fantasy premier league captain tips GW23 – plus transfer poll results

Here’s our fantasy premier league captain tips GW23 article where we look at ways of assessing the best captain pick for the gameweek. We look at the fixtures, the bookies odds, the FPL advice site polls, who the FFGeek contributors are captaining, some stats and the FFGeek choice. We also look at the results of the transfer in and out polls plus who are yu replacing Kane and Alexander Arnold polls.

fantasy premier league captain tips GW23 – plus transfer poll results

The fixtures

The Bookies Team win odds

Huddersfield v Man City – £1.14 – ?

Liverpool v C Palace – £1.17 – Salah, Mane, Firmino

Man Utd v Brighton – Pogba Rashford

The Bookies player odds

Here’s a bookies anytime goal scoring odds up to £2.30 for £1 invested as of Friday morning. It assumes the player starts and doesn’t count assist potential

£1.65 – Salah

£1.80 – Aguero

£1.91 – Jesus, Sterling

£1.95 – Wilson

£2.00 – Rashford, Rondon

£2.05 – Mane, Martial

£2.10 – Ings, Sane, Llorente

£2.20 – Pogba

£2.25 – Firmino, Aubameyang, Mahrez

£2.30 – Hazard

The FPL advice site Polls

Here’s the FFGeek captain poll. Thanks very much for taking the time to vote:

You can see the full FFGeek captain poll and transfer polls with this link

A full set of captain polls again

Btw, the FFGeek poll and site 2 and 3 asks who will you captain. Site 1 asks for the best captain and site 4 is silent.

FFGeek Contributor captain picks

Only 1 contributor article done so far so here’s the table as it is

Some stats

So normally here I would pick 2 or 3 players to analyse as a captain option.  However,  Salah is ahead in  the bookies odds, leads the polls by 70% to single figures and so far is the captain of the 5 contributors in the first article. It all seems rather pointless me spending a couple of hours to the game by game analysis when only the most thrill seeking of FPL managers would go away from Salah

There’s also the question of the players beneath Salah in the polls.  Who knows whether Aguero will start and there is a only a few games data on Rashford and Pogba post Mourinho.

So what I’m going to do is give some basic overall stats on Salah, Pogba and Rashford and the 2 defences to at least give you something to go on.  Aguero with the bench risk is an option I won’t be assessing even at this level.

Overall stats home and away

So you can see that Salah is pretty much ahead in every category.

PP90 is FPL points per 90 minutes played.  Consistency is the amount of games started where a goal or assist is returned.  SH90 is Shots per 90.  KP 90 is key passes per 90 .  ATGS is anytime goalscorer odds

The 2 away defences

So on underlying stats you would say Palace are the better defence but in actual goals conceded and the ability not to concede 3 or more then Brighton seem to be ahead.

GA is goals against.  xGA is expected goals against. ShPG is shots conceded per game.  3+ losses is times lost by 3 goals or more.  CS’s is clean sheets CS odds is clean sheet odds.

Summary

Gametime wise I would be surprised if any of Salah, Rashford and Pogba didn’t start. Anything could happen with regard to Aguero and Jesus and I’ve removed him from consideration for that reason.   Rashford due to the potential replacements (especially Lukaku) I would say is the one most likely to suffer reduced minutes

Pogba should have pen duties.  Salah will if Milner is off the pitch.  Milner has started 2 of the last 6 and came on as sub in 1 of the 6.

The bookies odds for anytime goal scoring see Salah well ahead Rashford and Pogba

The polls are averaged with Salah close to 70% and the rest in single figures.  All 5 of the FFGeek contributors so far have gone with Salah.

Salah has the best stats of the 3 although that is on an overall basis.  Palace are the best away  defence on underlying numbers but Brighton have been able to keep the score to 2 goals or less more consistently and have only conceded 1 goal more away in total

The FFGeek choice

I’ll be going for Salah without question.

The transfer in and out polls and the Kane and TAA replacement polls

That’s it. Hope you found it helpful

You can also see Keith Spencers transfers for the injured Kane and Alexander Arnold plus Costas’ wildcard drafts as well as Rob Reids wildcard drafts

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