Here’s our fantasy premier league captain choice GW28 article where we look at various ways of assessing the best captain pick for the gameweek. As usual we look at the fixtures, the bookies odds, the FPL advice site polls, any of the top 10 FPL managers we can find, our captain metrics table and the FFGeek choice.
FANTASY PREMIER LEAGUE CAPTAIN CHOICE GW28
Here’s the fixtures for GW28:
The bookies see 2 teams as strong favourites with the following win odds for £1 invested. It’s likely the captain choice will come from one of those teams. Here’s the teams with suggestions:
Liverpool (Burnley h) at £1.25 – Mane, Coutinho, Firmino
Everton (WBA h ) at £1.40 – Lukaku
THE BOOKIES ODDS
Here we look at one of the bookies anytime goal scoring odds. I’ve tried to only put players in who have some gametime security. It’s the return for £1 invested. Odds are as of Saturday morning and remember they assume the player starts and don’t count assist potential.
£1.95 – Firmino, Mane
£2.00 – Lukaku
£2.25 – Coutinho
£2.45 – Carroll
Remember Firmino is an injury doubt
THE FPL ADVICE SITE POLLS.
Firstly here’s the FFGeek poll:
Here’s the summary of the other main advice polls:
It’s worth noting that site 1 is the site with the most traffic and probably replicates the top 10k FPL managers more than any other site
TOP 10 FPL MANAGERS AND BEST SOCIAL MEDIA ACCOUNTS
I have access to only 1 of the top 10 managers and I’m not sure what he’s doing. Generally Lukaku seems to be edging it in the social media accounts with the Liverpool captains split ebtween Coutinho and Mane
USING VARIOUS MEASURES
Lukaku is in 8/9 categories. Mane 5. I’ve ignored Firmino as an injury doubt
Here’s the squawka underlying stats:
Then the 2 teams they are facing. These are overall stats away from home but there is some defensive stuff in it from Squawka
So away from home Burnley concede more goals and are involved in more defensive actions. They are also generally just so much worse overall than WBA
THE FFGEEK CHOICE
I’m going with Lukaku. The polls have him a reasonable way ahead and he is a higher owned asset meaning getting it wrong will affect your rank more than Mane.
What the stats show is that the performance and underlying stats are very very close in all departments. However the Burnley defence is undoubtedly the worst defence. Therefore to me on cold hard stats there’s alot to be said for Mane. However they have struggled at times against defensive set up sides.
However for defensive reasons I’m going for Lukaku to avoid any big rank damage.
Good luck with whoever you choose
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