Here’s a shortened version of our fantasy premier league captain pick GW21 article. We look at the fixtures, the bookies odds, the FFGeek captain poll, the contributors picks and stats to seek out the best captain choice. There’s also the results of the transfer polls.
fantasy premier league captain pick GW21 – plus transfer poll results
The fixtures
Bookies team to win odds
Liverpool v Sheffield £1.27 – Salah, Mane and Firmino
Man City v Everton – £1.27 – Aguero, De Bruyne and Sterling
Newcastle v Leicester – £1.57 – Vardy
The bookies player odds
These are anytime goalscorer odds for £1 invested up to £2.40. They assume the player starts and ignores assist potential.
£1.65 – Aguero
£1.75 – Vardy
£1.85 – Jesus, Salah
£1.91 – Abraham, Wood, Pukki, Ings
£1.95 – Aubameyang, Mane
£2.00 – Sterling, Rashford, Lacazette
£2.05 – Barnes, Haller, Kane
£2.15 – Mahrez
£2.25 – Maupay
£2.37 – Firmino, Alli
£2.30 – Connolly, Perez, Jimenez
As I had a few queries last week so Martial is £2.50, De Bruyne is £2.60 and Grealish is £3.60
The Captain Poll results
The FFGeek captain poll asks who will be your captain? Thanks for taking the time to vote
Other FPL polls
Here’s a selection of results from other polls:
Poll 1 is the highest traffic site and asks who is the best captain
There are 2 twitter polls which ask who your captain will be. Only 1 this week though
The last 1 is a low volume site poll where there is no question.
n/a means that player isn’t in the poll
The FFGeek contributor captain picks
Here’s the picks from the 17 so far.
Joseph Crilleys transfer planner and points projection tool Captain pick
Joe’s transfer planner and points projection tools projects points for each player for each game.
Joe’s team run by the planner is currently on 1,180 points on 54k. You can follow that team including live transfers and use the planner plus loads more on our subscription Patreon site.
It picks Alexander Arnold, followed by Sterling, De Bruyne, Vardy, Salah, Mane and Kane
Stats comparison
Gametime
I would say Vardy is a fairly safe starter considering he didn’t even make the squad for GW20. Kane probably next so as with Son suspended there is little alternative. The rest all have some degree of risk. The mitigation is that none of these players will probably play in the FA Cup at the weekend giving them 10 or so days off after GW21
Attacking player overall stats
Team defensive stats
Think carefully about your vice captain
In what could be a another rotation plagued gameweek think carefully about your captain and whether you want a banker to be your vice at the potential reduction of returns or whether you’re willing to risk the ultimate issue of both not playing
Summary
Gametime. I would say Vardy is a fairly safe starter considering he didn’t even make the squad for GW20. Kane probably next so as with Son suspended there is little alternative. The rest all have some degree of risk. The mitigation is that none of these players will probably play in the FA Cup at the weekend giving them 10 or so days off after GW21
Of the poll leaders, the bookies for anytime goalscorer have for the main options. Vardy £1.75, Salah £1.85, Mane £1.95 and Kane £2.05. De Bruyne is £2.60. Aguero is the shortest odds at £1.65
The FFGeek poll asking who are you captaining favours Vardy at 47% with De Bruyne at 12%. The rest are under 10%.
Of the 1o FFGeek contributors Vardy is the overwhelming favourite with only Kane looking like getting any support
On the stats side.
De Bruynes stats are very good especially his volume numbers. They are biased towards assists which means his points are somewhat out of his control. Everton are better away from home than their goals conceded column but the poor Gk could explain that as he is a very poor shot stopper.
Kane’s stats are pretty ordinary to say the least. You’re relying on reputation. Southampton are poor at home defensively although somewhat distorted by the Leicester drubbing.
Vardy is very good although overperforming. His volumes aren’t great but that is the case with some elite strikers. The Newcastle defence looks good in theory but they are over performing their expected goals. On paper the GK looks like a good shot stopper but he has been poor recently.
Salah’s and Mane’s stats are really good but they face a good defence if an over performing one but again with a good GK.
Alexander Arnolds attacking stats are very good for a full back. Sheffield are 14th in expected goals away so a clean sheet has to be a decent possibility.
Kane, Vardy and Salah with Milner off the pitch have penalty duties
The FFGeek view
I’m a little skeptical about Vardy in this gameweek but given his seemingly secure start I’m not going against such a strong poll.
Good luck whoever you choose.
The Transfer Polls
Thanks for taking the time to vote
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Other posts
FFGeek contributors GW21 teams part 1
FFGeek contributors GW21 teams part 2
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