fantasy premier league captain tips GW6 – plus transfer poll results


,

Here’s our fantasy premier league captain tips GW6 article where we look at ways of assessing the best captain pick for the gameweek. We look at the fixtures, the bookies odds, the FPL advice site polls, who the FFGeek contributors are captaining, some stats and the FFGeek choice. We also look at the results of the transfer in and out polls.

fantasy premier league captain tips GW6 – plus transfer poll results

Just a note to say this article was written late Thursday/Early Friday before any pre PL Chelsea, Liverpool and Man City press conferences.

The fixtures

fantasy premier league captain tips GW6

The Bookies Team win odds

Only 2 teams are heavy favourites this week:

Liverpool v Southampton £1.18 – Salah

Cardiff v Man City £1.15 – Aguero

And some also decent favourites

Arsenal v Everton £1.47 Lacazette, Aubameyang

West Ham v Chelsea £1.57 Hazard

Man Utd v Wolves £1.60 Lukaku

Leicester v Huddersfield £1.60 Vardy

The Bookies player odds

Here’s a bookies anytime goal scoring odds up to £2.20 for £1 invested as of Thursday evening  It assumes the player starts and doesn’t count assist potential




£1.50 – Salah

£1.57 – Aguero

£1.73 – Aubameyang

£1.75 – Jesus, Kane

£1.83 – Sterling

£1.85 – Lacazette

£1.95 – Hazard

£2.05 – Vardy

£2.10 – Lukaku, Firmino, Mane, Morata, Giroud

£2.20 – Mitrovic, Sane, Mahrez

The FPL advice site Polls

Here’s the FFGeek captain poll:

 fantasy premier league captain tips GW6

You can see the full FFGeek captain poll with this link

The FFGeek poll asks who will you captain as does site 2 although just gives you a couple of options. Site 1 asks for the best captain and site 3 is silent on the question.

Site 1%FFGeek%Site 2%Site 3%
Salah31423121
Hazard22192623
Aguero18253626
Mane99n/a10

The FFGeek contributors

Here’s the FFGeek contributors captain picks as it stands. Not many have surfaced with their teams as yet. I’ll fill the rest in once I’ve done the last contributors article

ContributorCaptain
Joseph CrilleySalah
Rob ReidSalah
Alex BallSalah
Keith SpencerAguero
Scott HargadonAguero
FPL WordSalah
Mikael DSalah
Jordan SadlerSalah
Costas ChariAubameyang
Sergio TorijaSalah
Yaniv SalomonSalah
Mikael H
Stephen Troop
Andrew FergusonSalah
Robert CosgroveHazard
Prakhar PatelAguero

Some stats

This week I’m looking at 3 in Salah, Hazard and Aguero

Salah

Here’s Salah in 17/18 against non top 6 sides at home.

fantasy premier league captain tips GW6

Returns in 11/14 games (79%)

Here’s Salah in the 2 games at home v non top 6 opposition:

fantasy premier league captain tips GW6

A great record last season and a goal in each game in 18/19 but bonus is a problem

Southampton defence in 17/18 against top 6 away

GwkOpponentScore
12Liverpool3:0
14Man City2:1
18Chelsea1:0
20Spurs5:2
21Man Utd0:0
33Arsenal3:2

They have to play away against a top 6 team this season

In 17/18 they averaged 2.3 goals away conceded.  Some of those games were with Pellegrino in charge who is more defensively minded than Hughes is.  An ok overall record so far this season against only non top 6 sides.  They are 11th in the table for xG conceded home and away.

Hazard

Here’s Hazard in 17/18 against non top 6 sides away. These stats are of limited use given the change of manager, especially as Sarri is a more attacking manager than Conte was

fantasy premier league captain tips GW6

So he returned a goal or assist against 6 of the 11 teams played (55%). A pretty ordinary record.

In 18/19 he’s started just the 1 game away against non top 6 opposition v Newcastle.  He scored and took the 1 bonus point for 8 points.

West Ham defence at home against top 6 sides in 17/18

GwkOpponentScore
6Spurs2:3
11Liverpool1:4
16Chelsea1:0
17Arsenal0:0
36Man City1:4
31Man Utd0:0

So 11 goals conceded but also 3 clean sheets.  Different manager different personnel in defence makes it hard to make a comparison though.

In 18/19 they have yet to play a top 6 side at home although have conceded 4 goals against Liverpool and 3 against Arsenal away.  Overall so far this season they are 18th on xG conceded overall home and away but with a tough schedule.

