fantasy premier league captain pick GW4 – plus transfer poll results


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Here’s our fantasy premier league captain pick GW4 article. We look at the fixtures, the bookies odds, the FFGeek captain poll, the contributors picks and some stats to seek out the best captain choice. There’s also the results of the transfer polls.

fantasy premier league captain pick GW4 – plus transfer poll results

The fixtures

fantasy premier league captain pick GW4

The bookies player odds

The odds are for £1 invested up to £2.20. They assume the player starts and ignores assist potential.

£1.55 – Aguero, Sterling

£1.80 – Vardy

£1.85 – Salah

£1.91 – Abraham, Haller, Pukki

£2.00 – Kane

£2.05 – Mane

£2.15 – Aubameyang

£2.20 – Bernardo Silva, Firmino

The Captain Poll

The captain poll asks who will be your captain?




fantasy premier league captain pick GW4

The contributor captain picks

ContributorSterlingDe Bruyne
Yaniv1
Andrew W1
Rob C1
Ben1
Kris1
Sergio1
Rob R1
Scott1
Alex B1
Rick1
Mikael1
Joe1
Jordan1
Chris1
Costas1
Keith1
Matt1
Kev1
Stephen1
%955

Sterling v Aguero stats

Sterling Stats

Sterling at home in 18/19 starting vs non top 6 sides

fantasy premier league captain pick GW4

Man City in 19/20 has yet to play a non top 6 side at home.

However so far this season Sterling’s played 3 90 minute games for 5 goals and 34 FPL points at a PPM of 11.3

Aguero stats

Aguero at home in 18/19 starting vs non top 6 sides

fantasy premier league captain pick GW4

Man City in 19/20 has yet to play a non top 6 side at home.

However so far this season he’s started 2 ganes plus 1 as sub for 4 goals in 21, 65 and  90 minute spells. Total of  24 FPL points at a PPM of 8.0

Defences

Brighton last season away from home were ranked 14th for goals conceded letting in 32 in 19 games.  Their xGA was 37 making them 15th ranked away from home.

This season they have a more attacking manager in Potter.  They have only played 1 goal away from home winning 3-0 at Watford




Summary

The bookies have Sterling and Aguero equal at £1.55 for an anytime goalscorer.

The Polls have Sterling a clear leader but as the question is who will be your captain that would bias people to Sterling through a significantly higher ownership at least among readers.  In the whole game its 20% ownership Aguero vs 47% Sterling.

Again the contributors are 95% Sterling although I don’t believe any own Aguero.

The stats favour Sterling.  However Jesus remains an injury doubt which gives him more of a shout to play 90 mins which would even up those stats.

Aguero has penalty duties

FFGeek view

I don’t own Aguero so it’s Sterling for me.  I think if I did own Aguero I would still captain Sterling based on the stats.

 The transfer in and out polls

The Martial definitely out news was late in the week so the polls probably aren’t that relevant as it appeared earlier in the week he was going to be ok

Other posts

The FFGeek contributors show their teams for GW4 part 1

GW3 review from an underlying stats perspective

Analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers

GW4 fixture ease article

See our GW4 bandwagons and sinking ships article

Geek note: If you join our Patreon site you will get access to an FPL contributor tracker team which combines the contributors individual teams each week to show their favourite players, transfers and captains. It will always be completed on a Friday/Saturday in a normal gameweek. There will also be a spreadsheet of each managers teams, transfers and captains so you can drill down further.

You also get:

Joe’s interactive transfer planner and points projection tool

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4 thoughts on “fantasy premier league captain pick GW4 – plus transfer poll results”

  1. Aguero/Dendocker or Sterling/Greenwood….

    Current team:
    Pickford/Button
    TAA OWB Zinchenko Lindstrm Kelly
    Salah KDB Sterling Mount Cantwell
    Pukki Haller Greenwood
    3-5-2 usually…

    Aguero gives 3-4-3 depth, but Dendocker steady mfd min

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