or consistency who now have some excellent fixtures which you may want to roll the dice with

Midfielders

1.  Hazard (£9.4m) BUY

  • Goals and assists:  4 goals 5 assists.  Time per point scored:   13.8  mins .  Rotation risk: medium.   fixture ease ranking: 6th.  Consistency 5/12   42%  Last 5 return consistency:  3/5

Took a big step towards dispelling the away day myth with 2 assists at West Ham.  Good all round underlying stats on shooting and creating chances.  On the bench for the Basle game so should start at home to Saints

Next 6 fantasy premier league fixtures:

Southampton (H)
Sunderland (A)
Stoke City (A)
Crystal Palace (H)
Arsenal (A)
Swansea (H)

2.  Ramsey (£7.3m) BUY 

  • Goals and assists:  6 goals 4 assists.  Time per point scored:    12.8 mins .  Rotation risk: medium.   fixture ease ranking: 19th.  Consistency 7/12  58%  Last 5 return consistency:  3/5

No returns in last 2 represents a mini crisis for the player of the season to date.  Underlying stats don’t represent the returns so far so all logic says a slowdown should occur.  However you cant apply logic to to Ramsey this season.  Should be an interesting gameweek.  Will Ramsey play in the double pivot and Arteta to the bench or will Wilshere go to the bench after scoring twice in the champs league.  Looks far more dangerous in the double pivot than out wider

Next 6 fantasy premier league fixtures:

Cardiff City (A)
Hull City (H)
Everton (H)
Man City (A)
Chelsea (H)
West Ham (A)

3.  Gerrard (£8.9m)  HOLD

  • Goals and assists:  2 goals 5 assists.  Time per point scored:  17.5  mins .  Rotation risk: low  fixture ease ranking: 15th.  Consistency 6/12   50%          Last 5 consistency return rate:  4/5

Mr Consistency through set pieces and pens just can’t be ignored.  After not returning in his opening 5 games he’s now returned in 6 of his last 7.   A midfielder sustained on set pieces and pens without any shots in the box stats.   The price for that is strong at £8.9m which is the only negative.   3 good games next though.

Next 6 fantasy premier league fixtures:

Hull City (A)
Norwich (H)
West Ham (H)
Tottenham (A)
Cardiff City (H)
Man City (A)

4.  Lallana (£7.0m) HOLD

  • Goals and assists:  3 goals 3 assists.  Time per point scored:  15.0  mins .  Rotation risk: low   fixture ease ranking: 12th.  Consistency 5/12   42%          last 5 return consistency rate:  2/5

Surprisingly subbed against Arsenal but I wouldn’t read anything into it.  He’s the most important attacking part of the Saints midfield.  Has good shooting and creating chances stats and plays in an advanced position.  So ticks all the basic boxes.  3 tricky fixtures next mixed in with 3 good ones.

Next 6 fantasy premier league fixtures:

Chelsea (A)
Aston Villa (H)
Man City (H)
Newcastle (A)
Tottenham (H)
Cardiff City (A)

5.  Nasri (£8.1m )  HOLD

  • Goals and assists:  2 goals 4 assists.  Time per point scored:  15.0  mins .  Rotation risk: medium  fixture ease ranking: 17th.  Consistency 6/12   50%          Last 5 consistency return rate:  2/5

No returns in the last 2 incredibly including the 6-0 win over Spurs for the man charged with taking over Silvas creative role.  Doesn’t really have the shooting stats that Silva has though although does create chances for others.   To make matters worse Navas’ performance may mean he’s benched when Silva comes back for GW15.

Next 6 fantasy premier league fixtures:

Swansea (H)
West Brom (A)
Southampton (A)
Arsenal (H)
Fulham (A)
Liverpool (H)

6.  Oscar £9.1m HOLD

  • Goals and assists:  5 goals 1 assists.  Time per point scored:  14.2  mins .  Rotation risk: medium  fixture ease ranking: 6th.  Consistency 5/12  42%          Last 5 consistency return rate:  2/5

Interesting having a number 10 who’s primarily a goal scoring player rather than a creative player.  Has some shooting stats but doesn’t create chances.  Has the CAM position.  Hazard has the underlyng stats and the all round game.  Personally  I prefer Hazard but there out put is similar.