What we do know is that overall they have conceded 11 goals in the first 5 games in some pretty shambolic performances.  There will be a local derby factor with the crowd which may translate to extra effort from the players

Aguero

Here’s Aguero away in 17/18 against non top 6 sides:

fantasy premier league captain tips GW6

So he returned in 4/7 (57%) games away against the non top 6 sides

Only the 1 game away against a non top 6 side.  That was against Wolves this season where he blanked.  His xG and xA were ordinary on the day although he did take 4 shots and 3 key passes so volume wise it was good.

Cardiff defence at home against top 6

Cardiff were in the Championship last season so no stats for them from last year

So far in 18/19 they have played Arsenal at home and lost 3-2 on an xG of 1.32 which isn’t too bad.  The loss to Chelsea was away at 4-1 but again the xG excluding the pen was around 1.8.

Summary





Gametime wise Aguero is fit and after only being a sub on Wednesday you’d expect him to play.  Hazard was rested for the Europa game so he looks certain to start.  Salah I guess could be rested given he played against PSG but there are only EFL cup games midweek and I expect him to be rested for that.

The bookies have Salah at £1.50 Aguero at £1.57 this week and Hazard £1.95

The polls are a bit mixed and not easily summarised. Poll 1 started on Wednesday early before we knew Aguero was on the bench and may have under represented him.  Overall I would say Salah has the edge.

It’s an early captain article so I only have 3 contributors teams at the moment.  All of them have gone for Salah

Salah’s stats from last season at home v non top 6 sides were fantastic.  He’s started with a 100% record in those games too but without a bonus point which is the worry.

Aguero’s record wasn’t that great last season and this season only 1 game which was a blank against a tricky side in Wolves.

Hazard last season was also pretty ordinary but that was Conte this is Sarri who is far more attacking and wants Hazard to attack more. Hazard has also been rested midweek,  In the only game v a non top 6 side away in 18/19 against Newcastle he scored although generated little apart from shots outside the box.

As far as the defences are concerned, It’s hard to take much from last season.  Southampton and West Ham are different personnel and for the most part different managers.  Cardiff were in the Championship.

Looking at the limited data this season, West Ham have been terrible although they’ve had a couple of tricky games conceding 7 goals against top 6 sides albeit away.  Cardiff also have conceded 7 goals against top 6 sides 1 away and 1 at home.  Southampton have performed best as a defence but have had the easier schedule.

The FFGeek choice

I’m probably going to go for Salah. His poll leadership and ownership is still a factor if diminished from earlier in the season.  He probably edges it on stats although that is mitigated by the Southampton defence although Mark Hughes isn’t a defensively minded manager.

Hazard is difficult to predict due to the new manager factor.  Aguero against a relegation bookies favourite side is always going to be a good pick even if he is better at home rather than away.

The transfer in and out polls

 fantasy premier league captain tips GW6

 fantasy premier league captain tips GW6

That’s it hope you found it useful.

See also the FFGeek imaginary wildcard article Andrew Ferguson’s teams article,  Alex Ball’s wildcard,  bandwagons and sinking ships article, 10 top FPL managers article,  underlying stats GW5 article, the early thoughts on the FFGeek team article and the fixture ease article

Also our player rankings articles for midfielder rankings and defender/GK rankings

Follow us on twitter and facebook for article updates and news

Geek League links and details

fantasy premier league 

Sky Sports fantasy football

Enter PIN: 8367679

Sun Dream Team

League PIN is SGDKX9Y3

Telegraph free to enter £100 prize League PIN 8000919 Passcode 0417
Telegraph £2 cash league League PIN 8161359 Passcode 0050

2 thoughts on “fantasy premier league captain tips GW6 – plus transfer poll results”

  1. Salah at home against a side like Southampton is always a good pick and he scored twice in this fixture last season, but I have a feeling Aguero will find the net against a hapless Cardiff this weekend. He has only scored in one game this season, albeit a hattrick, and will be hungry. So it’s Aguero for me.

    • Totally agree. Salah might get just usual 8 opints which is a goal and 1p for CS. If Aguero scores he will get 6-9 opints. Which is the same as Salah’s 8p. But Aguero can score 2-3 goals here. So, I think potentioally Aguero would be a better choice here. Don’t forget that cap voting started when everybody thought that Aguero was injured.

Comments are closed.