Here’s our fantasy premier league captain pick GW36 article. We look at the fixtures, the bookies odds, the FFGeek captain poll, the contributors picks and stats to seek out the best captain choice. There’s also the results of the transfer poll.
fantasy premier league captain pick GW36 – plus transfer poll results
The Fixtures
The Bookies team to win odds
The odds are for the team to win with the return from a £1.00 bet
Chelsea v Norwich £1.11 – Abraham/Giroud, Pulisic, Willian
Man City v Bournemouth £1.12 – Jesus, De Bruyne, Sterling, Mahrez
C Palace v Man Utd £1.33 – Martial, Fernandes, Rashford, Greenwood
The anytime goal scorer odds
These are the odds for anytime goalscorer for £1 bet. They assume the player starts and don’t take into account assist potential
£1.67 – Abraham
£1.73 – Giroud, Pulisic
£1.80 – Jesus, Sterling
£1.91 – Mahrez
£1.95 – Aubameyang, Ings
£2.00 – Willian, Calvert Lewin, Salah,Kane, Vardy
£2.05 – Foden
£2.15 – Mane, Richarlison, Martial, Greenwood
£2.20 – Jimenez, De Bruyne,
£2.30 – Bruno Fernandes, Rashford
£2.37 – Antonio, Deeney
The FFGeek Poll
The FFGeek captain poll asks who will be your captain? Thanks for taking the time to vote
The poll went up before the Man Utd v Southampton match
Other FPL polls
As I write this early on Tuesday morning there is 1 other poll up which is the site with the highest traffic. There are a reasonable number of votes and it shows the following:
Pulisic 19%
Sterling 17%
De Bruyne 14%
Willian 11%
Contributor Picks
Here’s what I’ve got so far:
Stats comparison
Pulisic vs Sterling vs De Bruyne vs Jesus vs Fernandes vs Willian
Here’s some key performance stats. They are overall on a season basis home and away stats as the difference is somewhat theoretical at the moment.
PPM is points per match
Consistency is the % of games where the play got a goal or assist.
Explosiveness is the % of those returns that got a FPL 10 points or more.
Chelsea are 3rd in total xG and 2nd in shots per game.
Man Utd are ranked 4th in XG and 4th in shots per game.
Man City are ranked 1st in XG and 4th in shots per game.
Gametime
Chelsea are chasing a top 4 spot and have everything to play for. Having played on Saturday, Chelsea play Norwich on Tuesday then Man Utd in the FA Cup on Sunday and then Liverpool Wednesday and Wolves Sunday. Willian has started the last 7. Pulisic has started the last 5. Who knows what Lampard will do but the loss to Sheffeld may mean he won’t take any chances v Norwich.
Man Utd are chasing a Champions League spot. They played Southampton on Monday and then play Palace on Thursday followed by the FA Cup on Sunday and then West Ham on Wednesday. OGS has been consistent in his selection with Fernandes starting every game since he joined. That and easier first half of the season in the Portuguese League could mean he will start again
Man City have nothing to play for apart from pride but are looking like an attacking juggernaut. They played Brighton on Sunday. Then Bournemouth on Wednesday, Arsenal in the FA Cup on Saturday and then Watford on Tuesday. Who knows what Pep will do. De Bruyne has started 5 of the last 7 as has Sterling as has Jesus. Helpful?
The Norwich defence
20th ranked in goals conceded. 67 from 35 games
They are 17th in xG conceded with 63.
Shots per game against they are 18th with 15.2
They are relegated with nothing to play for
The C Palace defence
9th ranked in goals conceded. 45 from 35 games
They are 13th in xG conceded with 53 expected goals.
Shots per game against they are 13th with 13.6
They have conceded a number of goals since the restart with 10 in total v Liverpool, Leicester and Chelsea.
The Bournemouth defence
18th ranked in goals conceded. 60 from 35 games
They are 16th in xG conceded with 58 expected goals.
Shots per game against they are 17th with 14.9
Summary
Gametime wise it’s impossible to predict what City and Chelsea will do. Man Utd have consistently selected players so for me Fernandes seems the safest.
The FFGeek poll shows Salah as clear leader although this was put up before the Man Utd match.
The FFGeek contributors so far are backing Fernandes although I feel it could be quite a fluid situation.
The actual returns favour Fernandes but underlying stats favour the City players. Probably Sterling the most.
The Norwich defence seems easily the worst followed by Bournemouth. Palace has been good over the season but have been poor after the restart.
Fernandes, De Bruyne and Willian have penalty duties
The FFGeek view
I’ve yet to decide so I’ll have to leave this blank for my team article
The Transfer Polls
Other posts
Analysing 10 top FPL managers teams
The FFGeek Captain and transfer Polls
FFGeek contributors GW36 Teams part 1
FFGeek Contributors GW36 teams part 2
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