fantasy premier league captain tips GW21 – plus transfer poll results

Here’s our fantasy premier league captain tips GW21 article where we look at ways of assessing the best captain pick for the gameweek. We look at the fixtures, the bookies odds, the FPL advice site polls, who the FFGeek contributors are captaining, some stats and the FFGeek choice. We also look at the results of the transfer in and out polls.

fantasy premier league captain tips GW21 – plus transfer poll results

The fixtures

The Bookies Team win odds

Chelsea v Southampton – £1.33 Hazard

Arsenal v Fulham £1.33 – Aubameyang, Lacazette

Newcastle v Man Utd  – £1.57  Pogba

Cardiff v Spurs  – £1.40 Kane, Son

The Bookies player odds

Here’s a bookies anytime goal scoring odds up to £2.40 for £1 invested as of Tuesday morning. It assumes the player starts and doesn’t count assist potential

£1.61 – Aubameyang

£1.67 – Kane

£1.73 – Lacazette

£1.80 – Hazard

£1.91 – Morata

£2.10 – Arnautovic

£2.15 – Aguero

£2.20 – Rashford, Lukaku

£2.40 – Salah

The FPL advice site Polls

Here’s the FFGeek captain poll. Thanks very much for taking the time to vote:

You can see the full FFGeek captain poll and transfer polls with this link

A full set of captain polls again!

Btw, the FFGeek poll and site 2 and 3 asks who will you captain. Site 1 asks for the best captain and site 4 is silent.

FFGeek Contributor captain picks

So 5 for Kane, 4 for Hazard and 2 for Aubameyang

Some stats

This week I’m looking at the poll leaders of Kane, Aubameyang and Hazard

Gametime

I think it’s difficult to make predictions on who will start.  I think Aubameyang is the most unpredictable to the manager.  It’s possible he could play LW is Emery decides to start Lacazette as well.

Pedro and Giroud are both injured so it’s difficult to see how he won’t start

Kane has played the last 4 pretty much all the minutes so I guess it’s possible he could be rested although it would be tempting fate after the loss to Wolves

Kane’s stats

Here’s Kanes starts in 18/19 against non top 6 sides away.

Returns in 5/8 games, 2 double figure scores and backed up by pretty good underlying stats although he’s not immune to the odd quiet game.

Overall points per 90 mins when on the pitch is 6.2 and he’s returned a goal or assist in 13 of his 19 starts which is 68%.

The Cardiff home defence against top 6 sides

Overall the Cardiff defence is 17th equal in goals conceded with 38 and also 18th in xG conceded.

At home they are ranked 19th equal with 20 goals conceded from 10 games and ranked 15th with xG conceded.

Defensively they are at full strength

Hazard

Here’s his starts against non top 6 sides at home:

So no returns in 3/5 games. Underlying stats are ordinary in 1 otherwise consistent.

Overall Hazards points per 90 mins when on the pitch is 8.2 and he’s returned a goal or assist in 10 of his 16 starts which is 63%.

The Southampton away defence against top 6 sides

Overall the Southampton defence is 19th equal in goals conceded with 38. They are also 15th in xG conceded.

Away they are ranked 16th with 21 goals conceded from 10 games and ranked 12th in xG conceded.

Injuries and suspensions are an issue with Bertrand injured and CDM Hojbjerg suspended

Aubameyang

Here’s Aubameyangs stats against non top 6 opposition at home:

So no returns in 4/7 games. Underlying stats are reasonably consistent.

The Fulham defence away against top 6 sides

The 3 players lined up as a comparison

Here I’ve just taken the averages and lined them up so it’s easier to compare. I’ve then marked in green who has the best stat of the 2.

Summary

Gametime wise I would be surprised if any don’t start even with the time of year.  The manager is quite unpredictable for Aubameyang.  Injuries should mean Hazard starts and you’d think Kane will start to help bounce back after the Wolves loss.

All 3 should have pens.

The bookies odds for anytime goal scoring see them all pretty close

The polls are for Kane are very even

The FFGeek contributors are pretty evenly split between Kane and Hazard

The stats probably favour Kane and then Hazard.  Defence wise Southampton and Cardiff seem fairly similar.  Fulham have the worse record and the question is how much they’ve improved under Ranieri.

The FFGeek choice

I have all 3 of the above.  I’m going to change for Hazard as I think the fatigue stuff talked about by Pochettinho vs Wolves has put me off Kane.   If I didn’t say that though I would probably have gone for Kane.

The transfer in and out polls

That’s it. Hope you found it helpful

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