fantasy premier league captain pick GW37 – plus transfer poll results – UPDATED


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Here’s our fantasy premier league captain pick GW37 article. We look at the fixtures, the bookies odds, the FFGeek captain poll, the contributors picks and stats to seek out the best captain choice. There’s also the results of the transfer poll.  UPDATED for Contributors captains and Poll results.

fantasy premier league captain pick GW37 – plus transfer poll results

The Fixtures

FPL Captain Poll GW37

The Bookies team to win odds

The odds are for the team to win with the return from a £1.00 bet

Watford v Man City £1.27 – Jesus, De Bruyne, Sterling, Mahrez

Man Utd v West Ham £1.27 –  Martial, Fernandes, Rashford, Greenwood

Wolves v C Palace £1.47 – Jimenez

No odds are available for Liverpool v Chelsea

The anytime goal scorer odds

No odds are available for Liverpool and Chelsea players

These are the odds for anytime goalscorer for £1 bet. They assume the player starts and don’t take into account assist potential

1.73 – Aubameyang

£1.83 – Ings

£1.85 – Sterling

£1.91 – Jesus

£1.95  – Martial, Rashford, Fernandes

£2.05 – Jimenez

£2.10 – Greenwood

£2.15 – Vardy

£2.20 – Lacazette, Kane, Mahrez, Pukki, Wood

£2.25 – Rodriguez

£2.30 – Maupay

£2.37 – Foden, Nketiah

£2.40 – C Wilson

De Bruyne is £2.70

The FFGeek Poll

The FFGeek captain poll asks who will be your captain? Thanks for taking the time to vote

The poll went up before Thursdays matches




fantasy premier league captain pick GW37

Other FPL polls – UPDATED

Here’s the latest information:

Contributor Picks – UPDATED

Here’s the finished version:

 

Stats comparison

Fernandes v Martial vs Jesus vs De Bruyne

Here’s some key performance stats. They are overall on a season basis home and away stats as the difference is somewhat theoretical at the moment.

PPM is points per match

Consistency is the % of games where the play got a goal or assist.

Explosiveness is the % of those returns that got a FPL 10 points or more.

fantasy premier league captain pick GW37

Man Utd are ranked 5th in XG and 4th in shots per game.

Man City are ranked 1st in XG and 1st in shots per game.

Gametime

Both play in the FA Cup before the Premier League matches which adds selection and injury risk into the mix rather unhelpfully.

Man Utd are chasing a Champions League spot. They in the FA Cup on Sunday and then West Ham on Wednesday. OGS has been consistent in his selection with Fernandes starting every game since he joined. That and easier first half of the season in the Portuguese League could mean he will start again.  Martial has started every game since GW16.

Man City have nothing to play for apart from pride but are looking like an attacking juggernaut. They play  Arsenal in the FA Cup on Saturday and then Watford on Tuesday. Who knows what Pep will do. De Bruyne has started 5 of the last 8.  Jesus has started the last 5.

The West Ham defence

The stats are before their GW36 fixture

17th ranked in goals conceded. 59 from 35 games

They are 17th in xG conceded with 65.

Shots per game against they are 12th with 13.2

A win in the GW36 fixture would pretty much secure their safety from relegation.  Which could make their defensive performance less intense v Man Utd

The Watford defence

14th ranked in goals conceded. 54 from 35 games

They are 12th in xG conceded with 53 expected goals.

Shots per game against they are 13th with 12.8

Like West Ham, a win in the GW36 fixture would pretty much secure their safety from relegation.  Which could make their defensive performance less intense v Man City

Summary – UPDATED




Gametime wise both teams play in the FA Cup prior to their Premier League matches.   It’s impossible to predict what City will do.  However it’s worth noting that Jesus has played 2,800 minutes in all competitions compared to De Bruyne’s 3,400.  However De Bruyne was rested completely in GW36+.    Man Utd have consistently selected players so for me Fernandes seems the safest.  Martial has little option to be replaced and has started every PL game since GW16.  His total minutes in all competitions this season is 3,100.

The FFGeek poll shows Fernandes as the clear leader.  The other polls are mixed and far closer between Fernandes and Martial

The FFGeek contributors so far are backing Fernandes.  This is even more pronounced

The West Ham defence seems worse than the Watford defence.

Fernandes and De Bruyne have penalty duties

The FFGeek view – UPDATED

If someone could guarantee me that Jesus would start I would go with him.  However I am likely to just follow the polls which at the moment is Fernandes.  I’ve gone for Fernandes as you can see in my FFGeek team article

Good luck whoever you choose!

The Transfer Polls

fantasy premier league captain pick GW37

fantasy premier league captain pick GW37

Other posts

Analysing 10 top FPL managers

The FFGeek Podcast

Fixture Ease

The FFGeek Captain Poll

FFGeek contributors teams part 1

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