FANTASY PREMIER LEAGUE CAPTAIN CHOICE GW15


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Here’s our fantasy premier league captain choice GW15 article where we look at various ways of assessing the best captain pick for the gameweek. As usual we look at the fixtures, the bookies odds, the FPL advice site polls, any of the top 10 FPL managers we can find and the FFGeek choice. We also continue our new schedule showing the best player in various measures to see what that throws up

FANTASY PREMIER LEAGUE CAPTAIN CHOICE GW15

THE FIXTURES

The bookies see 3 teams as strong favourites with the following win odds for £1 invested. It’s likely the captain choice will come from one of those teams

Chelsea at £1.28

Arsenal at £1.30

Liverpool at £1.30

Southampton and Man City at £1.73

THE BOOKIES ODDS

Here we look at one of the bookies anytime goal scoring odds. I’ve tried to only put players in who have some gametime security. It’s the return for £1 invested. Odds are as of Saturday morning and remember they assume the player starts and don’t count assist potential.

£1.75 – Sanchez and Costa

£1.85 – Origi and Firmino

£2.00 – Hazard and Mane

£2.05 – Walcott

£2.15 – Lallana

£2.20 – Sigurdsson

£2.30 – Lukaku, Benteke, Ozil, Iheanacho

£2.37 – Ibrahimovic

THE FPL ADVICE POLLS.

Firstly here’s the FFGeek poll:

So Sanchez over Hazard by a good margin

Here’s the summary of the other main advice polls:

It’s worth noting that site 1 is the site with the most traffic and probably replicates the top 10k FPL managers more than any other site

Sanchez clear winner here

TOP 10 FPL MANAGERS

Of the 1 manager showing his team he’s going for Sanchez. Having a look around the good social media sites it’s a little more mixed but mainly Sanchez

USING VARIOUS MEASURES

I thought I would put together a table of various measures to see what that showed. You can see more detail of the measures and definitions in the various “ones to watch” articles for

Midfielders

Forwards

The schedule works by taking the top 2 players in the various categories and then adding together how many times they appear with no differentiation between 1st and 2nd. In the event of a tie the player with the most times in the first category gets the vote. The player with the best goal scoring odds in that team gets the nod in the schedule.

Here’s how to look at it

The first 4 categories focus on player form to date

The next 2 categories focus on the opposition defence with the player with the best bookies goal scoring odds getting the nod

The last 2 categories are views on who is the best captain for the gameweek either through the bookies goalscoring odds or the Polls

So the first 4 are facts about whats happened the 2nd 4 are based on opinion of what might happen

So Sanchez 6 appearances and Costa 4 gives the nod to Sanchez.

I’m going to continue road testing this to see how the results pan out

THE FFGEEK CHOICE

I normally go with the polls. So Sanchez it is.  I do have some reservations about whether he will start as he played midweek and Everton are on Tuesday but the polls and ownership are just too high to risk.

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