fantasy premier league form – underlying stats form tables GW30


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Here’s our fantasy premier league form article where we provide the underlying stats over the last 10 games to show players and teams recent form. There’s also current form FPL team for simplicity

fantasy premier league form – underlying stats form tables GW30

Here’s some new tables I’ve done to look at underlying stats recent form.

People have different views as to what form constitutes. I think 4-6 games is way too short and distorted by fixtures and one off performances so I’ve gone for the last 10 gameweeks.

I’ve taken all the information from the amazing free site understat.com.

Methodology

I’ve taken the last 10 gameweeks expected goals per 90 minutes (xG90) and expected assists per 90 (xA90) and turned them into projected FPL points over a hypothetical season. I’ve then adjusted it for the average minutes played per appearance.

It’s not perfect as the order Understat puts things in is a little hard to fathom. Also the average minutes can be distorted by sub appearances and injury returns but those are imperfections I will have to live with to make it a viable article time wise

I’ve also added a value for money column where I’ve just taken the projected points and divided them by the players value.

For attackers there’s no appearance clean sheet or bonus points. Just raw attacking points. For defenders the same.

It’s a work in progress at the moment so excuse any imperfections. Just because a player is in the schedule doesn’t mean he is fit or a guaranteed selection.



Midfielders

The table is sorted by projected goal and assist only season FPL points adjusted for average minutes over the last 10 gameweeks

fantasy premier league form

Forwards

The table is sorted by projected goal and assist only season FPL points adjusted for average minutes over the last 10 gameweeks

fantasy premier league form

Defenders

The table is sorted by projected goal and assist only season FPL points adjusted for average minutes over the last 10 gameweeks

fantasy premier league form

Team defence

The table is sorted by xG against over the last 10 gameweeks.

Team defenceMatchesGoals againstxG conceded
Manchester City1055.55
Liverpool1087.07
Burnley101210.40
Chelsea91411.14
Manchester United10711.24
Leicester101912.44
Everton101012.55
Wolves101312.78
Tottenham101213.02
Brighton91413.34
Crystal Palace101413.56
Arsenal101414.42
Southampton101415.73
Watford101415.77
Newcastle United101015.80
West Ham101316.86
Huddersfield101716.93
Cardiff101917.26
Bournemouth102117.52
Fulham102219.22

Team Attack

The table is sorted by xG over the last 10 gameweeks.

Team AttackMatchesGoalsxG
Manchester City102525.25
Arsenal102021.15
Manchester United102120.45
Liverpool102118.42
Burnley101517.46
Wolves101715.23
Fulham101014.68
Leicester101113.97
Tottenham101413.85
Crystal Palace101813.64
Bournemouth101212.09
Watford101511.93
Brighton9911.29
Newcastle United101210.77
Chelsea91210.38
West Ham101010.26
Everton1089.10
Southampton10128.89
Cardiff1077.80
Huddersfield1036.00

The fantasy premier league form team

Structure

So I’ve structured the team in the following way

2 cheap GKs using the team defence form table – Heaton and Ryan

2 premium Defenders using the team defence form table and picking the most attacking defender – Alexander Arnold and Otamendi

3 cheapish defenders using the team defence form table and picking the most attacking defender – Digne, Doherty and Pereira.

The 3 top projected scoring players for captain picks – Pogba, Salah and Aguero.

the rest are on value for money but adjusted with the last player to reach a budget of around £102.5m

I tried to get players who are reasonably gametime secure and it isn’t taking into account future fixtures and blanks and doubles

The team





fantasy premier league form

See also the underlying stats for GW29 alone

See the early FFGeek team article and the 10 top FPL managers we follow

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10 thoughts on “fantasy premier league form – underlying stats form tables GW30”

  1. Lovely work geek, has fraser pdropped off the map! Ming loves the Fraser as he has good fixtures and will likely get more minutes than young gun brooks.

  2. Hi, looking for some advise for preparing for Wk31,
    I have an FT carried over but am planning on doing 1 transfer this week and 2 next. I had pencilled in
    Drop Pogba to Fraser this week and Son and Aguerro for Salah and Higuain next but I lose 600k on the Pogba trade, and Fraser is out of form doing that.

    Another option it to drop Son, Aguerro and Rashford for Salah, Vardy and Barnes (I only lose 200k on Rashford). However while it makes sense to drop a Man Utd player this week as they are away to Arsenal, I could only trade him for Barnes who is away to Liverpool.
    Any recommendations?

    • Carl. I certainly wouldn’t be selling Aguero this week. You can get some info on Pogba and Rashford tonight in the UCL.
      Son has Southampton next and could do something.
      Give us your squad and bank for some more accurate advice.

      • Squad (with sell prices)
        Dubravka (5.0) Button(4.0)
        David Luiz (5.8) Schar (4.6) Pereira (5.4) Doherty (4.9) Lovren (4.9)
        Son (8.7) Pogba (8.4) Almiron (6.0), Ward Prowse (5.0) Mane (9.6)
        Aub (10.9) Rashford (7.5) Aguerro (11.5)
        Bank 0.6m

        I had been thinking of selling my most valuable players in order to maximise the amount I could spend on week 31/33 players and selling Man U before the Arsenal game made sense but another option is to keep both Man U players and get rid of Ward Prowse this week for someone like Harvey Barnes or Brooks, and then next week do Son and Aguerro for Salah and Ashley Barnes

        • Gotta watch the European games first.
          Can’t do anything until they are over.
          I will reply to this thread then though.
          Any chips left?

          • All my chips left so FH week 32, WC week 34, BB wk 35, Looks like I will miss doubling up on my TC.
            Lovren is a real pain every week he is somewhere between 75% chance of playing and back “next gameweek” reports this week vary between expected back at the weekend to back in the “next two months” but at this point I think transferring him out now when there is any chance he will play week 31 (or even week 33) is a waste.
            Thanks for your responses Gonzo

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