fantasy premier league captain tips GW20 – plus transfer poll results


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Here’s our fantasy premier league captain tips GW20 article where we look at ways of assessing the best captain pick for the gameweek. We look at the fixtures, the bookies odds, the FPL advice site polls, who the FFGeek contributors are captaining, some stats and the FFGeek choice. We also look at the results of the transfer in and out polls.

fantasy premier league captain tips GW20 – plus transfer poll results

The fixtures

fantasy premier league captain tips GW20

The Bookies Team win odds

Southampton v Man City – £1.30  Sane?

Liverpool v Arsenal £1.42 – Salah, Mane Firmino

Man Utd v Bournemouth – £1.38 Pogba

Spurs vs Wolves – £1.44 Kane, Son

The Bookies player odds

Here’s a bookies anytime goal scoring odds up to £2.37 for £1 invested as of Saturday morning. It assumes the player starts and doesn’t count assist potential

£1.67 – Salah

£1.70 – Aguero

£1.73 – Kane

£1.75 – Jesus

£1.91 – Sterling, Lukaku

£2.05 – Sane, Mahrez, Vardy, Sanchez, Rashford, Martial

£2.20 – Mane, Firmino

£2.25 – Mitrovic,

£2.30 – Hazard

£2.37 – Murray Lingard

The FPL advice site Polls

Here’s the FFGeek captain poll. Thanks very much for taking the time to vote:



fantasy premier league captain tips GW20

You can see the full FFGeek captain poll and transfer polls with this link

A full set of captain polls again!

Btw, the FFGeek poll and site 2 and 3 asks who will you captain. Site 1 asks for the best captain and site 4 is silent.

Site 1% FFGeek% Site 2% Site 3% Site 4%
Kane 35 52 50 47 37
Salah 13 16 16 21 19
Son 9 5 n/a n/a 10
Hazard 8 9 23 22 13

FFGeek Contributor captain picks

Contributor Captain
Joseph Crilley Hazard
Rob Reid Kane
Alex Ball Kane
Keith Spencer Kane
Scott Hargadon Kane
FPL Word
Mikael D Kane
Jordan Sadler Kane
Costas Chari Kane
Sergio Torija Kane
Yaniv Salomon Salah
Mikael H Hazard
Stephen Troop
Andrew Ferguson Kane
Robert Cosgrove Lingard
Prakhar Patel Kane

Some stats

This week I’m looking at the poll leaders of  Kane and Salah

Gametime

Neither of the 2 poll leaders have straightforward fixtures so even in this period of the season I think both will start.

Kane’s stats

Here’s Kanes starts in 18/19 against non top 6 sides at home.

fantasy premier league captain tips GW20

Considering the opposition it’s ok but you’d be looking for more.

Returns in 4/5 games, 1 double figure score and backed up by pretty good underlying stats although the recent shot volumes have decreased.

Overall points per 90 mins when on the pitch is 6.3 and he’s returned a goal or assist in 12 of his 18 starts which is 67%.

The Wolves away defence against top 6 sides

fantasy premier league captain tips GW20

There  won’t be many sides with defensive stats like that against top 6 sides

Overall the Wolves defence is 5th equal in goals conceded with 22 and also 10th in xG conceded.

Away they are ranked 4th equal with 9 goals conceded from 9 games and ranked 2nd with xG conceded.

Defensively they are at full strength

Salah

Here’s his starts against top 6 sides at home:

fantasy premier league captain tips GW20

So no returns in 2/2 games. Underlying stats are poor 2.  How much of a pointer though for this game is a bit unclear.

Overall Salah’s points per 90 mins when on the pitch is 7.8 and he’s returned a goal or assist in 11 of his 18 starts which is 61%.

The Arsenal away defence against top 6 sides

fantasy premier league captain tips GW20

2 contrasting games.  The 2nd seeing quite an improvement

Overall the Arsenal defence is 7th equal in goals conceded with 25. They are also 7th in xG conceded.

Away they are ranked 11th  with 16 goals conceded from 9 games but ranked 5th in xG conceded.

Injuries are an issue though.  Bellerin and Holding are out.  Mustafi should be ok but Monreal is very doubtful.

The 2 players lined up as a comparison

Here I’ve just taken the averages and lined them up so it’s easier to compare. I’ve then marked in green who has the best stat of the 2.

fantasy premier league captain tips GW20

Summary





I would be shocked if either player didn’t start as both fixtures aren’t easy ones and will need a full strength team.

Kane has pens and with Milner out Salah will also have them.

The bookies odds for anytime goal scoring see Salah edging it at £1.67 to Kanes £1.73.

The polls are for Kane by about 45% to 17%.

The FFGeek contributors pretty much have gone for Kane by 10 to 1 for Salah.

The stats see 2 blanks for Salah against Man City and Man Utd but I’m not sure that’s reflective of his ability particularly.  Kane’s stats are ok with a point average of 6 but you’d want better for the opposition.  His shot volumes have dropped off in the last 3 games shown.

The Wolves defence looks the better of the 2 and looks to be one of the better defences in the league.  Arsenal conceded 5 goals in their 2 top 6 away games Wolves 2.  That’s overall though and some recent performances by Wolves haven’t been so good.

The FFGeek choice

I only have Kane so for me there’s no choice.  However if I did have both I would probably go Kane due to the polls.  However if I disregard the polls and do it purely on who I think will score the most points irrespective of risk, I’d probably edge it on Salah as he seems to be the more consistent performer and Arsenal have the worst of the 2 defences.

The transfer in and out polls

fantasy premier league captain tips GW20

fantasy premier league captain tips GW20

That’s it. Hope you found it helpful

See our article on the 10 top FPL managers I follow and our fixture ease article

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3 thoughts on “fantasy premier league captain tips GW20 – plus transfer poll results”

  1. Glad to be 1 against 10 this week after my worst week of the season last GW, Ialso had a feeling to put button before Alisson but couldn’t push the button… next GW he is in…

  2. Jesus. Yeah, let’s transfer in Son for 2 games after his streak is already 3 games in. When you’re that late to the party just start looking for a better differential.

    • Hi Ryan
      When you have 8.6 Mid with incredible form and 3 decent games coming, and you want to remove out form expensive city player and when this player was less than 15% owership, so I think this is a good move.
      This year it’s all about changing the “premiun” player in the right time, if you did Mane to Hazard to Sterling to Hazard again or maybe Son so you are deep in the top 10k…

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