fantasy premier league captain tips GW22 – plus transfer poll results


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Here’s our fantasy premier league captain tips GW22 article where we look at ways of assessing the best captain pick for the gameweek. We look at the fixtures, the bookies odds, the FPL advice site polls, who the FFGeek contributors are captaining, some stats and the FFGeek choice. We also look at the results of the transfer in and out polls.

fantasy premier league captain tips GW22 – plus transfer poll results




The fixtures

fantasy premier league captain tips GW22

The Bookies Team win odds

Chelsea v Newcastle – £1.20 Hazard

Man City –  £1.17 – Auguero, Sterling

Brighton v Liverpool – £1.28

The Bookies player odds

Here’s a bookies anytime goal scoring odds up to £2.37 for £1 invested as of Friday morning. It assumes the player starts and doesn’t count assist potential

£1.73 – Aguero

£1.80 – Salah, Hazard

£1.85 – Aubameyang, Vardy

£1.91 – Richarlison,

£1.95 – Kane

£2.00 – Sane, Sterling

£2.05 – Giroud

£2.20 – Firmino, Pedro

£2.25 – Son

£2.30 – Arnautovic, Lacazette, Sigurdsson

£2.37 – Mane, Mitrovic

The FPL advice site Polls

Here’s the FFGeek captain poll. Thanks very much for taking the time to vote:

fantasy premier league captain tips GW22

You can see the full FFGeek captain poll and transfer polls with this link

A full set of captain polls again

Btw, the FFGeek poll and site 2 and 3 asks who will you captain. Site 1 asks for the best captain and site 4 is silent.

Site 1% FFGeek% Site 2% Site 3% Site 4%
Salah 39 49 53 51 36
Hazard 23 27 30 26 26
Aubameyang 12 9 12 12 7
Aguero 6 6 n/a n/a 16

FFGeek Contributor captain picks

Only 1 contributor article done so far so here’s the table as it is

Contributor Captain
Joseph Crilley Aubameyang
Rob Reid Aubameyang
Alex Ball Aubameyang
Keith Spencer Hazard
Scott Hargadon Salah
FPL Word Aubameyang
Mikael D Salah
Jordan Sadler Salah
Costas Chari Aguero
Sergio Torija Hazard
Yaniv Salomon Salah
Mikael H
Stephen Troop
Andrew Ferguson Hazard
Robert Cosgrove Salah
Prakhar Patel Hazard

5 for Aubameyang and 5 for Salah and 4 for Hazard.  It couldn’t be much closer.

Some stats

This week I’m looking at the poll leaders of Salah, Aubameyang and Hazard

Gametime

Difficult to see any of the 3 not starting this week.

Salah’s stats

Here’s Salah’s starts in 18/19 against non top 6 sides away.

fantasy premier league captain tips GW22

Returns in 5/6 games, 2 double figure scores and backed up by very good underlying stats.

Overall points per 90 mins when on the pitch is 7.7 and he’s returned a goal or assist in 12 of his 20 starts which is 60%.

The Brighton home defence against top 6 sides

fantasy premier league captain tips GW22

Overall the Cardiff defence is 8th equal in goals conceded with 29 and also 12th in xG conceded.

At home they are ranked 8th equal with 18 goals conceded from 10 games and ranked 9th with xG conceded.

Defensively they have GK Ryan at the Asian Cup but otherwise pretty much at full strength

Hazard

Here’s his starts against non top 6 sides at home:

fantasy premier league captain tips GW22

So no returns in 3/6 games. Underlying stats are ok.  He will generally turn up as a goal threat or assister.

Overall Hazards points per 90 mins when on the pitch is 7.9 and he’s returned a goal or assist in 10 of his 17 starts which is 58%.

The Newcastle away defence against top 6 sides

fantasy premier league captain tips GW22

Overall the Newcastle defence is 8th equal in goals conceded with 29. They are 17th in xG conceded.

Away they are ranked 6th with 12 goals conceded from 10 games and ranked 11th in xG conceded.

Aubameyang

Here’s Aubameyangs stats against non top 6 opposition away:

fantasy premier league captain tips GW21

So no returns in 6/7 games. Underlying stats are mixed but as a CF they are fantastic.

Overall Aubameyang’s points per 90 mins when on the pitch is 7.2 and he’s returned a goal or assist in 10 of his 19 starts which is 53%.

The West Ham defence away against top 6 sides

fantasy premier league captain tips GW22

The 3 players lined up as a comparison

Here I’ve just taken the averages and lined them up so it’s easier to compare. I’ve then marked in green who has the best stat of the 2.

fantasy premier league captain tips GW22

The 3 defences lined up in comparison

fantasy premier league captain tips GW22

Summary





Gametime wise I would be surprised if any didn’t start.  I would also expect Aubameyang to start as a CF rather than LW as that’s what he’s played in the last 4 away games.

Aubameyang and Hazard will have pens.  Salah is 2nd to Milner.  Milner played 90 minutes v Wolves so I guess there is some doubt about him playing.

The bookies odds for anytime goal scoring see them all pretty close with them all 5 pence from each other.

The polls are averaged Salah at 45%, Hazard 26% and Aubameyang 10%

The FFGeek contributors  are 5 for Aubameyang and 5 for Salah and 4 for Hazard.  It couldn’t be much closer.

Both Aubameyang and Salah’s recent stats as CFs are very strong.  To make matters trickier Newcastle though seem to be the worst defence facing top 6 sides although to be fair they are the only one to have faced both Man City and Liverpool. Brighton who have the best defensive stats have faced neither at home.

What is interesting for non Salah owners is that Hazard and Aubameyang are the players with the most bonus points in FPL.  Glenn Murray and Danny Ings have more bonus points than Salah and he has under half what Hazard and Aubameyang have.  He has never got a bonus point unless he’s had 2 returns.

The FFGeek choice

Personally I think you can make a case for any of the 3 if you wish to do so.  However for me on the basis of ownership and the polls I’m going for Salah.  That’s the easy part.  The hard part I’ve still yet to decide on and that’s how I get him in.

The transfer in and out polls

fantasy premier league captain tips GW22

fantasy premier league captain tips GW22

That’s it. Hope you found it helpful

See also our bandwagons and sinking ships to see the most popular players analysed.  There’s all the underlying stats here

Plus last season 715 OR finisher Andrew Ferguson’s team and our fixture ease article for players with good fixtures

And Paul Williams for differential midfielders

Follow FFGeek on twitter and facebook and instagram for article updates and news

Geek League links and details

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League PIN is SGDKX9Y3

4 thoughts on “fantasy premier league captain tips GW22 – plus transfer poll results”

  1. Im going with Hazard captain and get Salah in my team next GW. Judging by my luck lately I guess this is the GW where my OR will be annihilated to oblivion

  2. Hazard came in for special treatment last time Newcastle played Chelsea, they seemed to be intent on making rash tackles on Hazard to disturb Chelsea’s flow, it worked for most of the game….he got a penalty eventually..Rafa is a master tactician and I expect much of the same, that said Newcastle have alot of Injuries and missing key players, as a NUFC fan I won’t be (C) Hazard… I’m going for Auba instead… don’t own Salah and am not prepared do -4 to get him this week. Definately a tough (C) choice this week.

    • Hi mate. Thanks for the comments. I could definitely see arguments for not selling Auba, captaining him, selling Salah etc . Unfortunately sometimes it doesn’t matter how much analysis you do you never find the perfect answer you just have to make a call. Time will tell whether it’s right or not. Good luck this week

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