Next 6 fantasy premier league fixtures:

Southampton (H)
Sunderland (A)
Stoke City (A)
Crystal Palace (H)
Arsenal (A)
Swansea (H)

7.  Mirallas (£7.2m) HOLD

  • Goals and assists:  2 goals 4 assists.  Time per point scored:  17.8  mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 5th.  Consistency 4/12   33%       Last 5 return consistency rate:  2/5

1st return in his last 4 against Liverpool.  Inconsistent but does produce good underlying shooting and creating chances stats.  Plays in an advanced position and does have Lukaku to put away chances created

Next 6 fantasy premier league fixtures:

Stoke City (H)
Man Utd (A)
Arsenal (A)
Fulham (H)
Swansea (A)
Sunderland (H)

 8.  Ozil (£10.5m) HOLD

  • Goals and assists:  2 goals 5 assists.  Time per point scored:  14.6  mins .  Rotation risk: low.   fixture ease ranking: 19th.  Consistency 4/9    44%        Last 5 return consistency:  2/5

Again nothing in his last 2 and has dipped off a little recently after an explosive start.   An  assist based game with lack of goals is a bit of a drawback and so far  seems to be only able to return at home.   Only 1 of his fantasy premier league returns have come away from the Emirates.  next 2 fixtres are good though so worth holding on.

Next 6 fantasy premier league fixtures:

Cardiff City (A)
Hull City (H)
Everton (H)
Man City (A)
Chelsea (H)
West Ham (A)

 9.  Cabaye (£6.4m) HOLD

  • Goals and assists:  2 goals 3 assists.  Time per point scored:  18.4  mins .  Rotation risk: low  fixture ease ranking: 10th.  Consistency 5/10  50%          Last 5 consistency return rate:  3/5

A cheaper version of Gerrard with a reliance on set pieces.  Helped by the fact that Newcastle are now scoring goals.  In the last 9 games they’ve scored 2 goals in 7 of those games.  Some good fixtures although on the whole a little mixed.

Next 6 fantasy premier league fixtures:

West Brom (H)
Swansea (A)
Man Utd (A)
Southampton (H)
Crystal Palace (A)
Stoke City (H)

Punts

These are people not showing great form or consistency who now have some excellent fixtures or there is some other reason why you may want to roll the dice with them

Nolan (£6.7m) (fixture punt)

  • Goals and assists:  1 goals 3 assists.  Time per point scored:  23.18mins .  Rotation risk: low  fixture ease ranking: 1st.  Consistency 4/12   33%          Last 5 consistency return rate:  1/5

Fulham, Palace and sunderland in the next 4.  If your’e not going to score in those 3 you’re never going to.  Has been producing good underlying shooting stats just not returning.  Very much a punt as had this type of spell last year

Next 6 fantasy premier league fixtures:

Fulham (H)
Crystal Palace (A)
Liverpool (A)
Sunderland (H)
Man Utd (A)
Arsenal (H)

Fer £5.8m (fixture punt)

  • Goals and assists:  2 goals 1 assists.  Time per point scored:  24.75 mins .  Rotation risk: low  fixture ease ranking: 2nd.  Consistency 3/11   27%          Last 5 consistency return rate:  2/5

Scored in the last 2 and has a great run of fixtures to come.  Is a goal scorer rather than creating chances.  Has played behind the striker alot although some  times further back if Elmander plays.  Good shooting stats but does little on the creating chances front

Crystal Palace (H)
Liverpool (A)
West Brom (A)
Swansea (H)
Sunderland (A)
Fulham (H)

Lampard £7.5m (positional punt)

No need for stats here.  This is all about position potential. The difference between Lampard in the double pivot with Ramires and with Mikel playing is significant.  Lampard drifted into the box a number of times and had great shooting stats. Contrast this to the double pivot with Ramires when he has to be far more disciplined due to Ramires going forward.  Has a good share  of set pieces and pens and is great value.  Home to Saints isn’t the perfect time to start but it isn’t bad.

