Here’s our look at some fantasy premier league expected goals totals to GW28. We look at team stats and individual players by position stats. There’s also an xG/xA team at the end as a summary. I’ve changed the format to concentrate on turning the stats into points for the different positions. There also a points per million factor added this week
FANTASY PREMIER LEAGUE EXPECTED GOALS – TOTALS TO GW28
There’s alot of stats to come so if you’d rather just see the outcome look at the expected goals/assists team at the end. You can also the expected goals tables for GW27 itself in Joseph Crilleys GW27 review
BACKGROUND
Expected goals is a stat where the probability is evaluated that any given shot will end up as a goal.
Expected goals are based on a number of factors, such as where the shot was taken from and where the opposition defenders are at the time. The shot assumes it is being taken by someone of average ability in the league. To state the obvious , a shot from inside the 6 yard box in front of goal with no defenders around will have a very high probability it will end up as a goal.
In essence it shows you what should have happened rather than what has happened.
The expected goals are now all wholly from the excellent free site understat.com
TEAM RANKINGS FOR DEFENCE AND ATTACK
Here I rank the teams overall for defence and attack and then home and away
TEAM DEFENCE
Ovr Rank | Team | xGA Home | xGA Away |
1 | Manchester City | 1 | 1 |
2 | Tottenham | 2 | 3 |
3 | Chelsea | 4 | 2 |
4 | Liverpool | 3 | 4 |
5 | Manchester United | 5 | 8 |
6 | Arsenal | 8 | 6 |
7 | WBA | 6 | 11 |
8 | Brighton | 12 | 9 |
9 | Leicester | 11 | 10 |
0 | Huddersfield | 14 | 7 |
11 | Southampton | 10 | 12 |
12 | Burnley | 13 | 14 |
13 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 16 |
14 | West Ham | 7 | 19 |
15 | Newcastle United | 15 | 15 |
16 | Watford | 20 | 5 |
17 | Swansea | 17 | 13 |
18 | Bournemouth | 16 | 20 |
19 | Everton | 18 | 17 |
20 | Stoke | 19 | 18 |
TEAM ATTACK
Ovr Rank | Team | xG Home | xG Away |
1 | Manchester City | 1 | 2 |
2 | Liverpool | 4 | 1 |
3 | Tottenham | 3 | 3 |
4 | Arsenal | 2 | 7 |
5 | Manchester United | 5 | 4 |
6 | Chelsea | 7 | 5 |
7 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 9 |
8 | Leicester | 10 | 8 |
9 | Watford | 12 | 6 |
0 | Southampton | 8 | 12 |
11 | Everton | 9 | 13 |
12 | Newcastle United | 13 | 11 |
13 | West Ham | 17 | 10 |
14 | Stoke | 11 | 14 |
15 | Bournemouth | 14 | 15 |
16 | WBA | 15 | 19 |
17 | Brighton | 16 | 18 |
18 | Huddersfield | 19 | 16 |
19 | Swansea | 18 | 20 |
20 | Burnley | 20 | 17 |
METHOD AND CAVEATS FOR PLAYER RANKINGS
This is just one part of ranking players it’s not the be all and end all. I do a player rankings series which uses more stats than just xG and xA
Here I have taken the Non penalty xG per 90 minutes (NPxG90) and the xA and converted them into goals and assist points and then total points as if they were playing over the whole season 90 minutes each game. I haven’t added on appearance points, adjusted for average minutes or bonus points or clean sheets for defenders. It’s purely just the goals and assist points. There was a minimum minutes played of 500 minutes. I’ve also added a points per million column.
Players don’t perform on a straight line with the stats. Some like Hazard and De Bruyne have shown they can over perform. Others like Tadic have a history of under performing. I have not tried to adjust for this. That’s more for the player rankings articles.
Don’t concentrate too much on the points. They are principally for ranking purposes. If you wonder why the random numbers of players it’s because I went down to a certain threshold and then it was whatever number of players ended up.
