Here’s our fantasy premier league captain tips GW10 article where we look at ways of assessing the best captain pick for the gameweek. We look at the fixtures, the bookies odds, the FPL advice site polls, who the FFGeek contributors are captaining, some stats and the FFGeek choice. We also look at the results of the transfer in and out polls.
fantasy premier league captain tips GW10 – plus transfer poll results
The fixtures
The Bookies Team win odds
Only 2 teams are big favourites this week:
Burnley v Chelsea – £1.38 Hazard although an injury doubt
Liverpool v Cardiff – £1.10 Salah, Mane, Firmino
The Bookies player odds
Here’s a bookies anytime goal scoring odds up to £2.25 for £1 invested as of Saturday morning. It assumes the player starts and doesn’t count assist potential
£1.44 – Aguero
£1.75 – Firmino
£1.85 – Aguero
£1.91 – Mane
£1.95 – Hazard, Lacazette
£2.05 – Morata
£2.10 – Aubameyang
£2.20 – Mitrovic, Kane
£2.25 – Lukaku
The FPL advice site Polls
Here’s the FFGeek captain poll:
You can see the full FFGeek captain poll with this link
Here’s a summary of 4 captain polls:
The FFGeek poll asks who will you captain as does site 2 although just gives you a couple of options. Site 1 asks for the best captain and site 3 is silent on the question.
Site 1% | FFGeek% | Site 2% | Site 3% | |
Salah | 43 | 57 | 55 | 45 |
Hazard | 14 | 11 | 29 | 15 |
Mane | 10 | 10 | n/a | 9 |
Aguero | 4 | 6 | 14 | 14 |
The FFGeek contributors
Here’s the FFGeek contributors captain picks as it stands. Pretty much a full house this week
Contributor | Captain |
Joseph Crilley | Salah |
Rob Reid | Salah |
Alex Ball | Salah |
Keith Spencer | Salah |
Scott Hargadon | Salah |
FPL Word | Robertson |
Mikael D | Salah |
Jordan Sadler | Salah |
Costas Chari | Aguero |
Sergio Torija | Salah |
Yaniv Salomon | Salah |
Mikael H | |
Stephen Troop | |
Andrew Ferguson | Salah |
Robert Cosgrove | Salah |
Prakhar Patel | Salah |
Joe Armiger |
You can see Andrew Ferguson’s team in his article also there’s the other contributors teams article part 1 and contributors part 2
Some stats
This week I’m looking at Salah and Hazard.
There are alot of doubts about whether Hazard will start or not but he still came 2nd in the FFGeek poll so I’m assuming managers are going to captain him and then rely on a vice captain if he doesn’t start. There remains a risk that he is on the bench and comes on late in the game obviously.
I’m going to start only using 18/19 stats this week
Salah
Here’s Salah’s starts in 18/19 against non top 6 sides at home.
Returns in 3/3 games . No bonus points in any of the games is the obvious issue
Overall Salah’s Points per 90 mins when on the pitch is 5.9 and he’s returned a goal or assist in 5 of his 9 starts which is 56%. He has the best underlying stats of any midfielder and is my top ranked midfielder for projected points over the next 6 matches
The Cardiff away defence
The Cardiff defence has only played 2 top 6 team away
GW5 Chelsea 1-4. 2.67 xG conceded and 18 shots.
GW8 Spurs lost 0-1 2.65 xG conceded and 19 shots
They have played Arsenal at home and lost 2-3 and Man City at home and lost 0-5
Overall in goals conceded they are 19th having conceded 19 goals. In xG conceded they are slightly better in 16th place overall
Hazard
Here’s Hazard’s starts in 18/19 against non top 6 sides away.
So he returned in 2/3 games although the figures are helped by the penalty at Newcastle which is 0.76 xG so if you discount that the figures don’t look as impressive.
He does have a big advantage over Salah in the collection of bonus points.
Overall Hazards Points per 90 mins when on the pitch is an incredible 10.1 and he’s returned a goal or assist in 5 of his 7 starts which is 71%. He has the 6th best underlying stats of any midfielder and is my 2nd ranked midfielder to Salah for projected points over the next 6 matches
The Burnley home defence
The Burnley home defence has only played 1 top 6 team at their own ground
GW4 Man Utd 0-2. 2.90 xG conceded and 21 shots.
They also have played Man City away and lost 0-5.
Overall in goals conceded they are 17th having conceded 17 goals. In xG conceded they are worse in 19th place overall
Summary
I would be surprised if Salah didn’t start given that Liverpool have no EFL Cup game midweek. Hazard is an injury doubt but obviously if he doesn’t play at all you default to your vice captain.
Hazard has penalty duties. Salah has said he is 2nd to Milner on penalties
The Bookies have Salah at £1.44 anytime goalscoring odds and Hazard £1.95
The polls have Salah as a fairly comprehensive leader. I think the FFGeek poll will be the most reflective of what people are doing as we started late with full information and that’s 57% Salah to 11% Hazard.
Stats wise you would go with Salah although Hazard’s actual returns have been incredible. Salah has a bonus problem. Hazard gets them in the warm up.
Both defences being faced are pretty tragic.
The FFGeek choice
The polls are too strong to ignore so I’m going with Salah. I also think ignoring that he is the logical choice and I doubt like the injury doubt and a possible 15 minute cameo if there’s some need for Hazard to go on.
The transfer in and out polls
That’s it hope you found it useful.
See the Geeks team for GW10 contributors league leader Andrew Ferguson discuss his teams plans
See also the teams and players with good fixtures in the fixture ease article, the first group of FFGeek contributors teams for GW10. The popular and not so popular players in the bandwagons and sinking ships article plus also who the 10 top managers I follow have in their team. Also who I have or maybe interested in getting in the early thoughts on the FFgeek team article
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