Next 6 fantasy premier league fixtures:

Southampton (H)
Sunderland (A)
Stoke City (A)
Crystal Palace (H)
Arsenal (A)
Swansea (H)

Budget midfielders

1.  R Morrison (£4.9m) BUY – started the last 8 games which have resulted in 3 goals and an assist.  Good cheapie option

2.  Brady (£5.2m) BUY –   First game back resulted in a blank in an unexpected loss to Palace.  However 3 goals and an assist in 7 games before the injury.  has set piece and penalty duties

3.  Barkley (£5.4m) HOLD–     Back starting and although didn’t return played well.  Suggested he could continue starting.  Plays as a CAM so great position for value in Everton team

4.  Amalfitano  (£5.2m) BUY –     2 goals and 2 assists in 9 games is a healthy return

5.  Whittingham (£5.1m) HOLD –   Steady secure gametime position.  Set pieces have been  diluted by Bellamy’s involvement but presumably still as pens.   A hold only with a 1 goal and 3 assists in first 12 games.  First return in 6 with an assist against Man Utd

6.  JWP (£4.3m) HOLD- Played the last 4  so is hopeful of holding his place.  Lovren and Fonte are great targets for his free kicks.   Osvaldo starting is the main risk.  he will proably return to the bench in these circumstances

7.  Redmond £4.6m BUY   –  With Pilkington out until 11 Jan he has a chance to get back into the team.  First game is home to Palace so take your punt now if your’re going to.

8.  Kasami (£4.5m) HOLD – Played the last 10 with 2 goals in 11 games total.    A good bench warming option but I’m not sure I would have him as  a rotation player

9.  Januzaj (£5.2m) HOLD –    2 goals and 2 assists in 5 games and 2 sub appearances which is pretty good going.  Definite gametime risk but price for a Man Utd midfielder is great value

 

 

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16 thoughts on “Fantasy premier league – “ones to watch” midfielders – GW13 Buy Hold or Sell”

  1. What do you think of Jonny Evans. Should i bring him in for Nastasic as a long term replacement? Though i will be taking a -4 hit and I know you are not a big fan of that, but it is for the long term!

    • I looked at Evans, Vlaar and BDavies last week to replace Reid, but settled on Ridgewell. ManU have great fixtures starting GW15, but clean sheets are few. John’s breakdown of defenders is excellent.

  2. I took a chance on Navas for the next gameweek. Was it a mistake? Had to assist in the chamions league + a great match against tottenham.

    • Navas is not a buy for me yet. Will he keep his place when Silva returns? How will he do with Man City’s tough fixture schedule? Is he a one-hit wonder like Januzaj?

      • I agree with everything you´re saying, but I at least wanted to try him for the next two weeks. I switched him with Barkley, so I don´t consider it a very big gamble. Hopefully he´ll start against Swansea!

  3. hi who would be a good long term GK to accompany boruc? i was thinking jaskelinan of west ham, im not looking to commit too much money in having 2 good GK which ruled out cech etc but i also want someone that will potentially get CS especially considering Southampton got some tough fixtures. i can’t have another arsenal player as i already have kolcielny, ramsey and ozil. im still think pantimillon is best money but game time is a worry and i dont want to use another transfer on GK in future. Any suggestions

    Krul or Jaskeleinan were my 2 options i was thinking about what do you think?

    • At the beginning of the season, I bought Coutinho and Hazard. But Coutinho was injured and sold. I would want to see more points and know how to account for tough opponents GW15-17 before buying Coutinho.

      A few weeks back, it really looked like Oscar would outpoint Hazard because he played more centrally. He did score more this past week but not overall. Really, either seems good with Chelsea’s fixtures. Rotation threat slightly more with Oscar.

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