DEFENDERS ATTACK RANKING
Rank | Player | Club | Value £m | NPxG90 | xA90 | Proj Pts | Pts/£m |
1 | Sead Kolasinac | Arsenal | 5.8 | 0.10 | 0.21 | 47 | 8.1 |
2 | Victor Moses | Chelsea | 6.4 | 0.14 | 0.10 | 43 | 6.8 |
3 | Marcos Alonso | Chelsea | 7.2 | 0.13 | 0.09 | 40 | 5.5 |
4 | Mamadou Sakho | Crystal Palace | 4.7 | 0.15 | 0.03 | 38 | 8.0 |
5 | Virgil van Dijk | Liverpool | 5.5 | 0.08 | 0.16 | 36 | 6.6 |
6 | Miguel Britos | Watford | 4.3 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 35 | 8.2 |
7 | Scott Dann | Crystal Palace | 4.6 | 0.15 | 0.01 | 35 | 7.7 |
8 | James Milner | Liverpool | 6.0 | 0.08 | 0.15 | 35 | 5.9 |
9 | Ben Davies | Tottenham | 5.6 | 0.05 | 0.19 | 33 | 5.9 |
0 | Eric Bailly | Manchester United | 6.0 | 0.13 | 0.02 | 32 | 5.3 |
11 | Davide Zappacosta | Chelsea | 5.9 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 32 | 5.4 |
12 | Héctor Bellerín | Arsenal | 6.1 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 31 | 5.0 |
13 | Joel Matip | Liverpool | 5.4 | 0.12 | 0.03 | 31 | 5.7 |
14 | Ciaran Clark | Newcastle United | 4.4 | 0.11 | 0.05 | 31 | 7.0 |
15 | Patrick van Aanholt | Crystal Palace | 5.1 | 0.07 | 0.12 | 30 | 5.8 |
16 | Serge Aurier | Tottenham | 5.9 | 0.03 | 0.19 | 29 | 4.8 |
17 | Maya Yoshida | Southampton | 4.6 | 0.11 | 0.03 | 29 | 6.2 |
18 | Nicolás Otamendi | Manchester City | 6.4 | 0.11 | 0.02 | 27 | 4.3 |
19 | Wesley Hoedt | Southampton | 5.0 | 0.10 | 0.04 | 27 | 5.5 |
20 | Kieran Trippier | Tottenham | 5.2 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 27 | 5.3 |
21 | Kevin Long | Burnley | 4.1 | 0.04 | 0.16 | 27 | 6.7 |
22 | Alexander-Arnold | Liverpool | 4.2 | 0.04 | 0.16 | 27 | 6.5 |
23 | Laurent Koscielny | Arsenal | 6.0 | 0.10 | 0.02 | 25 | 4.2 |
24 | Daryl Janmaat | Watford | 4.8 | 0.09 | 0.04 | 25 | 5.2 |
25 | Dejan Lovren | Liverpool | 5.3 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 25 | 4.7 |
26 | Ryan Shawcross | Stoke | 4.8 | 0.10 | 0.01 | 24 | 5.0 |
27 | Jonny Evans | WBA | 4.9 | 0.08 | 0.05 | 24 | 4.9 |
28 | John Stones | Manchester City | 5.4 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 23 | 4.2 |
29 | Alfie Mawson | Swansea | 5.1 | 0.09 | 0.02 | 23 | 4.5 |
30 | José Holebas | Watford | 4.8 | 0.01 | 0.18 | 23 | 4.8 |
31 | César Azpilicueta | Chelsea | 7.0 | 0.03 | 0.14 | 23 | 3.3 |
32 | Andrew Robertson | Liverpool | 4.7 | 0.03 | 0.14 | 23 | 4.9 |
33 | Kyle Walker | Manchester City | 6.6 | 0.02 | 0.16 | 23 | 3.5 |
34 | Harry Maguire | Leicester | 5.5 | 0.04 | 0.12 | 23 | 4.1 |
35 | Ryan Bertrand | Southampton | 5.3 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 22 | 4.1 |
36 | Shane Duffy | Brighton | 4.6 | 0.07 | 0.03 | 19 | 4.2 |
37 | José Fonte | West Ham | 4.7 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 19 | 4.1 |
