Here’s our fantasy premier league captain pick GW5 article. We look at the fixtures, the bookies odds, the FFGeek captain poll, the contributors picks and some stats to seek out the best captain choice. There’s also the results of the transfer polls.
fantasy premier league captain pick GW5 – plus transfer poll results
The fixtures
The bookies player odds
The odds are for £1 invested up to £2.40. They assume the player starts and ignores assist potential.
£1.53 – Aguero, Sterling
£1.65 – Salah
£1.67 – Kane
£1.83 – Mane
£1.85 – Firmino
£2.00 – Aubameyang
£2.15 – Murray, Maupay
£2.20 – Bernardo Silva, Haller
£2.25 – Son and Moura
£2.30 – Pepe
£2.37 – Jimenez, Abraham
The Captain Poll results
The captain poll asks who will be your captain?
The contributor captain picks
| Sterling | Salah | Aguero | Mane | |
| Yaniv | 1 | |||
| Andrew W | 1 | |||
| Rob C | 1 | |||
| Ben | ||||
| Kris | 1 | |||
| Sergio | 1 | |||
| Alex S | 1 | |||
| Rob R | 1 | |||
| Scott | 1 | |||
| Alex B | 1 | |||
| Rick | 1 | |||
| Mikael | 1 | |||
| Joe | 1 | |||
| Jordan | ||||
| Chris | 1 | |||
| Costas | 1 | |||
| Keith | 1 | |||
| Matt | ||||
| Kev | 1 | |||
| Stephen | 1 | |||
| Prakhar | 1 | |||
| % | 39 | 50 | 6 | 6 |
Sterling v Salah stats
Sterling Stats
Sterling away in 18/19 starting vs non top 6 sides
These season has been a different story so far with a hat trick and 20 points in the 5-0 away win to West Ham and a goal and 8 points in the win against Bournemouth
Salah stats
Salah at home in 18/19 starting vs non top 6 sides
So far Salah at home this season has got a goal and assist vs Norwich for 12 points and 2 goals v Arsenal for 15 points
Defences
Last season Newcastle were 3rd equal in goals conceded away from home with only 23. They did over perform xG though and on that basis would have been 10th.
This season Newcastle have been difficult to assess. Appalling away to Norwich but impressive against Arsenal at home (0-1) and Spurs away (1-0)
Norwich conceded alot of goals in the Championship and are 12th in xG against at home although only Watford and West Ham have conceded more than Norwich’s 4. Away from home the stats look alot worse with no one conceding more and only Spurs and West Ham with worse xGA
Norwich have a host of injuries defensively though with 3 CBs looking unlikely to start as well as the RB. CMs Leitner and Trybull are also ruled out.
Summary
Gametime wise both have Champions League ties midweek. Liverpool have the hardest tie against Napoli. Salah has had a no games over the International break so I would be surprised if he didn’t start. Sterling is less straight forward. He is generally more likely to be rotated than Salah and has played 2 games over the International break. He does have the easier UCL game but the distance is longer in the Ukraine. GW6 sees Liverpool at Chelsea. Man City are home to Watford. Either conceivably could be subbed if either team gets a decent lead.
The bookies have Sterling at £1.53 vs Salah at £1.65 for an anytime goalscorer.
The Polls have Salah ahead at 41% to 33% over Sterling.
The contributors have it fairly close with Salah just edging it
The stats of 18/19 clearly favour Salah. In the 2 games played each both have been hugely impressive although the stats again probably favour Salah
Norwich have conceded alot of goals although their xG may state they have been a bit unlucky. They have been alot worse at away from home. They have a significant number of injuries in defence and with their CMs
Newcastle were good defensively last season under Rafa. This season it’s been 2 good performances against Arsenal and Spurs although they were horrendous against Norwich.
Salah has penalty duties
FFGeek view
A difficult 50/50. Salah seems to have the better stats, penalties and gametime prospects. Salah faces what should be the more difficult defence especially considering the injury list to Norwich.
To me that edges it to Sterling
The transfer in and out polls
Other posts
The early FFGeek team thoughts
Analysing 10 top FPL managers teams
The bandwagons and sinking ships
Defender and Goalkeeper player rankings
Prakhar Patel activates his wildcard
The FFGeek captain and transfer poll
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