Here’s my look at all the fantasy premier league gameweek GW5 matches to see where the potential clean sheets are
I’ve gone through all the games and given a basic stats analysis and then a verdict on whether I think there will be a clean sheet. If you cant be bothered with all that there’s a summary at the end of what I think will be the clean sheets and the ranking of their likelihood. I’ve also added the William Hill odds of a clean sheet and ranked all of them under£3.00 for a clean sheet in order as a comparison and a sense check.
Norwich v Aston villa
Norwich clean sheet:
Norwich defence: 5 goals conceded in first 4 games and 1 clean sheet. Underlying stats are poor ranked bottom third. Last year 8 clean sheets at home but defence hasnt been as strong although back to the obstructive best home to Southampton in GW3
Aston Villa attack: 5 goals in 4 games but bottom 3rd ranked underlying stats. Better on the break than in a structured attack.
Aston Villa clean sheet:
Aston Villa defence: 6 goals conceded in their first 4 games and no clean sheet. Middle ranked underlying defensive stats. Were very impressive away from home against tough opposition but were poor at home to Newcastle
Norwich attack: 3 goals in 4 games and underlying stats in the bottom 3.
Verdict: no clean sheet
Villa will definitely score and I think Norwich will start to improve their new expensively build attack
William Hill clean sheet Verdict: Norwich £3.00 Villa £3.60
Liverpool v Southampton
Liverpool clean sheet:
Liverpool defence: 2 goals conceded in first 4 games and 3 clean sheets. Underlying stats though are only top 3rd and reshuffling with new players and injuries may disrupt
Southampton attack: 2 goal in 4 games (one a pen and another from a defender at a set piece) Underlying stats are mid table though and the goals will come. Integrating Osvaldo into the team and the partnership with Lambert is obviously causing some issues.
Southampton clean sheet:
Southampton defence: 2 goals conceded in their first 2 and 2 clean sheets. Underlying stats excellent and the best outside the elite teams
Liverpool attack: 5 goals in 4 games and at the top of the underlying stats with the top 4 attacking teams. Coutinho injured loses some creativity
Verdict: Liverpool clean sheet
Liverpool will be strong enough in defence to hold off the newly formed Saints attack. Despite my admiration for the Saints attack, I think its inevitable Liverpool will score even without Coutinho
William Hill clean sheet verdict: Liverpool £2.30 Southampton £5.50
Newcastle v Hull City
Newcastle clean sheet:
Newcastle defence: 5 goals conceded in first 2 games but 2 clean sheets. Underlying stats though are bottom quarter. Somehow they’ve kept 2 clean sheets at home albeit against West ham and an awful Fulham
Hull attack: 2 goals in 4 games and close to the worst underlying stats. Misfiring strikers when they do get chances
Hull clean sheet:
Hull defence: 5 goals conceded in their first 4 games and 1 clean sheets although have played away to Chelsea and City. Underlying stats are mid table. I believe Bruce will get clean sheets but they will probably be at home against the poorer sides
Newcastle attack: 3 goals in 4 games and mid table underlying stats.
Verdict: Newcastle clean sheet
I think Newcastle will scrape a win
William Hill clean sheet verdict: Newcastle £2.25 Hull £4.20
WBA v Sunderland
WBA clean sheet:
WBA defence: 4 goals conceded in first 4 games and 1 clean sheet. Underlying stats are bottom third.
Sunderland attack: 3 goals in 4 games and mid table ranked underlying stats. Haven’t created many clear cut chances though. Fletcher coming back will help if they can get the service to him.
Sunderland clean sheet:
Sunderland defence: 8 goals conceded in their first 4 games and 1 clean sheet. Underlying stats though are bottom quarter of the table. Have a real problem at set pieces
WBA attack: 1 goals in 4 games (from s defender at a set piece) and underlying stats are bottom quarter
Verdict: no clean sheets
I think both teams will score. I really can’t see the Sunderland defence keeping a clean sheet and i think Sunderland will have enough with Fletcher in the team to get a goal
William Hill verdict: WBA £2.50 Sunderland £3.75
West Ham v Everton
West Ham clean sheet:
West Ham defence: 1 goals conceded in first 4 games and 3 clean sheet. Underlying stats aren’t quite as good though and they’re upper middle table. People don’t get many clear cut chances though
Everton attack: 3 goals in 4 games but the best underlying stats of any team. Lukaku joining will convert the shots to goals
Everton clean sheet:
Everton defence: 2 goals conceded in their first 4 games and 3 clean sheets. Haven’t conceded since the opening game. Underlying stats are near the top but were damaged by the siege of Chelsea.
West Ham attack: 2 goals in 4 games and underlying stats are near the bottom which considering the relatively kind start they’ve had is poor. No Carroll is a big blow as Maiga just isn’t up to it for me.
