fantasy premier league captain pick GW5 – plus transfer poll results


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Here’s our fantasy premier league captain pick GW5 article. We look at the fixtures, the bookies odds, the FFGeek captain poll, the contributors picks and some stats to seek out the best captain choice. There’s also the results of the transfer polls.

fantasy premier league captain pick GW5 – plus transfer poll results

The fixtures

 fantasy premier league captain pick GW5

The bookies player odds

The odds are for £1 invested up to £2.40. They assume the player starts and ignores assist potential.

£1.53 – Aguero, Sterling

£1.65 – Salah

£1.67 –   Kane

£1.83 – Mane

£1.85 – Firmino

£2.00 – Aubameyang

£2.15 – Murray, Maupay

£2.20 – Bernardo Silva, Haller

£2.25 – Son and Moura

£2.30 – Pepe

£2.37 – Jimenez, Abraham




The Captain Poll results

The captain poll asks who will be your captain?

fantasy premier league captain pick GW5

The contributor captain picks

SterlingSalahAgueroMane
Yaniv1
Andrew W1
Rob C1
Ben
Kris1
Sergio1
Alex S1
Rob R1
Scott1
Alex B1
Rick1
Mikael1
Joe1
Jordan
Chris1
Costas1
Keith1
Matt
Kev1
Stephen1
Prakhar1
%395066

Sterling v Salah stats

Sterling Stats

Sterling away in 18/19 starting vs non top 6 sides

fantasy premier league captain pick GW5

These season has been a different story so far with a hat trick and 20 points in the 5-0  away win to West Ham and a goal and 8 points in the win against Bournemouth

Salah stats

Salah at home in 18/19 starting vs non top 6 sides

fantasy premier league captain pick GW5

So far Salah at home this season has got a goal and assist vs Norwich for 12 points and 2 goals v Arsenal for 15 points

Defences

Last season Newcastle were 3rd equal in goals conceded away from home with only 23.  They did over perform xG though and on that basis would have been 10th.

This season Newcastle have been difficult to assess.  Appalling away to Norwich but impressive against Arsenal at home (0-1) and Spurs away (1-0)

Norwich conceded alot of goals in the Championship and are 12th in xG against at home although only Watford and West Ham have conceded more than Norwich’s 4.  Away from home the stats look alot worse with no one conceding more and only Spurs and West Ham with worse xGA

Norwich have a host of injuries defensively though with 3 CBs looking unlikely to start as well as the RB.  CMs Leitner and Trybull are also ruled out.




Summary

Gametime wise both have Champions League ties midweek.  Liverpool have the hardest tie against Napoli.  Salah has had a no games over the International break so I would be surprised if he didn’t start.  Sterling is less straight forward.  He is generally more likely to be rotated than Salah and has played 2 games over the International break.  He does have the easier UCL game but the distance is longer in the Ukraine.  GW6 sees Liverpool at Chelsea.  Man City are home to Watford.  Either conceivably could be subbed if either team gets a decent lead.

The bookies have Sterling at £1.53 vs Salah at £1.65 for an anytime goalscorer.

The Polls have Salah ahead at 41% to 33% over Sterling.

The contributors have it fairly close with Salah just edging it

The stats of 18/19 clearly favour Salah.  In the 2 games played each both have been hugely impressive although the stats again probably favour Salah

Norwich have conceded alot of goals although their xG may state they have been a bit unlucky.  They have been alot worse at away from home.  They have a significant number of injuries in defence and with their CMs

Newcastle were good defensively last season under Rafa.  This season it’s been 2 good performances against Arsenal and Spurs although they were horrendous against Norwich.

Salah has penalty duties

FFGeek view

A difficult 50/50.  Salah seems to have the better stats, penalties and gametime prospects.  Salah faces what should be the more difficult defence especially considering the injury list to Norwich.

To me that edges it to Sterling

The transfer in and out polls

Other posts

Gameweek 4 review

The early FFGeek team thoughts

Analysing 10 top FPL managers teams

the fixture ease schdeule

The bandwagons and sinking ships

Defender and Goalkeeper player rankings

Midfield player rankings

Prakhar Patel activates his wildcard

Forward player rankings

The FFGeek captain and transfer poll

The FFGeek imaginary wildcard

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2 thoughts on “fantasy premier league captain pick GW5 – plus transfer poll results”

  1. I agree that Sterling faces the worst defence, especially with those injuries. However, I just can’t play on the Pep roulette wheel. I can easily see Sterling being dropped for this (tho I admit it is not very likely). And can definitely see him being hauled off on the hour mark.
    Salah won’t have either of those risks. Newcastle will park the bus but I can’t see anything other than a Liverpool onslaught. Newcastle held off Spurs, but that was a bit of a miracle. They’ll be no miracle this time.
    Salah for me. Let’s hope this is not the 5th week on the trot I get this wrong.
    Best of luck Geek.

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