38 | Ahmed Hegazy | WBA | 4.7 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 19 | 4.1 |
39 | Jack Stephens | Southampton | 4.5 | 0.07 | 0.02 | 18 | 4.1 |
40 | Jeffrey Schlupp | Crystal Palace | 4.7 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 18 | 3.9 |
41 | David Luiz | Chelsea | 5.7 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 18 | 3.2 |
42 | Jamaal Lascelles | Newcastle United | 4.7 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 17 | 3.6 |
43 | Vincent Kompany | Manchester City | 5.8 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 17 | 2.9 |
44 | Aaron Cresswell | West Ham | 5.1 | 0.01 | 0.13 | 17 | 3.4 |
45 | James Collins | West Ham | 4.3 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 17 | 4.0 |
46 | Antonio Rüdiger | Chelsea | 5.9 | 0.06 | 0.02 | 16 | 2.7 |
47 | Wes Morgan | Leicester | 4.4 | 0.06 | 0.02 | 16 | 3.6 |
48 | Shkodran Mustafi | Arsenal | 5.4 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 16 | 3.0 |
49 | Sebastian Prödl | Watford | 4.3 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 15 | 3.4 |
50 | Ben Mee | Burnley | 4.9 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 15 | 3.0 |
51 | Danilo | Manchester City | 5.0 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 15 | 3.0 |
52 | Christopher Schindler | Huddersfield | 4.6 | 0.02 | 0.09 | 15 | 3.2 |
53 | Joseph Gomez | Liverpool | 4.7 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 15 | 3.2 |
54 | Mason Holgate | Everton | 4.2 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 15 | 3.5 |
55 | Paul Dummett | Newcastle United | 4.2 | 0.02 | 0.08 | 14 | 3.3 |
56 | Ben Chilwell | Leicester | 4.3 | 0.01 | 0.09 | 13 | 2.9 |
57 | Alberto Moreno | Liverpool | 4.4 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 13 | 2.9 |
58 | Charlie Daniels | Bournemouth | 4.7 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 13 | 2.7 |
59 | Adam Smith | Bournemouth | 4.8 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 13 | 2.6 |
60 | Cédric Soares | Southampton | 4.7 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 13 | 2.7 |
61 | Kiko Femenía | Watford | 4.3 | 0.01 | 0.08 | 11 | 2.7 |
62 | Cuco Martina | Everton | 4.4 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 9 | 2.1 |
63 | Chancel Mbemba | Newcastle United | 3.9 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 9 | 2.3 |
64 | Marvin Zeegelaar | Watford | 4.3 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 9 | 2.1 |
65 | DeAndre Yedlin | Newcastle United | 4.4 | 0.01 | 0.06 | 9 | 2.1 |
66 | Joel Ward | Crystal Palace | 4.7 | 0.01 | 0.06 | 9 | 1.9 |
67 | Stephen Ward | Burnley | 4.7 | 0.01 | 0.06 | 9 | 1.9 |
68 | Simon Francis | Bournemouth | 4.3 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 8 | 1.9 |
69 | Florent Hadergjonaj | Huddersfield | 4.5 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 7 | 1.5 |
