FANTASY PREMIER LEAGUE CAPTAIN CHOICE GW12


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Here’s our fantasy premier league captain choice GW12 article where we look at various ways of assessing the best captain pick for the gameweek. As usual we look at the fixtures, the bookies odds, the FPL advice site polls, any of the top 10 FPL managers we can find and the FFGeek choice. We also continue our new schedule showing the best player in various measures to see what that throws up

FANTASY PREMIER LEAGUE CAPTAIN CHOICE GW12

THE FIXTURES

fpl-gw12fixtures

The bookies see 4 teams as strong favourites with Spurs and Man City at £1.50 to win and Everton and Chelsea £1.57 to win

THE BOOKIES ODDS

Here we look at one of the bookies anytime goal scoring odds. I’ve tried to only put players in who have some gametime security. It’s the return for £1 invested. Odds are as of Saturday morning and remember they assume the player starts and don’t count assist potential.

£1.65 – Aguero

£1.67 – Lukaku

£1.90– Harry Kane

£1.91 – Diego Costa

£2.20 – Defoe

£2.30 – HM Son

£2.40 – Bony

£2.45 – Hazard

£2.50 – Firmino, De Bruyne

THE FPL ADVICE POLLS.

Firstly here’s the FFGeek poll:

fpl-gw12ffgeekpollresult

So a pretty clear margin for Aguero

Here’s the summary of the other main advice polls:

fpl-gw12captainsummary

It’s worth noting that site 1 is the site with the most traffic and probably replicates the top 10k FPL managers more than any other site

A pretty consistent message

TOP 10 FPL MANAGERS

Only 1 is showing himself at the moment and he’s gone Aguero.  A trip around the social media sites with good managers seems to show that Aguero is the most popular

USING VARIOUS MEASURES

I thought I would put together a table of various measures to see what that showed. You can see more detail of the measures and definitions in the various “ones to watch” articles for

Midfielders

Forwards

The schedule works by taking the top 2 players in the various categories and then adding together how many times they appear with no differentiation between 1st and 2nd. In the event of a tie the player with the most times in the first category gets the vote. The player with the best goal scoring odds in that team gets the nod in the schedule.

Here’s how to look at it

The first 4 categories focus on player form to date

The next 2 categories focus on the opposition defence with the player with the best bookies goal scoring odds getting the nod

The last 2 categories are views on who is the best captain for the gameweek either through the bookies goalscoring odds or the Polls

So the first 4 are facts about whats happened the 2nd 4 are based on opinion of what might happen

Last week it went for Aguero which produced 2 points.

fpl-gw12captainmetrics

So it shows Aguero and Lukaku 3 times and with Hazard twice from this method. So it is Aguero as he had 3 first place positions vs Lukakus 2nd place.

I’m going to continue road testing this to see how the results pan out

THE FFGEEK CHOICE

I normally take the popular captain choice to avoid downsize so Aguero’s poll popularity with ownership means I’ll sticj with him

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