Verdict: Everton clean sheet
I am confident despite west hams good clean sheet record that Everton will score. I don’t think West Ham with an attack built round the absent Carroll and led by Maiga will
William Hill clean sheet verdict: West Ham £3.30 Everton £2.75
Chelsea v Fulham
Chelsea clean sheet:
Chelsea defence: 2 goals conceded in first 4 games and 2 clean sheets. Underlying stats are near the top. Will be one of the best defences in the league
Fulham attack: 3 goals in 3 games and worst underlying stats of any team. Berbatov is doubtful to make it better for Chelseas chances
Fulham clean sheet:
Fulham defence: 5 goals in 4 games and 1 clean sheet. Only Swansea have worse underlying stats and at least they can say they’ve played Utd Liverpool and Spurs. Fulham have no such excuse
Chelsea attack: 4 goals in 4 games but near the top of the underlying stats. Need some knitting together but will come right
Verdict: Chelsea clean sheet
Cant see anything else in this game
William Hill clean sheet Verdict: Chelsea £1.80 Fulham £7.50
Arsenal v Stoke
Arsenal clean sheet:
Arsenal defence: 5 goals conceded in first 4 games and only 1 clean sheets. 3 of the goals were in the opening day disaster against Villa. Underlying stats are good just at the back of the tp 4 challenging teams. They are looking strong
Stoke attack: 3 goals in 4 games and bottom 3rd underlying stats.
Stoke clean sheet:
Stoke defence: 2 goals conceded in their first 4 games and 2 clean sheet. Underlying stats are bottom 3rd and Liverpool could have scored anything against them at Anfield
Arsenal attack: 8 goals in 4 games. Only City has scored as many goals. Underlying stats are good. Only City’s and Evertons are better. Have the class of Ozil to open up teams at home which was an issue at times
Verdict: Arsenal clean sheet
Despite the Arsenal defence not being at its best I think they will hold stoke. Flamini has helped. An Ozil inspired attack will have too much creativity for Stoke
William Hill clean sheet verdict: Arsenal £1.80 Stoke £7.00
Crystal Palace v Swansea
Palace clean sheet:
Palace defence: 6 goals conceded in first 4 games and 0 clean sheets. Only Swansea have conceded more goals. Underlying stats are very poor and ranked near the bottom of the able.
Swansea attack: 5 goals in 4 games and mid table underlying stats. They have played Man Utd, Spurs and Liverpool though
Swansea clean sheet:
Swansea defence: 7 goals conceded in their first 4 games and 1 clean sheet. Underlying stats are worst in the league. Again they have played Man Utd, Spurs and Liverpool though
Palace attack: 4 goals in 4 games. 3 against Sunderland Underlying stats are among the worst in the league.
Verdict: no clean sheet
There’s no question in my mind that Swansea will score and I think the Swansea defence, although it performed well on occasions away from home last year, will concede 1.
William Hill clean verdict: Palace £3.50 Swansea £2.70
Cardiff v Spurs
Cardiff Clean sheet
Cardiff defence: 5 goals conceded in first 4 games and 1 clean sheet. Underlying stats are among the worst in the league
Spurs attack: 4 goals in 4 games. Underlying stats are at the bottom of the top 4 challenging teams at the top of the league. Eriksen will definitely assist creativity
Spurs clean sheet:
Spurs defence: 1 goal conceded in their first 4 games and 3 clean sheets. Underlying stats are the best in the league
Cardiff attack : 4 goals in 4 games. 3 against City. Underlying stats are the lowest in the league apart from Fulham.
Verdict: Spurs clean sheet
Spurs defence is performing wonders and should get a clean sheet
William Hill verdict: Cardiff £4.20 Spurs £2.50
Man City v Man Utd
Man City Clean sheet
Man City defence: 3 goals conceded in first 4 games and 3 clean sheets. Underlying stats are only bettered by Spurs. have looked shaky but have still produced the clean sheets and Kompanys return will help
Man Utd attack: 6 goals in 4 games and towards the lower of the top 4 challenging teams in underlying stats. Haven’t been as fluent as last year but Rooney behind RVP looks good for creativity
Man Utd clean sheet:
Man Utd defence: 2 goals conceded in their first 4 games and 2 clean sheets. Underlying stats are 3rd behind City and Spurs.
Man City attack : 8 goals in 4 games. Underlying stats are 2nd only to Everton.
Verdict: no clean sheets
Tricky one as depends how both managers play this. Personally, I think Pellegrini will attack and Utd will look to play on the break as opposed to the Mancini tactic which would have been caution. For this reason I think both teams will score
William Hill clean sheet verdict: City £3.00 Utd £4.20
Summary
Here’s my clean sheets and the order of likelihood:
Chelsea
Liverpool
Spurs
Arsenal
Newcastle
Everton
Here’s the William Hill odds under £3.00 to win
Chelsea – £1.80
Arsenal £1.80
Newcastle £2.25
Liverpool £2.30
Spurs £2.50
WBA – £2.50
Swansea – £2.70
So apart from ranking differences William Hill seem to have more faith than me in the ability of WBA and Swansea to get a clean sheet.
Ok thats it thanks and hope the above helps
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William Hill odds are as of Friday 20th morning when I did this post