70 | Erik Pieters | Stoke | 4.7 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 7 | 1.5 |
MIDFIELD ATTACK RANKING
Rank | Player | Club | Value £m | NPxG90 | xA90 | Proj Pts | Pts/£m |
1 | Mohamed Salah | Liverpool | 10.4 | 0.74 | 0.27 | 171 | 16.5 |
2 | Raheem Sterling | Manchester City | 9.0 | 0.57 | 0.31 | 144 | 16.0 |
3 | Alexis Sánchez | Manchester United | 11.8 | 0.44 | 0.29 | 117 | 9.9 |
4 | David Silva | Manchester City | 7.9 | 0.39 | 0.34 | 113 | 14.3 |
5 | Son Heung-Min | Tottenham | 8.1 | 0.40 | 0.31 | 111 | 13.7 |
6 | Anthony Martial | Manchester United | 8.0 | 0.37 | 0.32 | 107 | 13.3 |
7 | Aaron Ramsey | Arsenal | 7.0 | 0.40 | 0.26 | 106 | 15.1 |
8 | Jesse Lingard | Manchester United | 6.1 | 0.44 | 0.18 | 104 | 17.1 |
9 | Sadio Mané | Liverpool | 9.3 | 0.40 | 0.22 | 101 | 10.9 |
0 | Marko Arnautovic | West Ham | 6.8 | 0.41 | 0.18 | 98 | 14.5 |
11 | Leroy Sané | Manchester City | 8.3 | 0.27 | 0.40 | 97 | 11.7 |
12 | Dele Alli | Tottenham | 8.9 | 0.32 | 0.28 | 93 | 10.4 |
13 | Paul Pogba | Manchester United | 8.0 | 0.36 | 0.19 | 90 | 11.3 |
14 | Mesut Özil | Arsenal | 9.3 | 0.19 | 0.41 | 83 | 8.9 |
15 | Richarlison | Watford | 6.1 | 0.35 | 0.14 | 82 | 13.5 |
16 | Bernardo Silva | Manchester City | 7.4 | 0.27 | 0.26 | 81 | 10.9 |
17 | Christian Eriksen | Tottenham | 9.2 | 0.22 | 0.33 | 79 | 8.6 |
18 | Kevin De Bruyne | Manchester City | 10.3 | 0.18 | 0.39 | 79 | 7.6 |
19 | Eden Hazard | Chelsea | 10.7 | 0.27 | 0.24 | 79 | 7.4 |
20 | Willian | Chelsea | 6.8 | 0.21 | 0.32 | 76 | 11.2 |
21 | Alex Iwobi | Arsenal | 5.1 | 0.27 | 0.20 | 74 | 14.5 |
22 | Wilfried Zaha | Crystal Palace | 6.8 | 0.28 | 0.15 | 70 | 10.3 |
23 | Henrikh Mkhitaryan | Arsenal | 7.8 | 0.11 | 0.39 | 65 | 8.4 |
24 | Choupo-Moting | Stoke | 5.4 | 0.25 | 0.14 | 63 | 11.8 |
25 | Riyad Mahrez | Leicester | 8.6 | 0.17 | 0.26 | 62 | 7.2 |
26 | Pedro | Chelsea | 7.7 | 0.25 | 0.11 | 60 | 7.8 |
27 | Cesc Fàbregas | Chelsea | 6.8 | 0.12 | 0.31 | 58 | 8.6 |
28 | Moussa Sissoko | Tottenham | 5.3 | 0.19 | 0.17 | 55 | 10.5 |
29 | Xherdan Shaqiri | Stoke | 6.2 | 0.16 | 0.22 | 55 | 8.9 |
30 | Dusan Tadic | Southampton | 6.2 | 0.16 | 0.21 | 54 | 8.8 |
31 | Ruben Loftus-Cheek | Crystal Palace | 4.5 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 54 | 12.0 |
32 | Juan Mata | Manchester United | 6.8 | 0.14 | 0.24 | 54 | 7.9 |
33 | Christian Atsu | Newcastle United | 4.8 | 0.21 | 0.12 | 54 | 11.2 |
34 | Ilkay Gündogan | Manchester City | 5.3 | 0.16 | 0.20 | 53 | 10.0 |
35 | Jordon Ibe | Bournemouth | 4.9 | 0.15 | 0.19 | 50 | 10.2 |
36 | Jason Puncheon | Crystal Palace | 4.4 | 0.22 | 0.07 | 50 | 11.3 |
37 | Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain | Liverpool | 5.6 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 50 | 8.9 |
