fantasy premier league best forwards GW2 – player rankings


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Here’s our fantasy premier league  best forwards GW2 player rankings article. There’s a table of stats to help and a spreadsheet you can use to make your own rankings.

fantasy premier league best forwards GW2 – player rankings

You can also see our defender/Gk  GW2 player rankings and midfielder GW2 player rankings here

Methodology

Until there is a decent amount of data for the 19/20 season my rankings will be primarily based on historic performance.

I’ve picked a selection of forwards who I think will start GW2 although where there is doubt it is mentioned in the commentary below.

I’ve then looked at their expected goals and assists data in 18/19 so far as well as how it relates to their historical numbers. After that I’ve then adjusted it for their ability to over/underperform, their bonus potential, their average minutes played and clean sheet points.

Stats definitions

PP90 mins adjusted: I’ve taken their Points per 90 and adjusted them for average minutes played in the last 10 games of 18/19. However in some cases where I didn’t think that was representative going forward I’ve subjectively adjusted them.

FFG Proj PPG: The PPG going forward using the above methodology adjusted for minutes played as above

FPL PPM: The points per match from the fantasy premier league website

Consistency: the % of starts where the player has scored a goal or assist. Only appearance of 45 mins or more count

Average mins last 10: The average minutes played when starting in the last 10 gameweeks of 18/19. However in some cases where I didn’t think that was representative going forward I’ve subjectively adjusted them.

Fixture ease: this is the fixture adjustment from my attacking players fixture ease schedule article.

VFM: That’s the points for 6 games divided by the price to give a value for money estimate.  The higher the better.

GW1 points scored; self explanatory

GW1 ATGS:  the anytime goalscorer odds for GW2 from 1 bookmaker

The schedule

Here is the link to the google spreadsheet. You can go to file>make a copy and then sort it how you like.



However, the schedule is ranked by my FFG projected points over 6 gameweeks. That’s my FFG projected points per game adjusted for fixtures over 6 weeks

fantasy premier league best forwards GW2

Those not in the schedule

I’ve not put in either Jesus or Aguero until we know for sure the selection

I’ve not put in Lacazette as he didn’t start last week.  That may have been injury related but I’ve taken a conservative view of that at the moment.

Moise Kean isn’t in until he starts.

Glenn Murray did start last week but the performances of Andone and Maupay may cause some issues for him this week.

Haller is in the schedule but as I write this he’s subject to a late fitness test

New players to the PL and Marcus Rashford

New players to the PL are hard to assess. In some cases like West Ham’s Haller I’ve just adjusted underlying stats from his Bundesliga Club pro rata to goals scored by the two clubs.

Others like Pukki where there are no other stats it’s more difficult and I’ve just tried to find a previous season’s proxy in terms of player and club.

Neither methodology is ideal to say the least.

As I said above with players I don’t just look at 1 season but some historic seasons underlying stats as well.  However the most recent season does getting a higher weighting.  Rashford season in 18/19 was better than the last 2 which you’d expect with a young player but I have taken a decision not to fully reflect last season.  You may disagree and rank him higher than I have.



A fixture ease schedule for attacking players

Here’s a graphic where the teams are ranked by the ease of the defences they face over the next 6 gameweeks.

fantasy premier league best fixtures GW2

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Other posts

See our  bandwagons and sinking ships article,  fixture ease article  10 top FPL managers article,  gameweek 1 review article and the early FFGeek team thoughts article.

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