fantasy premier league defender tips GW18 – player rankings for Defs and Gks


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Here’s our fantasy premier league defender tips GW18 article where we give our defender and GK player rankings for gameweek 18. There’s a comprehensive table of stats and player suggestions to help you make a transfer choice.

fantasy premier league defender tips GW18 – player rankings for Defs and Gks

There’s player transfer suggestions at the end if you want to skip all the stats preamble.

Stats definitions:

I’ve firstly ordered the teams by what I think is their defensive strength based their goals, clean sheets and xG/shots conceded. You can see team defence and player xG in our cumulative underlying stats article

The stats after that are their:

fixture ease ranking so you can see who has the best fixtures to the end of the season. The first figure is GW18-23, the 2nd GW18-20. See our fixture ease article
best cheap secure gametime option and an attacking option so you can compare price.
GK price in as a comparison.
bookies odds for a clean sheet for GW18. The lower the better obviously.

Prices are as of Tuesday 18 December

Gameweek 18 Fixtures

fantasy premier league defender tips GW18

The Schedule

If you want access to copy and paste the schedule here’s the google spreadsheet link which I’ve set out differently if you want to sort different columns



 fantasy premier league defender tips GW18

Some player transfer suggestions for GW18

Here were trying to find a good defensive team with a good transfer entry point and reasonable ongoing fixtures as the basis for suggestion.



Manchester City

Despite 1 clean sheet in their last 7 and none in the last 4 they have the best underlying defensive stats of any team even if Liverpool have the least goals conceded and clean sheets.  Home to Crystal Palace is a great transfer entry point and the fixtures coming are also good.

Laporte is the safest outfield gametime option.  However if you want to save some cash and take a risk you can go with £5.3m Delph who is the supposed Mendy replacement although Pep has rotated with Zinchenko.  The other option is Stones at £5.3m where you accept a greater risk of rotation for the money saved.

Crystal Palace (H)
Leicester (A)
Southampton (A)
Liverpool (H)
Wolves (H)
Huddersfield (A)

Liverpool

Robertson and Van Dijk are the risk free options.  As it stands Liverpool have conceded the least goals and have the most clean sheets in the PL.  It remains to be seen whether injuries to Gomez and Alexander Arnold weaken the defence but they do takeaway the 2 budget options.

With Matip and Gomez both injured for 4-5 weeks or so that opens the door for £4.9m Lovren to play a decent sequence of games.  The problem with the Alexander Arnold injury is that the time frame seems totally up in the air so it is a gamble to go for £4.5m replacement Clyne.

Wolves (A)
Newcastle (H)
Arsenal (H)
Man City (A)
Brighton (A)
Crystal Palace (H)

Chelsea

Chelsea are hands down the 3rd best defensive team and have a good run of games ahead.  The choice is easy.  The attacking potential of Alonso or the value of Luiz.  It’s not often there’s such a big gap for an attacking premium but Alonso is not any fullback.

Leicester (H)
Watford (A)
Crystal Palace (A)
Southampton (H)
Newcastle (H)
Arsenal (A)

Arsenal

Injury and suspensions may have been some excuse but it was another fairly pitiful defensive performance from Arsenal.

The only temptation maybe the next and upcoming  value of Lichsteiner at £4.5m if he is fit or pay a little more at £4.9m for Kolasinac if he’s fit.  Both represent a gamble in addition to fitness as the manager is extremely unpredictable with selections.

Leicester (H)
Watford (A)
Crystal Palace (A)
Southampton (H)
Newcastle (H)
Arsenal (A)

See also our fixture ease article as well as who the 10 top managers I follow have in their team

Also see who the popular defenders are for transfers in with our bandwagons and sinking ships article

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7 thoughts on “fantasy premier league defender tips GW18 – player rankings for Defs and Gks”

  1. I was going to go TAA to Clyne but theres not much clarity and the fixtures aren’t brilliant.

    I think I will go TAA to Digne next week, as Everton’s fixtures turn then.

  2. Geek,

    Could you give a bit of stats info please to help us decide between Alonso and Luiz?

    Like it seems Alonso hasn’t had many attacking returns recently. Do the stats show this is unlucky or have they dropped off a cliff, to use your terminology?

    thanks!

    • Hi mate

      Alonso’s xG90 and xA90 are 0.13 and 0.11 respectively which are pretty consistent with the last 2 seasons. Luiz’s are 0.08 and 0.05. If you extrapolate that to FPL attacking points pre bonus etc over a season you’d expect 18 points or so more from Alonso than Luiz for the current cost additional of £1.3m

      Alonso’s xG90 and xA90 are consistent with previous seasons where he got 6 and 7 goals respectively. To date he’s been unlucky with his conversion of underlying stats whereas the last 2 seasons he’s overperformed his XG.

      Given the amount of goals scored in previous seasons then you’d think that if he is a serial over performer and the last 2 years are evidence of that then there are another 5 or so goals to come from him given he’s only scored once so far this season.

      The cautionary tale is that in the last 10 games he’s only managed his average xG90 and xA90 3 times and 2 times respectively which is a bit worrying. That is a definite backward movement which you could argue is the new normal and his current stats are inflated by the early games when he was on fire.

      If it helps I personally plan to buy Alonso for the price difference. I think there’s more to come.

      Hope this helps and good luck whatever you do FFG

  3. From what I have been seeing of him lately, he is not hovering around the box like at the start of the season. Might still pop uo with the odd assist but I am downgrading to Luiz as soon as a suitable oppurtunity arises.

    Kane has been flagged as being ill today so that will have to be monitored until Friday.

  4. Think that was the best outcome form a Kane certainty point of view, coming on for the last 30 min when they were 1-0 up looks like he is fit and suitably rested for the weekend.

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