38 | José Izquierdo | Brighton | 5.9 | 0.19 | 0.12 | 50 | 8.4 |
39 | James Ward-Prowse | Southampton | 5.1 | 0.12 | 0.22 | 48 | 9.4 |
40 | Tom Ince | Huddersfield | 5.5 | 0.22 | 0.05 | 48 | 8.6 |
41 | Anthony Knockaert | Brighton | 5.5 | 0.16 | 0.14 | 46 | 8.4 |
42 | Manuel Lanzini | West Ham | 6.7 | 0.13 | 0.18 | 45 | 6.7 |
43 | Nathan Redmond | Southampton | 5.9 | 0.10 | 0.23 | 45 | 7.7 |
44 | Roberto Pereyra | Watford | 5.8 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 44 | 7.5 |
45 | André Carrillo | Watford | 5.5 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 43 | 7.9 |
46 | Demarai Gray | Leicester | 5.3 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 43 | 8.2 |
47 | Matt Ritchie | Newcastle United | 5.4 | 0.09 | 0.23 | 43 | 8.0 |
48 | Pascal Groß | Brighton | 5.9 | 0.06 | 0.28 | 43 | 7.3 |
49 | Chris Brunt | WBA | 5.0 | 0.04 | 0.31 | 43 | 8.6 |
50 | Andros Townsend | Crystal Palace | 5.6 | 0.08 | 0.23 | 41 | 7.4 |
51 | Gylfi Sigurdsson | Everton | 8.0 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 40 | 4.9 |
52 | Jesé | Stoke | 5.4 | 0.15 | 0.09 | 39 | 7.2 |
53 | Junior Stanislas | Bournemouth | 5.9 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 38 | 6.5 |
54 | Matt Phillips | WBA | 5.4 | 0.10 | 0.17 | 38 | 7.1 |
55 | Tiemoué Bakayoko | Chelsea | 4.9 | 0.17 | 0.05 | 38 | 7.8 |
56 | Jacob Murphy | Newcastle United | 5.0 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 37 | 7.4 |
57 | Marc Albrighton | Leicester | 5.6 | 0.07 | 0.20 | 36 | 6.4 |
58 | Yohan Cabaye | Crystal Palace | 5.3 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 36 | 6.8 |
59 | James McArthur | Crystal Palace | 4.3 | 0.15 | 0.06 | 35 | 8.2 |
60 | Sofiane Boufal | Southampton | 5.7 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 34 | 5.9 |
61 | Marc Pugh | Bournemouth | 4.7 | 0.14 | 0.06 | 33 | 7.1 |
62 | Johann Berg Gudmundsson | Burnley | 5.0 | 0.09 | 0.14 | 33 | 6.6 |
63 | Michail Antonio | West Ham | 7.4 | 0.13 | 0.07 | 33 | 4.4 |
64 | Jack Wilshere | Arsenal | 5.3 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 33 | 6.2 |
65 | Ryan Fraser | Bournemouth | 5.1 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 33 | 6.4 |
66 | Robbie Brady | Burnley | 5.3 | 0.08 | 0.15 | 32 | 6.1 |
67 | James McClean | WBA | 4.7 | 0.13 | 0.05 | 30 | 6.5 |
68 | Elias Kachunga | Huddersfield | 5.7 | 0.13 | 0.04 | 29 | 5.1 |
69 | Georginio Wijnaldum | Liverpool | 6.6 | 0.13 | 0.04 | 29 | 4.4 |
70 | Ashley Young | Manchester United | 4.9 | 0.04 | 0.18 | 28 | 5.7 |
71 | Aaron Mooy | Huddersfield | 5.3 | 0.07 | 0.13 | 28 | 5.3 |
72 | Leroy Fer | Swansea | 5.2 | 0.10 | 0.08 | 28 | 5.4 |
73 | Abdoulaye Doucouré | Watford | 5.4 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 26 | 4.8 |
74 | Etienne Capoue | Watford | 4.8 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 25 | 5.1 |
