fantasy premier league captain tips GW31 – plus transfer poll results


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Here’s our fantasy premier league captain tips GW31 article where we look at ways of assessing the best captain pick for the gameweek. We look at the fixtures, the bookies odds, the FPL advice site polls, who the FFGeek contributors are captaining, some stats and the FFGeek choice. We also look at the results of the transfer in and out polls plus polls for how many hits are you taking this week and how many active players will you have

fantasy premier league captain tips GW31 – plus transfer poll results

The fixtures

fantasy premier league captain tips GW31

The Bookies Team win odds

Fulham v Liverpool £1.24 – Salah, Mane, Firmino

West Ham v Huddersfield – £1.55 – Anderson, Arnautovic

The Bookies player odds

Here’s a bookies anytime goal scoring odds up to £2.40 for £1 invested as of Friday afternoon. It assumes the player starts and doesn’t count assist potential



£1.75 – Salah, Mane

£1.95 – Arnautovic

£2.05 – Vardy, Firmino

£2.10 – Chicharito, Wilson, Hazard, Higuain

£2.15 – Ashley Barnes

£2.30 – Anderson, Rondon

The FPL advice site Polls

Here’s the FFGeek captain poll. Thanks very much for taking the time to vote:

fantasy premier league captain tips GW31

 

Site 1 %FFGeek %Site 2%Site 3 %Site 4%
Salah4658547038
Mane2635411941
Wilson51n/a46
Vardy42n/a75

Btw, the FFGeek poll and site 2 and 3 asks who will you captain. Site 1 asks for the best captain and site 4 is silent.  The FFGeek poll went up after the UCL match.  Site 1 and site 3 before.  I’m not sure when 4 went up.

FFGeek contributor captain picks

Here’s the link to the FFGeek contributors teams article 1

ContributorCaptain
Joseph CrilleySalah
Rob ReidSalah
Alex BallMane
Keith SpencerSalah
FPL WordSalah
Mikael DMane
Jordan SadlerMane
Costas ChariSalah
Sergio TorijaSalah
Yaniv SalomonSalah
Mikael HSalah
Stephen Troop
Andrew FergusonSalah
Robert CosgroveSalah
Prakhar PatelSalah

So 11 for Salah (79%) and 3 for Mane (21%)

Some stats

So I’m going to look at Salah and Mane’s stats

Gametime

With an International break after GW31 and no FA Cup commitments I would be surprised if either were rested

Salah

Here’s Salah’s stats away against non top 6 sides

fantasy premier league captain tips GW31

So returns in 6 of 9 games and overall numbers look very good.  The last 2 games were blanks though which is the concern.

In my my last 10 gameweek form tables Salah is 4th for midfielders on projected FPL points for xG/xA.  Mane is 5th.

Mane

Here’s Mane’s starts against non top 6 sides away

fantasy premier league captain tips GW31

So returns in 4 of 7 games . Only 1 return in the last 4 though

In my recent last 10 gameweek form tables Mane is 5th for midfielders on projected FPL points for xG/xA.  Salah is 4th

The Fulham home defence against top 6 sides

fantasy premier league captain tips GW31

So while the average of 3 goals conceded per game is bad the xG conceded and the shots are not too bad.  Having a poor GK doesn’t help though.

In my recent last 10 gameweek form tables they are 20th on xG conceded.

So overall the Fulham defence has conceded 68 goals from 30 games and is ranked 20th on that basis. In xG conceded overall they are ranked 20th.

At home they have conceded 28 from 14 games and are 19th ranked on that basis. On xG conceded at home they are 15th but concede way more goals than they should for the xG against them..

Comparison tables

Here we put the 2 captain candidates averages together

fantasy premier league captain tips GW31

So Salah leading in every category except average minutes.



Summary

Gametime wise I would be surprised if either Salah or Mane didn’t start.

Salah has pens when Milner is off the pitch

The bookies odds are the same for Salah and Mane at £1.75 ATGS

The polls have Salah and Mane way above anyone else.  The average is around 50% Salah and 30% Mane

As for the contributors picks 11 are for Salah (79%) and 3 for Mane (21%)

The stats favour Salah comprehensively over Mane in terms of non top 6 opposition away.  Both have recently seen a drop off though.  Form home and away over the last 10 sees them pretty neck and neck in terms of underlying stats.  However Mane has 8 goals in his last 8 gameweeks.  Salah has 3.

The FFGeek choice

For me the polls and the stats mean I will be going with Salah.

The transfer in and out polls.  The hits polls and the active GW31 players poll

See the full polls in the captain poll article

fantasy premier league captain tips GW31

fantasy premier league captain tips GW31

fantasy premier league captain tips GW31

fantasy premier league captain tips GW31

Thanks again for voting

See who the FFGeek contributors are transferring in

See also current 4k OR Jordan Sadler’s free hit team and Rob Reids free hit teams article

There’s our FPL form article and  our best underlying stats from GW30 only

See also our 10 top FPL managers article and the early FFGeek team articles and last season’s 715 OR finisher Andrew Ferguson’s team

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