Here’s our fantasy premier league captain analysis GW2 article. We look at the fixtures, the bookies odds, the FFGeek captain poll, the contributors picks and stats to seek out the best captain choice. There’s also the results of the transfer poll.
fantasy premier league captain analysis GW2– plus transfer poll results
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The Fixtures
The Bookies team to win odds
The odds are for the team to win with the return from a £1.00 bet
Man Utd v C Palace £1.32 – Fernandes, Martial, Rashford
Wolves v Man City £1.52 – De Bruyne, Sterling
Everton v WBA £1.52 – Calvert Lewin, Richarlison, James Rodriguez
Arsenal v West Ham £1.52 – Aubameyang
The anytime goal scorer odds
These are the odds for anytime goalscorer for £1 bet. They assume the player starts and don’t take into account assist potential
£1.65 – Aubameyang
£1.80 – Vardy
£1.91 – Aguero (inj rumours)
£2.05 – Lacazette, Salah, Sterling, Jesus
£2.10 – Calvert Lewin, Martial, Rashford, Fernandes, Ings
£2.15 – Richarlison
£2.20 – Werner
£2.25 – Kane
£2.37 – Mane
£2.40 – Rodrigo/Bamford
James Rodriguez is £2.70, De Bruyne is £2.90.
The FFGeek Poll
The FFGeek captain poll asks who will be your captain? Thanks for taking the time to vote
Other FPL advice site Polls
Site 1 has the highest traffic. Site 2 low traffic votes
Contributor Picks
Here’s what I’ve got so far:
Stats comparison
Aubameyang v Fernandes v Salah
Here’s some key performance stats. They are overall on a season basis home and away stats as the difference is somewhat theoretical at the moment.
In 19/20 Arsenal were 7th in Goals scored, 9th in xG and 11th in Shots per game
In 19/20 Man Utd were 5th in Goals scored, 4th in xG and 5th in Shots per game
In 19/20 Liverpool were 2nd in Goals scored, 3rd in xG and 2nd in Shots per game
Defences
In 19/20 West Ham were ranked 16th in goals conceded 18th in xGA and 12th in Shots per game against
In 19/20 C Palace were ranked 10th in goals conceded 13th in xGA and 13th in Shots per game against
In 19/20 Chelsea were ranked 11th in goals conceded 5th in xGA and 2nd in Shots per game against (otherwise known as the Kepa effect)
Summary
I’d expect all of Aubameyang, Salah and Fernandes to start
Aubameyang clearly leads the bookies odds, the polls and the Contributor picks so he’s the most popular player by some distance with FPL managers and the bookies.
Stats wise his underlying stats are pretty ordinary for the price but he massively overperformed them with an exceptional finishing year.
Fernandes 8 goals last season consisted of 4 penalties and if you stripped them out plus his overperformance you’d have a set of underlying stats that are similar to Jarrod Bowen or Jack Grealish’s
Salah has the best stats by some distance but faces a very good defence. That’s until the ball gets to or should I say past the GK. Let me remind you that for 30% of the shots on target last season he didn’t even move for.
The FFGeek choice
You may have seen my early FFGeek team thoughts article where I touched on this and other things
I don’t have Fernandes anyway to cause any confusion so I’m going with the polls of Aubameyang which I would have anyway
Transfer polls results
Other Posts
FFGeek Contributors GW2 teams part 1
FFGeek Contributors GW2 teams Part 2
FFGeek Contributors GW2 teams part 3
FFGeek Contributors GW2 teams part 4
Early thoughts on the FFGeek team
Analysing 10 top FPL managers teams
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