75 | Oriol Romeu | Southampton | 4.3 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 25 | 5.7 |
76 | Emre Can | Liverpool | 4.8 | 0.06 | 0.11 | 24 | 5.0 |
77 | Fernandinho | Manchester City | 5.1 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 24 | 4.6 |
78 | Rajiv van La Parra | Huddersfield | 4.8 | 0.10 | 0.04 | 24 | 4.9 |
79 | Mohamed Diamé | Newcastle United | 4.6 | 0.11 | 0.02 | 23 | 5.0 |
80 | Ramadan Sobhi | Stoke | 4.5 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 23 | 5.2 |
81 | Steven Davis | Southampton | 4.7 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 23 | 4.9 |
82 | Tom Carroll | Swansea | 4.3 | 0.03 | 0.15 | 23 | 5.3 |
83 | Andy King | Swansea | 4.2 | 0.11 | 0.01 | 22 | 5.2 |
84 | Granit Xhaka | Arsenal | 5.2 | 0.06 | 0.09 | 22 | 4.2 |
85 | Jordan Henderson | Liverpool | 5.3 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 21 | 4.0 |
86 | Joe Allen | Stoke | 5.1 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 21 | 4.2 |
87 | Jonjo Shelvey | Newcastle United | 5.2 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 21 | 3.9 |
88 | Scott Arfield | Burnley | 4.9 | 0.09 | 0.03 | 21 | 4.2 |
89 | Sam Clucas | Swansea | 4.7 | 0.10 | 0.01 | 20 | 4.3 |
90 | Jeff Hendrick | Burnley | 5.4 | 0.07 | 0.06 | 20 | 3.7 |
91 | Tom Davies | Everton | 5.1 | 0.08 | 0.04 | 20 | 3.9 |
92 | Ki Sung-yueng | Swansea | 4.9 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 20 | 4.0 |
93 | Gareth Barry | WBA | 4.5 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 19 | 4.3 |
94 | Sam Field | WBA | 4.5 | 0.09 | 0.02 | 19 | 4.3 |
95 | Andrew Surman | Bournemouth | 4.5 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 19 | 4.1 |
96 | Solly March | Brighton | 4.9 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 18 | 3.7 |
97 | Tom Cleverley | Watford | 5.0 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 17 | 3.5 |
98 | Nathan Dyer | Swansea | 4.4 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 17 | 3.9 |
99 | Dan Gosling | Bournemouth | 4.8 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 17 | 3.6 |
100 | Isaac Hayden | Newcastle United | 4.4 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 16 | 3.6 |
FORWARD ATTACK RANKING
Rank | Player | Club | Value £m | NPxG90 | xA90 | Proj Pts | Pts/£m |
1 | Gabriel Jesus | Manchester City | 9.9 | 0.87 | 0.11 | 145 | 14.6 |
2 | Sergio Agüero | Manchester City | 12.0 | 0.72 | 0.29 | 143 | 11.9 |
3 | Harry Kane | Tottenham | 12.8 | 0.80 | 0.11 | 134 | 10.5 |
4 | Charlie Austin | Southampton | 5.9 | 0.73 | 0.03 | 114 | 19.4 |
5 | Álvaro Morata | Chelsea | 10.4 | 0.62 | 0.15 | 111 | 10.7 |
6 | Oumar Niasse | Everton | 4.9 | 0.61 | 0.13 | 108 | 21.9 |
7 | Shinji Okazaki | Leicester | 5.4 | 0.59 | 0.08 | 99 | 18.3 |
8 | Alexandre Lacazette | Arsenal | 10.2 | 0.51 | 0.16 | 96 | 9.4 |
