fantasy premier league captain pick GW29 – plus transfer poll results UPDATED for FFG Contributor picks

captain choice, Fantasy Premier League

Here’s our fantasy premier league captain pick GW29 article. We look at the fixtures, the bookies odds, the FFGeek captain poll, the contributors picks and stats to seek out the best captain choice. There’s also the results of the transfer polls plus a couple of specific DGW29 related polls. UPDATED for FFGeek contributor picks

fantasy premier league captain pick GW29 – plus transfer poll results UPDATED for FFG Contributor picks

Fixtures

 fantasy premier league captain pick GW29

Bookies team to win odds

Liverpool v Bournemouth £1.24 – Salah, Mane, Firmino

Leicester v Aston Villa £1.36 – Vardy

Man City v Arsenal £1.36 – ?

Arsenal v West Ham £1.57 – Aubameyang

The anytime goal scorer odds

These are the odds for anytime goalscorer for £1 bet. They assume the player starts and don’t take into account assist potential.  There aren’t odds for the 2nd match.

£1.57 – Aubameyang (v West Ham H + Man City A)

£1.65 – Vardy, Salah

£1.67 – Ings

£1.75 – Aguero (v Man Utd A plus Arsenal H)

£1.91 – Abraham, Mane

£2.00 – Jimenez, Giroud

£2.05 – Jesus

£2.20 – Calvert Lewin, Nketiah (v West Ham H +Man City A) , Lacazette

£2.25 – Wood, McBurnie

£2.30 – Firmino, Deeney

£2.40 – Sterling (v Man Utd A plus Arsenal H)

De Bruyne btw is (£3.30 v Man Utd A plus Arsenal H)

The Captain Poll results

The FFGeek Poll

The FFGeek captain poll asks who will be your captain? Thanks for taking the time to vote




Other FPL polls

Here’s a selection of results from other polls:

fantasy premier league captain pick GW29

Poll 1 is the highest traffic site and asks who is the best captain

There are 2 twitter polls which ask who your captain will be.

The last 1 is a low volume site poll where there is no question.

n/a means that player isn’t in the poll

Contributor Picks

 Here’s 18 Contributors picks

Stats comparison

Aubameyang v Salah

I’ve ignored De Bruyne due to the uncertainty as to whether he will play

Gametime

I expect Aubameyang to play both matches and Salah to line up v Bournemouth considering he was on the bench in the midweek FA Cup game

Salah in selected home matches

Aubameyang in selected home matches

I’m not going to do the 2nd match as I think the home 1 is the crucial match and the away one is icing.  It’s against a Man City defence that is 2nd/3rd to Liverpool with Man Utd.

fantasy premier league captain pick GW29

The Bournemouth away defence

14th ranked away with goals conceded 24 from 14 games

They are 16th in xG conceded away  with 25.66.

Shots per game against away they are 15th with 15.6

The West Ham away defence

11th ranked away with goals conceded 23 from 14 games

19th in xG conceded away  with 30.36.

Shots per game against away they are 19th with 16.3

West Ham have the biggest gap between goals conceded away and xGA.  Down in part to Fabianski or unsustainable luck.

Summary




I suspect both Salah will start  and Aubameyang  will start both.  De Bruyne is still a doubt which is why I haven’t put stats up.

The anytime goalscorer odds have Aubameyang at £1.57 and Salah at £1.65.  No odds for game 2 as yet.

The FFGeek poll was reset after the DGW announcement but there would have been some De Bruyne votes before the injury doubt news came through.  But it’s Aubameyang a clear leader at 53% to Salah and De Bruyne at 19%.  Hard to know on the other polls as I only know that poll 1 with similar numbers was reset

Of the 18 FFGeek contributors only 6 have Aubameyang and surprisingly a number chose not to captain him.  Salah was the overwhelming captain favourite.  

The stats in terms of the home games favour Salah comfortably over Aubameyang but obviously Aubameyang has the City match as well. Aubameyang is the forward who has most over performed his stats but that is mitigated by the fact that he hasn’t had the penalties you’d expect.  It’s also worth mentioning that Arsenal are 10th in xG this season.  Behind Watford, Burnley and Sheffield United.

The West Ham defence away looks worse than the Bournemouth defence amazingly but they have performed relatively credibly in matches recently vs Man City and Liverpool.

Salah will take pens if Milner is off the filed.  Aubameyang will have pens.

The FFGeek choice

I don’t have Aubameyang but if I did he would be my captain given the polls and the 2 fixtures. I just don’t trust Pep to play De Bruyne twice although if I had to bet I would say he will.  In that case Salah will probably become my captain by default

Transfer polls

fantasy premier league captain pick GW29

fantasy premier league captain pick GW29

DGW29 specific polls

Other posts

Analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers

Early thoughts on the FFGeek team

Monitoring the FA Cup results to determine blank GW31

FPL gameweek review GW28

FFGeek captain poll take 2

Defender player rankings for GW29

Midfield player rankings

Fantasy premier league double gameweek 29 announced

Forward player rankings

FFGeek contributors teams part 1

FFGeek contributors teams part 2

FFGeek contributors teams part 3

the FFGeek imaginary wildcard

DGW scenario planning

Rob Reids GW29 player picks

FFGeek league codes:

fantasy premier league:  fnqq66

Sky Sports fantasy football:  fantasyfootball.skysports.com/leagues/join with PIN 8426114

Telegraph fantasy football European Super League:   League PIN: 8186902  League Passcode: 2113

Sun Dream Team:

Classic League PIN:  SGDKX9Y3

Social Media

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