9 | Romelu Lukaku | Manchester United | 11.3 | 0.49 | 0.15 | 92 | 8.1 |
0 | Daniel Sturridge | WBA | 7.9 | 0.47 | 0.15 | 89 | 11.2 |
11 | Marcus Rashford | Manchester United | 7.4 | 0.31 | 0.30 | 81 | 11.0 |
12 | Christian Benteke | Crystal Palace | 7.6 | 0.43 | 0.14 | 81 | 10.7 |
13 | Danny Welbeck | Arsenal | 7.3 | 0.42 | 0.14 | 80 | 10.9 |
14 | Roberto Firmino | Liverpool | 9.2 | 0.31 | 0.27 | 78 | 8.5 |
15 | Andre Gray | Watford | 6.3 | 0.42 | 0.12 | 78 | 12.3 |
16 | Peter Crouch | Stoke | 4.8 | 0.26 | 0.25 | 68 | 14.2 |
17 | Tammy Abraham | Swansea | 5.4 | 0.35 | 0.07 | 61 | 11.3 |
18 | Jermain Defoe | Bournemouth | 7.6 | 0.35 | 0.07 | 61 | 8.1 |
19 | Chicharito | West Ham | 6.7 | 0.34 | 0.08 | 61 | 9.1 |
20 | Callum Wilson | Bournemouth | 6.0 | 0.31 | 0.09 | 57 | 9.6 |
21 | Dwight Gayle | Newcastle United | 6.1 | 0.30 | 0.09 | 56 | 9.2 |
22 | Joselu | Newcastle United | 5.5 | 0.30 | 0.07 | 54 | 9.7 |
23 | Jamie Vardy | Leicester | 8.6 | 0.25 | 0.10 | 49 | 5.7 |
24 | Dominic Calvert-Lewin | Everton | 5.1 | 0.24 | 0.11 | 49 | 9.6 |
25 | Ayoze Pérez | Newcastle United | 5.2 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 48 | 9.1 |
26 | Mame Biram Diouf | Stoke | 5.4 | 0.26 | 0.06 | 46 | 8.6 |
27 | Collin Quaner | Huddersfield | 4.6 | 0.13 | 0.23 | 46 | 10.0 |
28 | Joshua King | Bournemouth | 7.0 | 0.19 | 0.15 | 46 | 6.6 |
29 | Wayne Rooney | Everton | 7.2 | 0.22 | 0.09 | 44 | 6.1 |
30 | Salomón Rondón | WBA | 6.0 | 0.23 | 0.05 | 41 | 6.8 |
31 | Ashley Barnes | Burnley | 5.2 | 0.21 | 0.05 | 38 | 7.2 |
32 | Jay Rodriguez | WBA | 5.5 | 0.20 | 0.06 | 37 | 6.8 |
33 | Chris Wood | Burnley | 6.2 | 0.22 | 0.03 | 37 | 5.9 |
34 | Troy Deeney | Watford | 6.3 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 37 | 5.9 |
35 | Hal Robson-Kanu | WBA | 4.9 | 0.21 | 0.04 | 36 | 7.4 |
36 | Jordan Ayew | Swansea | 5.4 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 34 | 6.3 |
37 | Shane Long | Southampton | 5.6 | 0.17 | 0.07 | 34 | 6.0 |
38 | Laurent Depoitre | Huddersfield | 5.3 | 0.15 | 0.08 | 32 | 6.0 |
39 | Troy Deeney | Watford | 6.3 | 0.13 | 0.10 | 31 | 4.9 |
40 | Wilfried Bony | Swansea | 5.7 | 0.19 | 0.02 | 31 | 5.5 |
41 | Tomer Hemed | Brighton | 4.7 | 0.18 | 0.01 | 29 | 6.1 |
42 | Manolo Gabbiadini | Southampton | 6.2 | 0.10 | 0.04 | 20 | 3.2 |
AN NPXG90 AND XA90 TEAM
So I picked a team of about £106m so not achievable by many. It is just meant to be a player menu.
Injuries, gametime (including consistent early substitution risk) are a filtering factor as was a team structure of:
2 cheap GKs picked by defensive strength
3 premium defenders. 2 cheap defs who were good at home
2 premium mids. 2 cheaper mids and 1 around £4.5m
2 premium forwards and 1 cheap forward
Here’s the team:
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